Deluxe Corporation
New York Investor Conference
New York Stock Exchange
Speakers: Lawrence J. Mosner, Chairman and Chief
Executive Officer
Douglas J. Treff, Chief Financial Officer
Ronald E. Eilers, Chief Operating Officer
(Transcript of prepared statements and edited
question-and-answer session.)
Wednesday, August 15, 2001,
10:00 am (CST)
Larry Mosner
Good afternoon. I’d like to welcome those who were able to join us
in person today, as well as the people who are listening to us via the
World Wide Web, either live or at a later date. Thanks, everyone, for
your interest in Deluxe Corporation.
The Company’s overall business story remains steady and
relatively unchanged since the last time we were here in February. We’ve
had a good first half for 2001 and we feel confident that we can hit
our targets for the remainder of the year. We recently raised our
Earnings Per Share target from $2.45, to $2.53 to $2.56 and indicated
that any share repurchases made during the second half of the year
would be incremental to this new target. We also indicated that our
revenues would reverse from the slightly down we experienced in the
first half of the year, to up slightly during the second half of the
year.
Our intent today is to update you on our strategy and progress
since our meeting earlier this year. Before we get started with that,
there are a couple of recent news items that I would like to mention.
First, we’ve made some minor name changes to two of our business
units. The changes were communicated via a news release earlier this
morning.
The unit that most recently we’ve been calling Business Forms
will now be called Business Services. We believe this name change,
albeit slight, will recognize the fact that this business is and will
be more than forms. We plan to expand this unit’s product offerings
and also provide more services. We’ll talk about some of these in a
few minutes.
The other change is to call our Financial Institution Checks
business Financial Services. In this unit as well, we are more than a
single product. Marketing programs, security options and conversion
services take us beyond checks. We’ll give some examples of these
later on as well.
The name "Deluxe" will be attached to both of these
business segments, but may not always proceed the more descriptive
terms, simply for purposes of brevity.
Our third unit will continue to be known as Direct Checks, and
consists of both the Checks Unlimited and Designer Checks brands.
The other piece of news is that we have a new board member—Martyn
Redgrave. Martyn comes to us with strong financial and strategic
planning and development experience from both public and private
companies. Currently he is executive vice president-finance and chief
financial officer of Carlson Companies in Minneapolis. Martyn also has
held positions with PepsiCo and Arthur Andersen.
With the recent news covered, let’s look at the topics on today’s
agenda. Our first speaker is Ron Eilers, Deluxe’s president and
chief operating officer. Ron will present Deluxe’s story from an
operations perspective—how our business model is steering us into
the future, how things are going in each of our three business units,
and even a brief glimpse into the near future.
Then, Doug Treff, our chief financial officer, will update you on
the financials. I think that, by now, most of you have met Doug, or at
least heard him on our quarterly conference calls.
Also with us today, but not presenting, is Tony Scarfone, our
general counsel.
And of course, after our prepared comments, we will be glad to take
your questions. First, Ron Eilers.
Ron Eilers
Thanks, Larry.
I was watching a Twin Cities television station the other evening
when they were showing some highlights of the 1987 World Series in
which the Minnesota Twins defeated the St. Louis Cardinals in seven
games. As the camera panned the crowd, it stopped on a sign that a fan
was holding. The sign read, "The Metrodome. We like it
here."
Now, I’ve been told that most New Yorkers don’t pay much
attention to baseball if the team isn’t owned by George Steinbrenner
or played at Shea Stadium, so let me explain. During the ‘87 World
Series, Twins fans took a lot of grief because of their aesthetically-challenged
indoor stadium. However, the stadium was good to them. While
the Twins’ record on the road was a pathetic 29 and 52, their record
at home was 56 and 25! Hence the sign: "We like it here."
The Metrodome is no architectural marvel, but it sure worked for the
Twins in 1987.
This seemed like a fitting analogy to Deluxe’s position within
the check printing industry. The market is mature. Checks are not hot
like the dot.coms of a couple years ago. Check printing certainly isn’t
a controversial industry like biotechnology. And it isn’t cutting
edge like nanotechnology. In fact, most people see check printing as
rather boring.
But like that sign said, "we like it here."
We’ve been printing checks for more than 85 years, and we’re
good at it -- the industry leader. Good enough, even, to be doing well
in the face of a mature-to-declining market in a less-than-robust
economy.
Driving us to thrive during such conditions is what we call our
Business Alignment Model. When Larry and Doug met with you in
February, Larry introduced you to the model, but I’d like to give
you a closer look.
