Deluxe Corporation
New York Investor Conference
New York Stock Exchange
Speakers: Lawrence J. Mosner, Chairman and Chief
Executive Officer
Douglas J Treff, Chief Financial Officer
(Transcript of opening statements and edited
question-and-answer session.)
Thursday, February 22, 2001, 10:00 am
(CST)
Larry Mosner
Good afternoon (morning), and thanks for taking time from your
busy schedules to join us today. Iím Larry Mosner, chairman and
chief executive officer of Deluxe Corporation. Presenting with me
today will be Doug Treff, our chief financial officer. Iíd also like
to introduce a couple of other executives who are with us: Chuck Feltz,
who heads up our financial institution check printing business, and
Karen Wiegert, our corporate treasurer.
There is a saying: "If you donít know where youíre going,
any plan will get you there."
At Deluxe, we know where weíre going and we have a plan to get us
there. Our goal is to enhance shareholder value. If I may anticipate
your question, concern even, you might be asking yourself, "How
is Deluxe going to do that in a mature market?"
Believe me, no one knows better than Doug and I do that Deluxe is
operating in a mature market. The number of checks Americans write
each year is likely to neither grow nor drop off sharply. However, we
believe we have a business plan that will allow Deluxe to be a
healthy, cash-generating company for years to come.
It begins with what we call our business alignment model. Before I
explain the elements of this model, it might be helpful to review just
what it is Deluxe does, who we are and how we came to be here.
Deluxe is an 85-year-old company that provides checks and related
products to financial services companies, consumers and small
businesses. We offer our products to end consumers primarily through
relationships with thousands of financial institutions across the
country, through direct mail, and via the Internet.
However, if we would have listened to the prognosticators who first
predicted the demise of the check, we would have rolled over and
played dead 30-some years ago. The fact remains that American
consumers still love to write checks for their purchases. In fact, itís
estimated that more than 60 billion of them were written in 2000.
Deluxe Corporation printed more of these checks than anyone else in
our industry.
While debit cards and smart cards and credit cards were supposed to
have revolutionized and modernized the payment industry by now, the
reality is that it just hasnít happened. As it was with Mark Twain,
the death of checks has been greatly exaggerated.
Because Deluxe has been printing checks for over 85 years, weíve
gotten rather good at it. While our current printing technology has
been with us for a number of years already, itís still considered
state-of-the art in the industry. More about technology in a minute.
And while we were busy becoming experts at check printing, we were
doing okay at acquiring market share. Today, of all the checks sold
through financial institutionsóthe predominant means by which
consumers acquire checksówe have about 50 percent of the market.
What that means for us is that about two-thirds of our revenue comes
through orders from customers of financial institutions.
Selling checks to consumers is also a money-making proposition for
financial institutions. They make a margin on check orders by marking
up what they pay us for the checks. We think that thereís a
substantial opportunity to redesign the check ordering process so that
our financial institution clients can realize more margin from check
sales, the end consumer is better satisfied, and Deluxe improves its
revenue and profit per unit. More about how this works later.
Okay, so we sell most of the checks we print through banks and
credit unions. We also sell checks and accessories directly to
consumers via two distinct brandsóChecks Unlimited and Designer
Checks.
Thereís a third relationship we have with customers. We sell
business forms, checks and related supplies to customers who operate
small offices and home offices. These products are also sold to
distributors who re-market our products.
On the surface, most any reasonable person would classify Deluxe as
just a printer who happens to produce checks; a company that puts ink
on paper products. However, we see ourselves as more than a printer,
and we believe that we have three core competencies: personalization,
direct marketing, and e-commerce. And that brings us back to our
business model. Letís take a look.
The model incorporates what we call our shared valuesósix
principles that have been a part of Deluxe since our beginning, values
that are truly ingrained in the companyís culture, things we are
proud of and certainly want to hold on to. They are:
l |
Openness, trust and integrity |
l |
Innovation |
l |
Partnering for the common
goal |
l |
Recognition and celebration |
l |
Respect and dignity for all,
and |
l |
Quality |
These values are part of all that we doóboth at the individual
and organizational level.
They are the foundation for a vision that builds on our
strengths: To grow Deluxe by leveraging our personalization, direct
marketing and e-commerce competencies.
We are pursuing our vision by focusing on five objectives. They
are:
|
Revenue growth |
|
Client and customer loyalty |
|
People |
|
Cost management, and |
|
Transformation |
Everything we do, at all levels, is mapped to this modelófrom
senior managementís accountability for and to the five key
objectives down to involvement at the employee level.
Letís take a look at the five objectives and a number of
current initiatives connected to them.
First revenue growth. We will pursue revenue growth by expanding
product offerings and adding services. Here are just a few examples:
In January, Deluxe announced an alliance with Disney to carry
several categories of Disney designs on checks from Deluxe, Checks
Unlimited and Designer Checks. The initial results have been very
exciting. Our direct-to-the-consumer businesses sold over 180,000
units in January. Our expectations are high and we will continue
with new promotional rollouts of this line in both the financial and
direct channels during the next quarter. Our four Disney designs
have all occupied the top 15 list in the direct channel for the
month of January.
New products arenít the only thing contributing to revenue
growth. We are also providing more services. For example, we are
helping our financial institution customers combat fraud with our
SecureMail program. SecureMail helps reduce fraud on four frontsócall
screening, order screening, tamper-evident packaging and
undeliverable mail.
