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- Chairman, President and CEO
The McGraw-Hill Companies
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- This presentation includes certain forward-looking statements about the
Company’s businesses, new products, sales, expenses, tax rates, cash
flows and operating and capital requirements. Such forward-looking
statements include, but are not limited to: the strength and
sustainability of the U.S. and global economy; Educational Publishing’s
level of success in 2007 adoptions and enrollment and demographic
trends; the level of educational funding; the level of education
technology investments; the strength of Higher Education, Professional
and International publishing markets and the impact of technology on
them; the level of interest rates and the strength of the economic
recovery, profit levels and the capital markets in the U.S. and abroad;
the level of success of new product development and global expansion and
strength of domestic and international markets; the demand and market
for debt ratings, including mortgage and asset-backed securities; the
regulatory environment affecting Standard & Poor’s; the level of
merger and acquisition activity in the U.S. and abroad; the strength of
the domestic and international advertising markets; the volatility of
the energy marketplace; the contract value of public works,
manufacturing and single-family unit construction; the level of
political advertising; and the level of future cash flow, debt levels,
product-related manufacturing expenses, pension expense, distribution
expenses, postal rates, prepublication, amortization and depreciation
expense, income tax rates, capital, technology, restructuring charges
and other expenditures and prepublication cost investment.
- Actual results may differ materially from those in any forward-looking
statements because any such statements involve risks and uncertainties
and are subject to change based upon various important factors,
including, but not limited to, worldwide economic, financial, political
and regulatory conditions; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the
health of capital and equity markets, including future interest rate
changes; the implementation of an expanded regulatory scheme affecting
Standard & Poor’s ratings and services; the level of funding in the
education market (both domestically and internationally); the pace of
recovery in advertising; continued investment by the construction,
computer and aviation industries; the successful marketing of new
products, and the effect of competitive products and pricing.
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- Executive Vice President
McGraw-Hill Education
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- Double-digit earnings growth for the year
- Margin expansion in all three segments
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- Financial Services: More double-digit growth and margin expansion
through the balance of the year, although probably not at the
exceptional rate of growth produced in the first quarter
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- Economic conditions remain favorable
- State economies in fine shape
- Budget surpluses in 27 states
- Budgets on target in 14 states
- Fiscal 2008 outlook: Reasonable state revenue growth
- Bodes well for education
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- Positive factors in U.S. economy
- GDP growth at 2.2%
- Unemployment rate at 4.7%
- Core consumer inflation at 2.2%
- Low interest rate environment
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- The continuing benefit of powerful trends
- Worldwide demand for capital
- Need for education in a knowledge economy
- New opportunities to connect professionals with essential information
for better decision making
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- Convergence of content and technology is creating new ways to
- Monetize content
- Improve operating leverage
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- Outperforming the S&P 500: A hallmark of corporate performance
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- $6.8 billion returned to shareholders since 1996 through cash dividends
and share buybacks
- CAGR of nearly 25% between 1996 and 2006
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- 12.9% increase in regular quarterly cash dividend for 2007
- 10.4% average compound annual growth rate in dividend since 1974
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- 1Q: 13.2 million shares repurchased
- New target for 2007: Up to 30 million shares, depending upon market
conditions
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- Executive Vice President
McGraw-Hill Education
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- Increased pre-K-12 sales and
marketing coordination and focus
- Better pre-K-12 product
articulation/Centers of Excellence
- Improved customer service
- Leveraged administrative and back-office operations
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- Online professional development
- Automated teacher editions
- TeacherWorks – electronic course management system
- Intervention techniques
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- Electronic student editions
- Student Works – automated study tools with practice quizzes and section
reviews
- Online and CD-ROM based homework helpers
- Online intervention programs for reading and mathematics
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- Latest Adobe Creative Suite tools are being used in all K-12 operations
- Implemented “K-4,” a state of the art workflow management system
- Off-shoring activities are increasing and effectiveness is
improving with experience gained
- Significant current and ongoing cost savings opportunities
- Employee engagement – people feel more productive and empowered
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- Adoption states new business market will be in $750M-$800M range,
growing 10-15% year-over-year
