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- Chairman, President and CEO
The McGraw-Hill Companies
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- This presentation includes certain forward-looking statements about the
Company’s businesses, new products, sales, expenses, tax rates, cash
flows and operating and capital requirements. Such forward-looking
statements include, but are not limited to: the strength and
sustainability of the U.S. and global economy; Educational Publishing’s
level of success in 2007 adoptions and enrollment and demographic
trends; the level of educational funding; the level of education
technology investments; the strength of Higher Education, Professional
and International publishing markets and the impact of technology on
them; the level of interest rates and the strength of the economic
recovery, profit levels and the capital markets in the U.S. and abroad;
the level of success of new product development and global expansion and
strength of domestic and international markets; the demand and market
for debt ratings, including mortgage and asset-backed securities; the
regulatory environment affecting Standard & Poor’s; the level of
merger and acquisition activity in the U.S. and abroad; the strength of
the domestic and international advertising markets; the volatility of
the energy marketplace; the contract value of public works,
manufacturing and single-family unit construction; the level of
political advertising; and the level of future cash flow, debt levels,
product-related manufacturing expenses, pension expense, distribution
expenses, postal rates, prepublication, amortization and depreciation
expense, income tax rates, capital, technology, restructuring charges
and other expenditures and prepublication cost investment.
- Actual results may differ materially from those in any forward-looking
statements because any such statements involve risks and uncertainties
and are subject to change based upon various important factors,
including, but not limited to, worldwide economic, financial, political
and regulatory conditions; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the
health of capital and equity markets, including future interest rate
changes; the implementation of an expanded regulatory scheme affecting
Standard & Poor’s ratings and services; the level of funding in the
education market (both domestically and internationally); the pace of
recovery in advertising; continued investment by the construction,
computer and aviation industries; the successful marketing of new
products, and the effect of competitive products and pricing.
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- First quarter results
- Revenue: Grew by 13.7%
- EPS: $0.40, including a three-cent gain on sale of mutual fund data
business
- Margin improved in all three segments
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- Double-digit earnings growth for the year
- Margin expansion in all three segments
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- Outperforming the S&P 500: A hallmark of corporate performance
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- $6.8 billion returned to shareholders since 1996 through cash dividends
and share buybacks
- CAGR of nearly 25% between 1996 and 2006
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- 12.9% increase in regular quarterly cash dividend for 2007
- 10.4% average compound annual growth rate in dividend since 1974
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- 1Q: 13.2 million shares repurchased
- New target for 2007: Up to 30 million shares
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- 2007 GDP forecast: 2.2% growth in U.S.
- Problems in housing market not spilling over into rest of U.S. economy
- Prices in housing sector still under pressure
- State revenue picture is solid
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- Early feedback is encouraging
- Early order flow shows promise
- Market strengthening
- Lifted el-hi market forecast:
Expect 5-7% growth, up from 4-6%
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- Greater participation in growing market
- Strong array of new products
- Effectiveness of newly-integrated team in the basal market
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- 2006: 80% participation in smaller state new adoption market
- 2007: Nearly 100% participation in growing state new adoption
- More new products for key adoptions
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- The benefits of reorganizing is improving
- Delivery of K-12 solutions
- Sharing of resources
- Top-line growth
- Opportunities to lower costs
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- Solid prospects in science and math
- Everyday Math showing promise in urban markets
- Texas 6-12 math adoption going well
- California science: Good capture rate taking shape
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- Solid prospects developing in reading
- New edition of Open Court Reading won multi-million order from
Charlotte-Mecklenburg
- Treasures, K-5 reading basal, competing well in Indiana, Oregon,
Tennessee adoptions
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- Very good year shaping up for music
- Winning adoptions in
- Alabama
- California
- New Mexico
- North Carolina
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
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- Purchasing decisions in open territories typically lag state new
adoption orders
- Promising opportunities for MHP emerging in large urban markets
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- New opportunities in formative assessment
- Acuity poised to win some large-scale adoptions later this year
- Keys to Acuity’s success
- Diagnostic: Identifies learning gaps
- Predictive: Indicates how well students will perform on summative tests
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- June is critical month in Q2
- Late ordering key factor
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- Growing confidence in a very good year
- The market:
- 5-7% overall el-hi growth
- 10-15% state new adoption market growth