Another service being offered to our financial institution
clients is the Business Referral Program. BRP was designed to
increase business check sales originating in the financial
institution. Business Referral makes it convenient for small
businesses to purchase check and check products that best meet their
business needs directly from their financial institution,
rather than going somewhere else.
We will grow revenue by increasing our investment in acquiring new
customers in our Checks Unlimited, Designer Checks and Deluxe Business
Forms brands. Checks sold to small businesses and direct to the
consumer are a growing part of the check industry and we want to
increase our share. In order to gain new customers, we are stepping up
our direct marketing efforts and enhancing our Internet presence.
We also want new financial institution clients if we can gain the
business based on quality, or product and service offerings. We
recently announced that the Boeing Employees Credit Union came to
Deluxe. With this contract, Deluxe is the organization's sole provider
of check printing and related services, and their first new check
supplier in 20 years. We will be providing BECU with a variety of
e-commerce services to help the credit union serve its 270,000 members
more efficientlyóboth at branches and over the Internet. The
director of member services at BECU had this to say about our new
relationship, "We needed to align with a vendor that shares our
philosophies about member service and one that can help us streamline
our e-commerce initiatives. Deluxe provides the quality products and
online services that our members need today."
I donít mind telling you that it makes all of us at Deluxe proud
when we hear positive feedback like this from our financial
institution clients.
Another way we will pursue revenue growth is through acquisitions.
The most recent example is Designer Checks that we successfully
completed a year ago. As I mentioned in the conference call earlier
this month, we are extremely pleased with the way this new business
has been assimilated into the rest of the company. The synergies we
have realized are significant and have resulted in returns on
investment even greater than our expectations. Cash flow per share is
positive and we anticipate continued growth in this business.
While I canít make any predictions about future acquisitions, I
will assure you that we are unyielding when it comes to judging a
possible acquisition against three criteria.
First, the addition must leverage our key competencies of
personalization, direct marketing or e-commerce. In the case of
Designer Checks, we accomplished all three.
The second criterion is that the acquisition would have to be
accretive to earnings and cash flow per share. We would use Deluxe
Value Added or DVA as another tool in our analysis.
The third and last criterion is that the acquisition would have to
have an anticipated higher return than that from a potential share
repurchase.
The second key objective of our business model is growing client
and customer loyalty. I should probably explain why we use both wordsó"client"
and "customer." To us, client refers to financial
institutions. Customer, on the other hand, refers to the people using
the productsóthe end user, if you will.
In the area of client loyalty, success often comes in the form of
renewed contracts.
Citibank is one of our recent success stories. Deluxe has had a
relationship with Citibank for decades, and because we were able to
come through a very elaborate bid process with flying colors, we
retained Citibank N.A.ís business. We are proud to have been their
100 percent supplier since 1991.
As weíve often stated in our earnings calls, retaining customers
isnít easy these days. For many customers, price is the bottom line.
When the marketplace demands ever-increasing price concessions, a
company needs to compete on issues other than price if it wants to
maintain its margins. At Deluxe, we are doing that through a
combination of experience, quality, superior products and services,
and the customer service offered by our employees.
For instance, Deluxe has established the industry standards for
MICR quality, imaging and security. Weíre the leader in product
innovation and we offer marketing programs that create increased
revenue for our financial institution clients. Weíre also the leader
in conversion support services.
And that brings us to the third objective in our business model:
Our people. We believe we can excel because we have a committed and
engaged workforce and strong leadership: Our executive team is
comprised of both long-term Deluxe employees and people recently hired
from the outside. And the nearly 8,000 employees that work for Deluxe
are some of the best people youíll find anywhere.
One of the challenges in a mature business is keeping employees
stimulated and engaged. But rather than presume to know the needs of
our employees, we conducted a survey last spring to find out their
level of engagement, and how fulfilled they were in their positions.
A frequent comment had to do with communication and the availability
of senior leaders. In response to this request, we initiated
leadership site visits. By the end of December, every Deluxe officer
had visited at least one site. I was able to get to every facility. I
shook hands with thousands of employees and listened to their comments
and concerns. While no work environment is ever perfect, what I
discoveredóoverwhelmingly soóis that our people truly care about
Deluxe. They care about our customers, our business, and our future.
To cover the fourth objective in our business modelócost
managementóIíll call on Doug Treff, our CFO.
Doug Treff
Thanks, Larry. The
financial strength of Deluxe is a key corporate asset and effective
cost management is an objective that is intended to keep things that
way.
Deluxe has a very strong balance sheet. We have no net debt, and weíre
confident that we could take on much more than $300 million in debt
and still be able to maintain our high investment grade ratings from
the rating agencies.
Deluxe is a company with stable and predictable cash flows. In
selling checks through financial institutions, our contracts allow us
to estimate our revenue stream fairly accurately. When selling checks
directly to consumers, we are able to track order volume and can plan
reasonably well based on our level of investment in marketing and
promotional activities.
Our pro forma data shows the consistency of our business:
2000 revenues were $1.26 billion, up approximately 2 percent from
$1.24 billion in 1999. These revenues reflect the go forward business.
The acquisition of Designer Checks added revenues of $56 million in
2000. Additionally, revenue per unit was up 7%, which was the result
of price increases and improved mix. These improvements more than
offset a decline in units, associated with lower new customer
acquisition and losing some contracts.