- Open territory states started more slowly, although April was a strong
month
- We are forecasting the open territory market to grow about 4%
year-over-year
- Combined K-12 market growth 5-7%
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- Early indicators are very positive
- Our new pre-K-12 basal
operation is producing strong results
- Major state adoptions in science, reading, math, and music
- Science: California and South Carolina
- Reading: Indiana and Tennessee
- Mathematics: Texas, Georgia, and New Mexico
- Music: 6 states including North Carolina
- We currently hold leading positions in most of these adoptions
- McGraw-Hill expects to be the overall adoption states
leader K-12
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- 1Q open territory market growth was sluggish for the industry
- We’ve already achieved significant wins with a strong open territory
publishing program
- Examples of open territory wins in range of $1M - $10M
- Everyday Math in major urban markets including Seattle and NYC
- Middle school science win in New York City for grades 6, 7, and 8
- Prince Georges County, MD adopted music
- Washington, DC K-5 science and 6-12 social studies
- Treasures (reading) in Peoria, AZ and Lansing, MI
- After a flat 2006, we anticipate about 4 % open territory market growth
and McGraw-Hill expects to outperform the industry
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- New pre-K-12 basal operation
is increasing productivity and driving
growth
- We expect to report very good capture rates for 2007
- Several large early wins in open territory
- Strong performances from our two most successful alternative basal
programs, Everyday Mathematics, and Open Court Reading
- Adoption state market outlook through 2009 is very positive
- Technology will play an increased role in K-12 and our positioning for
the future is strong
- Pleased with our YTD progress in 2007 and look to continued success
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- Chairman, President and CEO
The McGraw-Hill Companies
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- U.S. college and university market to grow about 4%
- We expect to outperform the market
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- Online courses with streaming video, animation, personalized assessment
- Mobile resources: iPods and compatible MP3 devices to deliver student
study materials
- eBooks online for students and instructors
- Digital homework services
- Instructor source materials delivered digitally instead of print at less
cost
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- Winning new adoptions with media-enhanced editions
- 18th edition of Fundamental Accounting Principles marries
content with technology
- iPod icons point
students to audio,
video presentations
- New flexibility
in studying
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- New online specialty products for medical professionals
- Access Surgery
- Access Emergency Medicine
- Access Pharmacy
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- Leveraging global brands
- Harrison’s Practice at point-of-care
- Access Medicine: Subscribers in more than 42 countries
- Digital Engineering Library
- Access Science
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- We expect to outperform the el-hi market that will grow 5-7% in 2007
- We expect to outperform the U.S. college market, which will grow by
about 4% in 2007
- The future is increasingly digital
- New source of incremental revenue
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- Executive Vice President
Credit Market Services
- Standard & Poor’s
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- Growth in 2007 continues to be strong
- Market fundamentals driving the outlook for credit ratings remain very
positive
- Diversified offerings and extensive global footprint are key growth
drivers
- Debt issuance volumes remain robust globally
- Feel positive about the regulatory outlook
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- Growth has continued in 2007
- Geographic and product revenue diversification
- Global structured finance
- Favorable international markets
- Long-term fundamental capital markets trends around the world will
remain favorable
- Globalization
- Securitization
- Disintermediation
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- Revenue diversification continues to contribute to ratings growth,
reducing dependency on transactions
- Tools, models and non-bond ratings for bank loans, counterparties and
other instruments accounted for 24% of ratings revenue last year, up
from only 8% in 1994
- The international markets remain strong and growing in all sectors with
revenues increasing to 39% in 2006 from 21% in 2004
- Rating all major asset classes
adds another key dimension to our diversification
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- Operations in 24 countries
- Credit ratings on approximately $34 trillion of debt in more than 100
countries
- New offices in 2007 - Dubai and
South Africa
- Technology improves efficiency and allows for greater cross-border
collaboration among global staff
- Extensive quantitative modeling capabilities to support ratings on
increasingly complex transactions
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- Corporates: Strong issuance
growth for the quarter-to-date in the U.S. Up 32%, driven by favorable
financing conditions and solid M&A activity
- High yield: up 67% second
quarter to date globally --low default rates; growth and innovation in
the derivatives markets
- Corporates: outlook continues to
be positive
- Structured Finance: Issuance up
25% second quarter to date in the U.S. with favorable global outlook
- CDOs: up 60% in the U.S. for the
quarter-to-date – pipeline strong but comparisons will become more
challenging in second half
- Europe: up 48% quarter-to-date -
expect continued growth
- Public Finance: Issuance up 14%
in second quarter to date
- Low long-term yields and tighter credit spreads are driving issuance
with outlook remaining strong