- 3-4% growth in open territories
- McGraw-Hill School Education
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- Growing confidence in outlook for Higher Education, Professional and
International (HPI)
- Good start in U.S. higher education market
- The market: About 4% growth in U.S. higher education
- McGraw-Hill HPI: Outperform the U.S. college market
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- Convergence of technology, content is transforming world of education
- New digital products producing renewable revenue streams
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- Homework Manager: New source of incremental revenue
- Benefits for
instructors
and students:
- Online tests
- Automatic grading
- Instant feedback
- Practice quizzes
- Access to tutors
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- Connecting iPods and college texts
- New media-enhanced edition of Fundamental Accounting Principles
- iPod content
enhances
students’
ability to study
when and where
it is most
convenient
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- New online specialty products for medical professionals
- Access Surgery
- Access Emergency Medicine
- Access Pharmacy
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- New foreign language series on iPods
- French
- German
- Italian
- Spanish
- More titles out next month: Chinese, Japanese, Portuguese
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- We expect to outperform the el-hi market that will grow 5-7% in 2007
- We expect to outperform the U.S. college market, which will grow by
about 4% in 2007
- The future is increasingly digital
- New source of incremental revenue
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- Reaffirming guidance
- Double-digit growth and margin expansion for the rest of the year
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- Unique blend of fixed income and equity products
- Diversity reduces dependence on any product or asset class
- Global growth prospects
- Growing array of products and services
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- New products to help clients identify, measure, manage credit risk
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- Corporates: More debt issuance is on the way
- Attractive financing conditions
- More debt maturing
- M&A activity
- Balance sheet restructuring
- Public finance: 2Q off to a good start
- Benefiting from
- New money issuance
- Refundings
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- Continued strength in structured finance globally
- Still expect 10-15% decline in U.S. RMBS issuance for 2007
- Very good pipeline for commercial mortgage-backed securities in U.S.
and Europe
- Asset-backed securities: Very good in Europe, softer in U.S.
- Collateralized debt obligations: Robust. Growth in U.S. and Europe
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- Acquired ClariFI to target quantitatively oriented portfolio managers
- Portfolio analytics
- Risk management solutions
- Rapid growth for Capital IQ products
- Nearly tripled client base since acquisition to nearly 2,000
- Adding to product lineup, functionality
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- Goal: Provide an index for every type of investment
- Latest addition: The S&P GSCI index based on acquisition of Goldman
Sachs commodity indices
- Increases in assets under management
in ETFs and trading volume of derivatives based on S&P
indices
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- A positive outcome
- SEC has not been injected into the analytical process or methodology
credit rating agencies use to arrive at their opinions
- The new law does not diminish our rights, including First Amendment
protection
- Greater clarity on becoming an NRSRO: New firms must provide evidence
that capital market participants regard them as issuers of quality
credit opinions
- Regulation by individual states has been pre-empted
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- The pipeline looks good
- More double-digit growth and margin expansion for the balance of the
year, although probably not at the exceptional rate of growth produced
in Q1
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- Focused on adding value to customers as Internet reshapes the
business-to-business market
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- Traditional: Primarily a print catalog
- New: Bundled print and online service
- Now offering clients online access to three-dimensional computer aided
design drawing
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- Leveraging resources in the digital marketplace
- Building traffic with new Company Insight Center
- Information on 42,000 active public companies here and abroad
- 33 pages of data, charts, profiles and news on each company
- Attracting viewers from Europe, Asia
- Hundreds of bloggers linking to the site
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- 81% of U.S. consumers aware of J.D. Power and Associates
- Voice of the Customer awards get powerful support from companies who win
J.D. Power surveys:
- In 2006, winning companies funded:
- 10.6 billion print ad impressions
- 354,000 TV commercials
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- Volatile oil market winning new customers for our news and pricing
products
- Expanding by licensing intellectual property for financial and futures
markets
- Platts’ Dubai price assessments: Basis for cash settlements in new
crude oil futures contracts traded
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- Softness at Broadcasting
- Impact of non-political year
- BusinessWeek: Ad pages off about 10% after 21 issues
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- More progress in the digital transformation
- A soft year in advertising
- Growth in online services
- Margin expansion
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- A good year in education is taking shape
- More growth in Financial Services
- Progress in Information & Media
- Margin expansion in all three segments
- Double-digit earnings growth for MHP in 2007
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