Gross margin for our on-going businesses was 64.3% in 2000, up from
62.7% in 1999 and 60.6% in 1998, showing continued cost savings from
consolidating our check printing plants and losing some lower margin
contracts with financial institutions.
Operating margin was 22.0% in 2000, compared to 23.9% in 1999 and
21.1% in 1998. The 2000 decrease was primarily due to the investments
in PlaidMoon, an e-commerce start-up, and other e-commerce
initiatives.
Regarding EPS, excluding one-time items in 2000 and 1999, EPS from
continuing operations was $2.43 in 2000, down $0.07 from 1999 EPS of
$2.50. The improved gross profit was more than offset by the
investments in PlaidMoon and other e-commerce initiatives and
increased interest expense and lower levels of investment income.
Looking ahead to the remainder of 2001, we expect earnings per share
of $2.45, prior to the effect of share repurchases.
Moving on to operating cash flow and EBITDA, operating cash flow
per share was $3.50 in 2000 compared to $2.87 in 1999 and $3.28 in
1998. EBITDA was $348 million in 2000, compared to $383 million in
1999 and $316 million in 1998. Included in the 1999 EBITDA is $30
million in gains from the sale of businesses and other assets.
This is probably a good time to recap the benefit to shareholders
of the eFunds spin-off. Late last year, Deluxe distributed .5514 share
of eFunds common stock for each share of Deluxe. We believe, and the
stock market continues to validate, that the separation of eFunds from
Deluxe into a separately traded public company has created incremental
shareholder value. This chart spells out the level of value, using
stock prices from February 16.
The first three entries show the stock prices when we announced the
plan, the day of the eFunds IPO, and the day the spin was final. This
bottom section lists the separate trading prices of both Deluxe and
eFunds, and their combined values. Youíll see that the combined
price of $31.61 is 20% to 31% greater than the price on the three
prior key event dates listed.
Because many of you are wondering, I want to touch on a couple more
itemsóstock repurchase and the dividend.
As we reported in a press release, Deluxeís board of directors
approved a 14 million share repurchase program. We will use the
anticipated return on investment from share repurchases as a benchmark
for pursing other investments. If a potential acquisition related to
our existing businesses would appear to deliver a better return than
what a share repurchase would net us, we would consider the
acquisition in addition to our share repurchases.
And the second itemóthe dividend. We expect to maintain our
annual cash dividend of $1.48 per share. As mentioned in our year-end
conference call, our yield placed us among the top five
dividend-paying companies in the S&P 500 at the end of 2000.
For the last business model objective, Iíll turn the presentation
back over to Larry.
Larry Mosner
Thanks, Doug. Transformation is an objective because we believe
our future is in utilizing technology to connect with customers. We
already have established an Internet presence. And itís thriving.
Currently, Deluxe has eight websites where consumers can order
personal and business checks, forms, stamps and related products. But
rather than just take my word for it, hereÖhave a look.
[video]
Our presence on the Internet brings about a number of wins. End
consumers win because they can view the full range of products from
all our brands. If they originally purchased their checks through
their financial institution, they can do their reorder business by
going to their computer in the comfort and convenience of their home
or office, browse through Deluxeís entire design selection. Then
they can select from designs that reflect their personalities,
interests, collegiate affiliation or personal convictions. They have
the option of upgrading to leather checkbook covers, adding monograms,
choosing typestyles, and picking slogans.
If consumers prefer to order their checks directly from a supplier,
the Designer Checks and Checks Unlimited websites allow them to do so.
Our research shows that consumers are willing to pay for the
privilege of being able to personalize their checks. However, they canít
buy if they donít know whatís available. And often, when they
purchase through a financial institution, they arenít presented with
choices. The new accounts person is neither trained nor has the time
to sell on Deluxeís behalf. Therefore, when customers order their
checks through their financial institution on the Deluxe website, the
variety of choices becomes apparent. Weíre successfully closing the
gap between consumer preference and actual use.
Our data also tells us that the dollar value of the order is going
to be higher when consumers order on-line. The end result is that
customers win because they get what they want, and the financial
institution wins because a larger order means higher fees for them.
The third winner in the Internet equation is, of course, Deluxe. We
win because, as I said, each order is worth more. Deluxe wins on
another front. Capturing orders from the Internet is usually more
economical for us than capturing orders via a service agent or through
the mail. Another plus is improved accuracy because customers are
inputting their own information.
So . . . as the video pointed out, moving consumers to the Internet
means that everyone wins.
We are an industry leader in our use of technology in a number of
areas.
First, for printing. Our analysis shows that Deluxe offset printing
technology is the most cost-effective in the industry.
Second, the technology within our Internet software. Upgrades keep
our sites both user-friendly and productive.
And third, technology within our telephony and customer service
areas. We use the latest call center technology available which,
simply put, allows us to get the right call to the right associate at
the right time.
And before I finish the presentation and open things up for
questions, I want to tie up any loose ends having to do with PlaidMoon.
For those of you who attended our investor conference in St. Paul last
August, youíll remember that our e-commerce PlaidMoon initiative was
a part of our message. We told you up front that we had established
some rather strict metrics for PlaidMoonís progress. Less than three
months later we werenít converting site visits over to orders at the
level they needed to be, so we discontinued the initiative. Although
we fully expected this business venture to be highly successful, it
wasnít. Yet, we learned a lot. We successfully created a business
model, developed and built out an Internet site from scratch, and
employed the programming to make it happen. Because time was of the
essenceówe invested for speed. This, of course, was a deviation from
the way weíd approached new ventures in the past. If we had it to do
over, we would have taken a different approach.