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- Declined in 2006 as expected and 2007 down as anticipated
- Expect decline of up to 15% in 2007
- Challenging landscape for market
- Subprime issuance accounts for approximately 1/3 of RMBS QTD
- Subprime issuance down 19% from 2Q 2006 quarter-to-date
- Alt A issuance up 92% QTD
- While Subprime was attracting considerable attention – we saw it coming
- S&P increased credit support requirements in April 2006
- In 2007, for vintage year 2006,
there were 24 downgrades and 29 CreditWatch actions vs. 46
upgrades, 265 downgrades and 225 CreditWatch actions for all Subprime
- Subprime downgrades will continue increasing, especially 2006 vintage
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- CMBS showing strong performance quarter-to date
- Investor demand remains strong as do commercial origination trends
- Improved real estate fundamentals along with the stable U.S. economy
has sustained strong CMBS performance vis-à-vis other fixed income
asset classes
- ABS growth being driven by Credit Cards and Student Loans
- Credit Cards up as borrowers transition from home equity loans
- Leading Economic Indicators, including consumer sentiment and consumer
credit outstandings, for ABS are largely positive
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- Issuance growth continues to be strong globally, although growing at
slower rates versus 2006
- Growing sophistication has led to new types of structured finance
vehicles, such as the CDO / CDS market
- Wave of innovation in terms of structures and underlying
collateral: synthetic
structures, credit default swaps, CDOs squared, CLOs, CDOs of CRE, and
hybrid structures
- Rising investor acceptance reflects search for stability and extra
yield – increases demand for CDOs
- S&P has an integrated monitoring process to ensure our ratings on
CDO transactions reflect our most current credit views on RMBS
transactions
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- Legislation regarding NRSRO status and called the “Credit Rating Agency
Reform Act of 2006,” passed in 2006
- New guidelines for NRSRO registration with SEC
- Mandates establishment of policies and procedures to address conflicts
of interest, prevent misuse of non-public information consistent with
IOSCO code and S&P’s policies
- Six key rules:
- Registration Requirements
- Recordkeeping Requirements
- Annual Financial Reports
- Procedures to Prevent the Misuse of Material Non-Public Information
- Management of Conflicts of Interest
- Prohibited Unfair, Coercive, or Abusive Practices
- Next steps in the process
- S&P will register with SEC as a Nationally Recognized Statistical
Rating Organization
- S&P continues to work with The Committee of European Securities
Regulators (CESR) and IOSCO on IOSCO code implementation
- S&P continues to review its policies and procedures in light of the
new regulatory regime and as a matter of best practices
- We feel positive about the outcome: (1) SEC will not intrude on credit
ratings process, and (2) law does not diminish our rights
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- Chairman, President and CEO
The McGraw-Hill Companies
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- $180.2 billion, a 24.8% growth in assets under management through May in
exchange-traded funds based on S&P indices
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- Goal: Provide an index for every type of investment
- New asset classes:
- Real estate: S&P/Case Shiller index
- Commodities: S&P GSCI
- New products:
- S&P Global Challenger Index
- S&P BRIC Shariah index
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- Growing client base for Capital IQ products
- Nearly tripled since 2004
- Now about 2,000 customers
- ClariFi acquired in May
- Software, services focused on quants
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- Pipeline looks good
- More double-digit growth and margin expansion for the balance of the
year, although probably not at the exceptional rate of growth produced
in the first quarter
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- A segment in transition
- Transformation from print-based legacy products to electronic platforms
- News and information in text, audio, digital formats
- Data and analytics
- Workflow and tools
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- First electronic, paperless syndicated research from J.D. Power and
Associates
- New benchmark for measuring customer satisfaction
- First clients in U.S. banking industry
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- Building communities
- Enhancing interactivity for users
- AviationWeek.com
- ArchitecturalRecord.com
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- The new BusinessWeek-Capital IQ connection
- Building traffic with new
Company Insight Center
- Information on 42,000
active public companies
- 33 pages of data, charts,
profiles and news on
each company
- Data on 320,000 private
companies, more than
1.0 million executives
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- The transformation of Sweets
- Traditional: Primarily a print catalog
- New: Bundled print and online service
- Now offering clients online access to three-dimensional computer-aided
design
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- Attracting new customers in the energy market
- Online news and pricing information
- Licensing information for use in financial and futures markets
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- Softness for advertising
- Impact of non-political year
- BusinessWeek: Ad pages off 12.6% after 24 issues
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- More progress in the digital transformation
- A soft year in advertising
- Growth in online services
- Margin expansion
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- A good year in education is taking shape
- More growth in Financial Services
- Progress in Information & Media
- Margin expansion in all three segments
- Double-digit earnings growth for MHP in 2007
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