As a result, our strategy going forward will be to build on the
proven e-commerce capabilities of our existing businesses as described
earlier.
In closing, Iíd like to reiterate that we have a high level of
confidence in this business model. We believe it offers a sound plan
for a healthy and successful company in a mature market.
Now Doug and I will be happy to take your questions.
Edited Question and Answer Session
LMóLarry Mosner, DTóDoug
Treff, CFóChuck
Feltz
Could the use of the Internet for ordering make it easier for
consumers to price shop?
LM ñ Certainly. Let me break that down. In
our Financial Institution channel, if the customer is an individual
customer of a bank, they can reorder their checks by going to
Deluxe.com and enter it and they will get the pricing for their
product from their bank. The bank may also have a website which would
either link them to us so they can get directly to us or they can go
through their bank ñ however the bank wants to set that up.
On the direct channel, in the consumer segment, they have that same
ability today. First of all, there are a really limited number of
brands out there which they can shop, but they can do that comparison
by looking at the free standing ads in the newspaper or by looking at
the web. I donít see that there is going to be a major
differentiator between being able to competitively shop on the web
versus what exists today in the market.
Can you talk about why youíre not being more aggressive in terms
of the timing of the share buyback and why you are not doing a tender
offer for example?
DT ñ Associated with the spin-off of
eFunds, we went to the IRS to get the tax-free ruling for that
distribution to shareholders so it would be tax free to shareholders
and to Deluxe. One of the limitations as a result of that tax-free
ruling is that we can only engage in open-market purchases up to 20
percent, or actually less than 20 percent, of shares outstanding. But
we are proceeding as rapidly and quickly as we can, given those
limitations.
If you were to break down the check volume, specifically the market
as it stands today between the FI and private label, could you give
your respective shares of each and how the entire market is leaning?
What percentage of the market is private label versus FI and what your
share in each of them is?
LM ñ We had commented in the prepared
remarks that in the financial institution segment, we have about half
of that market and it accounts for about two-thirds of our total
revenues. In the direct-to-the-consumer channel, we have a little in
excess of 60 percent share in that market. Really, the second player
in that market would be Custom Direct out of Canada and third would be
Checks In The Mail, which is owned by Clarke American. In the FI side,
there is our space and then the second largest player would be John
Harland Company and the third would be Clarke American, so there are
really three key players in each segment.
How big is the direct channel?
LM ñ It is about 21 percent of the total
check industry. We think it is growing at about a percentage point a
year. So, in other words, it is 21 percent now, next year it will be
22 percent, and the next year 23 percent. We think it is going to
continue to grow. It could be a percentage point or a little less but
that growth is coming out of the financial institution side of the
market, because the total market we view as probably flat and over the
next several years probably will tend to trim down slightly. We do not
see any sharp decline out there in check writing. We could be wrong,
but we monitor that fairly closely based upon looking back as well as
take a look at what the trends are and what forces might cause that to
change in the future.
I presume that the customer can go from your FI web site over to
your direct channel website. Can you talk a little about your net
realized price in each of the two channels?
LM ñ The price in the direct channel ñ
the 21 percent share ñ that customer is a very price conscious
customer and he is also driven more by design for preference, because
they are more readily available in that channel even though they are
available in the financial institution channel, but itís easier to
get to them. But the price, if you take a look at what the customer
would pay in the direct channel, it might be a promotional offer for
$8.00 and they are paying at their bank $14 to $20. Itís the same
product basically, because what we do is sell products to the bank and
the bank then marks that up and sells them in return to their
customers ñ depending on the program, they might be free if you are
a member of the bank. There is a mark-up that the bank puts on them.
I understand that you are paying more at the bank, but what I asked
is your net realized price. Is it conceivable that you are making more
money on selling direct than you do through the banks?
LM ñ I would say that both of them are
very comparable.
Ok, so no difference.
LM ñ That might change over time, but
if you take a look at both of them, both are very profitable
businesses.
In light of the separation of eFunds and the thought that they were
going to be the electronic operator, could you tell us how long that
site has been up, what your strategy is in Internet banking, and what
youíre currently doing now?
LM ñ We really do not have an Internet
banking strategy in the sense of banking. What we do have is a
relationship with financial institutions to provide the checks to
their customers for them on their behalf. We can do that with a
traditional financial institution as I commented earlier, or there are
roughly 40 Internet banks out there and we are providing checks to
them, I think about 35 or 36 of the 40. Most of that is based on our
view of the technology advantage and thatís one of the reasons that
Boeing switched to us.
First, when did you put the site up? And second, if youíre in
Internet banking at deluxe.com, are there other kinds of advance
services that you are going to be offering to your customer base that
you can provide more cheaply for them then they could do it alone ñ
I was specifically thinking of banks that are upside 50. I think the
technology budget for community banks of which there are about 6600
might be about $75,000 a year.
LM ñ I cannot quote you a date on when
that site went up. It was probably within the last 12 to 15 months.
One of our key strategies is to have a very strong Internet presence
in each of the businesses, the FI channel, the direct-to-consumer, and
the small business owners. One reason is defensive ñ the customers
want that. They want to be able to connect with business at any bank.
If you donít have an Internet site, then they might not even shop
with you ñ whether a financial institution or a credit union ñ the
Boeing example. From our prospective, we think we can leverage that
channel of distribution to be a competitive advantage for us in this
way. Let me use the financial institution segment very specifically in
Chuckís area. One of the things that I commented on here is we know
from having done pilots with live customers of financial institutions,
that when we can engage the consumer in a dialog in either a
person-to-person via phone or Internet, that when that happens, we can
raise the average order value of that check order because we can
either talk to them about the designs, or when they are on the
Internet, they self select in the designs, the leather checkbook
cover, type font, saying, monogram on the check. So we view it as an
opportunity with the financial institution. If we can engage the end
consumer on behalf of the financial institution, because we donít
want to disenfranchise them, and raise that average order, the bank
wins because they are getting a percentage of a higher average order,
the customer is winning because they get more satisfaction in getting
the product they want, and weíre winning because we get a more
accurate order and weíre getting a higher average order and so we
think that if we have that ability to have that interaction with the
end consumer, the economics of that are positive with us.
Thatís interesting. You also talked about the small office, the
home office and the forms element of it. Thatís one of the
industries that seems undervalued at the moment. Maybe you can talk
about what your ambitions are in the forms area, if any, does it
really relate to banking type forms or are there other forms you can
efficiently sell and use your technology position to print these
things economically?
LM ñ We have the business called Deluxe
Business Forms, which is primarily a business check business and
related forms. We were much more heavily into the forms business four
or five years ago and we divested ourselves of that because it wasnít
nearly as profitable for us as the check part of it and directly
related businesses. We certainly look at the forms industry on a
continuing basis but you are correct in the analysis of the forms
industry, it isnít robust in the sense of value from the shareholder
return, relative especially to our return when we look at the check
side of it. So we feel confident in our ability to really center off
the check relationship and leverage that with alliances with business
partners that also service the small office, home office, where they
might have forms we can partner with them on our private label program
or on an alliance basis. So we are looking at how we can better
service that without us necessarily having to get into the printing of
the forms themselves.
The question is, do we have any such alliances at this point in
time?
LM ñ I say no, we are actively looking at
that and creating those kinds of alliances. It is a potential for us
without having to create brick and mortar for the printing side of it.
If we could go back to the share buyback question, with regard to
the 20 percent of market purchase, could you expound a little bit
about if a self tender would be included in that 20 percent umbrella
or privately negotiated purchases? Could you talk about that a little
bit?
DT ñ The limitations are up to 20 percent.
We can purchase on the open market and in addition we are able to make
block purchases. I anticipate the majority of our repurchases will be
related to block purchases.
Are you precluded from doing a significant self-tender?
DT ñ Yes we are precluded from doing that.
Is that a two-year limitation?
DT ñ Yes.
Can you talk about what typical contract terms would be? Is the
pricing all under contract? And also, the growing importance of the
directions used ñ does that ever become an issue when you talk to
financial institutions about serving them?
LM ñ Iíd like to let Chuck Feltz answer
that as Chuck heads up our financial institution market and I would
like to give you a chance to meet him too.
CF
ñ The structure of our contracts, the pricing term, hasnít changed
much over the past few years. The typical contracts are going to run a
3 to 5 year period and in that we obviously address volume thresholds,
price thresholds, but what has changed over the last few years though
is the focus on not only the price of the check, but the involvement
of the supply chain of lowering the costs which require more
involvement as we bring different programs to bear in the contract
negotiations, so for the last three years that has been more prevalent
part of the RFP process and we work with both the retailing and
procurement areas in the major banks. And itís a growing of the RFPs
in some of the smaller banks as well. Technology investments help
lower the overall cost of doing business relative to that contract
period. Your second question had to do with the direct channel and
cause concern for the FIs. Yes it does cause concern for the FIs to
the extent that they can be losing customer check orders and therefore
margins ñ different banks make in aggregate about $1.7 billion in
revenues just from the sale of checks, so there is a concern there. In
my area, we are heavily focused on retention programs during that
contract period working with the banks so that they as well
participate in those retention programs to keep that customer buying
through that particular channel. Iím of the opinion and I think our
business is that as we get more connected to the end user, the
customer, in partnership with our bank, whether that be through our
VRU or live agent or Internet, that we have a much greater propensity
to keep that person within the bank channel.
Has anyone ever dropped Deluxe as a supplier because of the Companyís
involvement with the direct channel?
CF ó Not to my knowledge in the last
several years. If you want to go back to when it first started
occurring in the mid-nineteen eighties when that channel started to
emerge, I think there might have been a small bank at that time, as I
remember being a sales rep, when we aggravated enough and we werenít
under contact in those times, who would have said this was causing
them a little bit of heartburn. As it emerged, it has just become a
very strong and prevalent channel, we have strategies based on our
merchandising background, to have banks that want to work with us to
keep them in that channel, and most of them do frankly want to work
with us on that. The more that we can take the cost out of that
working definition from them, the better it is. Our competitors have
also been historically in the direct channel as well. In other words,
Clarke American has a brand, Checks In The Mail, so they have the same
issue. Harland used to have a direct channel piece so they used to
have the same issues. Harland came out of the direct channel but on
the marketing side still produces some checks for the Artistic brand
which is now owned by Davis Henderson out of Canada. The banks found
that the three major players were involved in that direct channel as
well.
What percentage of your business now is people going to your site
and not going through the bank to your site but just directly to your
site, and then how are you going to market to the consumer that you
have this site that you want them to come there directly and not go
through the bank?
LM ó Starting with the direct-to-consumer
channel, right now we ended 2000 with about 10 percent of our total
volume conducted via the Internet ñ over a million orders. Eighteen
months ago it was for all practical purposes ñ zero. We will see
this year that number increasing to 15 to 16 percent. So, it has taken
off rather dramatically in our direct-to-consumer. In our ads, if we
go back to those free standing inserts, the website is right in those
boxes when they reorder. The website is advertised as well as our 800
number. In the small office, home office segment ñ about 3 to 4
percent of our total volume is conducted via the Internet. We will see
that growing by two percentage points in the year 2001. In Chuck's
area, less than 1 percent of our volume is via the Internet. In most
of the advertising that is done in the Financial Institution is on the
box of the reorder so that the website ñ deluxe.com ñ is there. We
do not advertise independently to the bankís customer. We would do
so in the check package itself or the bank could have on their website
ñ Order checks ñ and it could be branded by the bank and then hot
linked to us ñ or they could provide information to their customers
on their website saying ñ Go to Deluxe.com. We are firmly committed
to the FI channel right now. We will hot link their site if they so
choose and allow you as a consumer to come to us under all brands to
order your checks and conduct your business there and then we will
link you back to your bankís site. We are available on certain
search engines, and you can find Deluxe.com out there, but we have not
chosen to be aggressive with this at this point. The last time I had a
chance to speak with several of you was in August and I told you we
were into double digit returns in terms of those kind of linkages ñ
now we are in four digits, just to give you some kind of an idea what
we have done in the last year with partnering with our FIs on that.
That is our primary way that we want to go to market with that which
is clearly to work with our financial institution partners. In no way
do we want to create a separation there.
If we want to get new checks, I just tell my wife to go onto your
Internet site and I pay $8 and I get the same check that I can get
through the bank where I would pay $20? But I would hot link into a
different site at Deluxe?
LM ó Just to be clear, if you hot linked
into the Deluxe site, you would pay the same amount you would pay at
your bank. If you hot link into our direct site, you are going to pay
whatever the direct price is at that point.
You mentioned about dropping lower margin business and some
business that was at a loss. What causes the contract to be low margin
and at a loss? It seems to me the economies of scale are such that you
basically shouldnít be losing money on any of your contracts. Do you
have a lot more of those kind of contracts to roll off?
LM ñ We have within the financial
institution segment ñ one of the dynamics of the industry is that if
one of the banks consolidate or merge, a couple of things happen. Even
if we are the provider to both parties, they are probably not at the
same price. So what happens when they do go together they donít come
in and say theyíll pay the higher price of the two. Then they have
greater volume, so they are looking to leverage their buying power. So
what we have had a couple of years ago, some major acquisitions were
taking place in the industry, is the bankís leveraging their buying
power and what we elected to do when we had the contract of 3 to 5
years, we said we were not going to make any money over a 5 year
contract on this even on the margin, then weíre not going to go down
to the price that maybe some of our competition was going to do, so we
took the approach of not wanting to give up the business, but it didnít
make good economic sense for us to do that. We have retained our major
contracts for this year but that was a couple of years ago.
What would cause an acquisition to look good now and to not look
good three years later? What changes to the contract?
LM ó The contract holds obligations from
our standpoint and the clients ñ the banks ñ and those are volume
levels that have to be hit. There are also participation levels and
cost reduction activities that move from paper to electronic, the
reduction of error ratios by their people, depending on how well they
are trained, how well they facilitate the sale of our product and
other things that greatly effect the status of that contract. Over a
period of time, if the original assumptions do not bear out over that
contract period, the contract can go from a certain level of
profitability to that level of profitability over time. More than
likely though, what we have seen over the past couple of years, we
have actually taken that profitability level up because of the
willingness of these banks to partner and to participate in our value
item program. We are typically more pleased at the end of the
relationship, which is why retention numbers are high, then we are
displeased and find that we need to consider parting of ways.
My impression was that pricing had stabilized.
LM ó I think that pricing is more stable
now than it has been in the last several years.
There isnít anyone out there wanting to underbid you to get the
business?
LM ó The opportunity to create instability
is in direct relation to your ability to deliver value. My personal
standpoint, which is biased, is that we have delivered value over the
last few years that is allowing us to reach a level of stability that
wasnít there before that.
Some years ago, Deluxe management undertook the concept of
acquisitions as the mature check business let the cash flow and went
into a series of acquisitions, too numerous to remember, and cut them
all back to end up with eFunds. What can you tell us today that will
give us confidence that you are not embarking on the same plan that
they did 8 to 10 years ago?
LM ó I will repeat those comments. We are
looking at businesses that we are in now ñ like Designer. If a
Designer came along, we would certainly look at it but benchmark it
against the value of the share repurchase. So either we would have to
leverage our core competencies and provide a greater return for us to
seriously consider that. I think I can safely say that you wonít see
us going down any tangents here.
What is in you r average cost of customer acquisition over the last
couple of years and how is that trend going forward?
LM óThe average cost of customer
acquisition in the direct channel ñ I donít want to give you an
exact number ñ but let me put it this way. I can tell you that in
the direct channel in the first order we lose money. We make money on
the reorder. The economics on the direct channel are much different
than the economics of the FI channel. With the FI, we donít have any
cost with the customer acquisition ñ the bank has that. In the
direct channel, we have to go out and acquire that customer. Those are
the metrics of that channel.
Do you make money on that first reorder or do you have to have them
for a year?
LM ó We make money on the first reorder,
more than enough to offset the loss on the initial order. It is
probably a ratio in the 3 to 1 range. So it is significant.
What is your average revenue per customer?
LM ó Average revenue per customer per year
ñ probably, a ballpark number, in the $30 to $35 range.
What are the marketing costs in the direct channel?
LM ó I canít recall that number. I donít
have it right here.
Talk a little bit more about the order entry center in terms of
number of call centers you have and people there and the
opportunities.
LM ó We have today in our FI channel, 3
call centers ñ Greensboro, Syracuse, and Phoenix. Going back several
years ago when we had 65 check printing plants, we almost had a call
center in almost all of them. So we consolidated those dramatically in
the last several years into the 3. In the direct channel,
direct-to-consumer, we have 2 ñ one in Colorado Springs and one in
Anniston, Alabama. In the SOHO (small office, home office) market, we
have 1 in Shoreview, Minnesota and 1 in Colorado Springs. Those are
the call centers we have today ñ dramatically fewer than we had 5 or
10 years ago. As the business grows and relationships change, one is
if the Internet grows, then you might not need as many agents or press
room service people or order people to transact that order, but what
you do is you ship out because even in an Internet order there is a
customer service element. So if a person conducts some piece of
business via the Internet, it means that if there are any questions
that they have, they either place a call, so you still have a call to
follow-up, or you have an email message coming in to which we need to
respond. So it might not be an order taker but it might be shifted
over to an email response to an inquiry coming via the Internet. We
look at our ability to be cost efficient both in technology as well as
the process of order capture all the time. I think there is an
opportunity there but it probably isnít as great if Internet orders
shot up to 50 percent. Certainly an Internet order is a more
cost-effective way to capture an order than it is for example on the
phone. The question is what is the profitability of one via the
Internet or one via the phone? One is more cost effective ñ the
profitability may or may not be depending upon the average order size.
Do you have the feeling for how much of the volume there is going
to be coming in on one order and then not coming back to you versus
what is converted to a profitable relationship through a second order?
LM ó In the direct channel, there is a
fair amount of churn in the direct channel that is generated by
promotional mutual offers. So anytime you pick up that free standing
insert, you usually see buy one, get one free and save X percent, and
so what you have are individuals who are direct channel customers.
They might get a reorder from another source if they arenít loyal to
one company or another. We look at our retention rate on the bottom
line. The reorder and even the third order are what make that business
very profitable. What we work on is retention rates at all times. In
other words, not only getting them in the door the first time, where
we know we are going to lose money, but if we donít get them to
reorder, then it affects our ability to generate the business models,
but right now that business continues to be very very profitable. If
we raise prices, that might reverse the retention rate because they
say they are going to look at some other option first.
In the aggregate, is the direct channel more or less profitable
than the FI channel?
LM ó Iíll answer the same way I did the
first time, and that is that it is about the same. One might be a
little bit more and one a little bit less, but they are both very very
profitable.
When you sell direct to somebody, thatís your customer ñ
correct? So you can market to that customer. When the customer is
coming through the bank, you are not permitted to go market to that
customer directly?
LM ó That is a correct statement.
You have a million orders over the Internet. I was thinking that
was in total including the FI, but is that just the direct channel?
LM ó Thatís just the Internet and direct
channel.
What are your marketing plans to go market to these
people to retain them to sell them additional merchandise? How soon
does that kick in and what percentage of your business is this in 3
years?
LM ó Let me be sure that we are really
clear here in that of the customers that come to us with the financial
institutions, we cannot market to that customer base. Those are the
financial institution customers and we want to be very clear that no
one has a misunderstanding on that. Of the customers that do come to
us via the direct channel and order, we have those customers. We have
about 40 million customers in our database that have ordered from us
over time including PlaidMoon. What we have said is that that
capability is still there but we are going to do it at a much lower
level of investment and much more directly related to the check.
In the FI channel we cannot do so without partnering with the
financial institution. So thatís what is really at the heart of what
Chuck and I had commented about. If we can engage the end consumer in
the financial institution, in a direct conversation or via the
Internet or via VRU on behalf of the FI and by partnering with the FI,
we think we can increase the average order size.
Just a few quick questions under revenue growth. You talked about
services. Can you put some numbers on that? What kind of revenues do
you get from various services and at what rate do you expect it to
grow?
LM ó I would answer it this way. With the
pressures in the financial institution to force that revenue down
because of the bank consolidations and just the price competitiveness
of that, I would say that if you look at our past history, it is
pretty flat in terms of revenue. I think that all of the efforts that
we see on the plus side will keep that revenue line at a flat level
from all of our businesses. As the customers move themselves from the
FI into the direct channel, we are adding services or marketing
upside, so by doing all of those things it should enable us to keep
that flat revenue over the next several years. And we are trying to do
all we can very aggressively on new products and new services and the
ability to upsell and cross sell, so I donít have a specific number
for you other than to say that it will probably net out as a flat
number.
The part about acquiring new customers ñ the business consultants
will tell you that most companyís biggest mistake is underestimating
your competition. In that light, obviously you are in a no growth
market, competition ñ can you talk about what they have been doing?
They are obviously trying to acquire new customers also. What have you
been doing to offset their efforts?
LM ó I really donít know. We watch their
ads. The most frequent way to acquire new customers in the direct
channel is through the free standing inserts and there are really only
two people in that business and we have sold the space that is
available ñ itís pretty much on how they use that space. In a
promotional offer to get someone to switch from their brand to our
brand, so what we do and every direct marketer does, is also have
tests going on in a variety of ways to attract that customer. So we
measure the response rate ñ free, free, free or pay an extra cent or
get a free checkbook cover if you order such and such ñ to see what
works best for us. We track trends. Through market studies we have
seen that weíve gained market share not just through the acquisition
but through our ability to market to the end consumer.
Last year if we strip out divestitures and acquisitions, your
revenue was actually down close to 3 percent. Going forward, whatís
going to be different? In other words, all the things youíve talked
about were in place last year and yet revenues declined. Why will the
next 3 to 5 years show a flat number or conversely why was last year
worse than normal?
DT ñ Our revenue actually increased 2
percent last year in 2000 compared to 1999, if you back out the effect
of the divestiture of NRC, which contributed $124 million to revenue
from 1999.
Right, but if you also back out the acquisition of Designer, you
have a little decline of 3 percent.
DT ñ There were two primary factors. One
was we reduced the customer acquisition last year in conjunction with
our acquisition of Designer Checks in February. We wanted to see if we
could become more effective, more productive, with fewer marketing
dollars to acquire new customers. We werenít able to do that. So our
units dropped as a result of that. Secondly, as we talked about
earlier, we walked away from some lower margin large contracts in the
financial institution portion of our business. So those two factors
would not be go forward factors in the future to a significant extent.
And yet you gained share last year?
LM ñ We donít have share information yet
for the year 2000 but I would suspect that in the direct channel ñ
letís make sure that I was very clear in talking about the direct
channel we picked it up. We probably would have lost a little share in
the FI channel ñ at least thatís how I see it. Looking forward, I
think is the real issue of your question. We think that certainly with
the work Chuck and his team are doing that we can retain customers in
the FI channel at higher rates than we have in the past. There is no
question that we certainly cause our financial institutions some
discomfort when we close all the facilities that we did and we put in
a new order system. Those are almost all behind us at this point in
time. So with our technology, investments, and partnering with the
financial institutions, we think our retention rate is higher ñ we
know it is ñ and we think we have a very good opportunity to compete
very effectively for new business whether it be a contract bid of
theirs coming up or maybe someone who has never been with us. Thatís
our approach coupled with marketing initiatives that we talked about
gives me a very high level of confidence of being able to make
decisions. Certainly weíre working very aggressively on all of
businesses to generate the levels of cash flow that we are
experiencing today.
If you back off the customer acquisition spending, will there be a
lag in actually acquiring those customers and the revenue attached to
them and therefore there would be some period where the spending ramps
up and the revenue hasnít kicked in yet?
LM ñ Yes, there is a lag in two levels.
One, less so on the revenue because you acquire them. Where the lag is
ñ is on the profitability. Let me make sure that I am very clear
that we are talking about the direct channel where we are going out
and trying to acquire a significant number of new customers. Because
of the metrics, for every one of those new customers we lose money on,
certainly there will be a negative hit on the profitability side. The
payback will be in years two and three because we make money on the
reorder part of that business, so when we look at investments in that
direct channel, we look over a three year time, not just one year. We
can stop spending and put it all in the bottom line, but the problem
is that the business is going to go to heck in the second and third
year, so for us, we have to continue to manage that level investment
for the lifetime value of the customer so there is a return on that
level of investment. Thatís where the lag is.
In terms of customer acquisition costs, can you give us some idea
of what you think the lifetime value of your average check order
customer is and can you also show us in terms of the direct channel
ñ can you share with us what the value is if you have one million
hard customers, but you have 40 million names?
LM ñ The million orders last year were
just on the Internet. That is not the total number of orders in our
file ñ that was roughly 10 percent. So last year we had about 10
million orders coming in for the year 2000 on the direct channel. The
40 million names are the people who are in our file that have at any
time purchased from us. So that is a mix of people who bought and
might never have bought in two or three or four years. The purpose of
the 40 million figure is to give magnitude of names that we have to
whom we could market because they are in our file and we have the
capability of doing so. Your first question is what is the lifetime
value of a customer. It is in excess of $125.
How long do you think that lifetime is? Three years?
LM ñ Three years. We watch those over time
ñ response rates and retention rates.
What do you think your customer acquisition cost is in your direct
channel ñ Internet versus free standing inserts or other?
LM ñ It depends on the advertising and the
way people get them. Certainly we advertise in all of the materials we
send our customers ñ we put our 800 number on them and our Internet
address. If they phone into us because of the Internet, then there
really was no cost. There is some conversion of people who would have
called over the phone and now are moving over to the Internet. Not
necessarily a new customer, but a different way for them to come to
us. The Internet way is certainly more cost effective than advertising
for a new customer.
You are stepping up your direct-to-consumer spending this year. Do
you think the margins might rise a bit in 02 and beyond?
LM ñ Iíll go back and say what I said
earlier. When you take it all and net it out, we think we can keep it
flat because we have many things going on in terms of the FI side in
terms of price competition, and we feel that all of the things that I
just summarized in the discussions that weíve had in the prepared
comments as well as in the Q&A, just keeping that level of
operating dollars of profit or EBITDA flat over the next several
years. There might be some upside to that but at this point in time I
would not forecast that.
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