At the top of the model are Deluxe’s six shared values. Openness,
Trust and Integrity; Innovation; Partnering for the Common Goal;
Recognition and Celebration; Respect and Dignity For All; and Quality.
These values drive everything we do across the entire company—how we
interact with our clients and customers, our shareholders, the public
and each other.
Underneath the shared values is our Vision: Grow Deluxe by
leveraging our personalization, direct marketing and e-commerce
competencies. This vision is firmly rooted in all three of the
business units.
Supporting our vision and shared values are five primary objectives—Revenue
Growth; Growing Client and Customer Loyalty; People; Cost Management;
and Transformation. These five objectives are stable over time; they
ground us; they allow us to stay focused on what it is we want to
accomplish. And they are the best vehicle with which to update you on
the status of the Company.
First, revenue growth. Yes, the market is mature. Yes, our revenues
are flat to down slightly, although we think we can reverse that. Yes,
we are selling fewer units. And yes, we continue to experience pricing
pressures as financial institutions merge into gargantuan
organizations.
However, through the other four objectives from our business
alignment model, we are finding ways that we believe will move revenue
in a positive direction.
First, we are making new services and programs a priority. Just one
example is our Business Referral Program. Through BRP, banks refer
their small business customers to us for their checks and related
office products. This program is based in our Business Services
segment, but is sold to our financial institution clients via our
Financial Services sales force.
Another way we will turn the revenue curve around is through a
technology called DeluxeportTM. Deluxeport is a Web-enabled
check ordering application that allows our financial institution
clients to order Deluxe products using the Internet. We piloted
DeluxePort with Chase Manhattan Bank beginning in May, and when the
pilot was successfully completed at the end of June, Chase began a
gradual rollout of DeluxePort throughout their entire network of banks
and contact centers. While this new capability is intended to increase
revenue, it also supports the other business objectives that I’ll be
talking about in a few minutes.
Another way we’re improving our revenue per unit is through a
better product mix. For instance, a check with a popular licensed
design on it makes more money for our financial institution clients
and for Deluxe than does a plain paper check. So, by improving our
product mix with licenses such as the recently-introduced Disney line,
and the ever-popular Winnie the Pooh, we improve our revenue. And,
end-user customers greatly prefer them.
And the fourth way in which we intend to grow revenue is to focus
on selling on behalf of our financial institution, or FI, clients.
Deluxe could have the most profitable product mix ever created, but if
check writers don’t know about the various styles and options
available, the product line will not be able to do its job. As Larry
mentioned in his presentation last February, the people who are in the
best position to help our FI clients sell the most profitable products
are Deluxe employees. Therefore, there is tremendous value in
occupying the strategic position between the financial institution and
the check writer—always, of course, on behalf of our FI clients.
This position comes with a bonus: Selling directly to the end consumer
on behalf of our clients benefits everyone involved.
Financial institutions benefit because:
| l |
They can reduce costs by
passing the selling function on to us, |
| l |
They increase their revenue
because their customers are moved to more profitable designs
and options, and |
| l |
They retain customers because
people are happier with their checks. |
Another beneficiary of the program are the people who buy checks
from their financial institutions. As I mentioned, they get the
product they prefer—one that is an extension of their
personalities, interests or hobbies.
The third party in this win-win-win scenario is Deluxe, for all
the reasons just mentioned.
One final strategy within our revenue growth objective involves
marketing alliances. Within Financial Services, Deluxe has a number
of alliance partners including Harley Davidson, Disney, NASCAR,
Warner Brothers and Coca-Cola. And within our Business Services
segment, we partner with Software Technology, Yardi Systems, Open
Systems, Juris and Deltek, to name just a few.
Let’s move on to the second objective on our business model—growing
client (FIs) and customer loyalty, which by the way, is tied closely
to the first objective, revenue growth. These two objectives have a
symbiotic relationship. The best way to grow revenue is through
loyal customers and clients, and without loyal customers, revenue
will have a tough time growing.
A number of rather large financial institutions have demonstrated
their loyalty by signing contracts over the last several months—for
instance, Synovus, Wells Fargo, Boeing, and First Union. In
addition, we expect to be making an announcement regarding an
expanded relationship with another major financial institution very
soon. The Business Referral Program I mentioned earlier was a major
plus in a number of these recent competitive situations. Our ability
to retain the FI’s business check customers for them through BRP
and our retention marketing competencies, is unmatched by any of our
competitors.
We’re also proud of the dozens of other wins with smaller banks
across the country. I won’t read all the success on this slide
because the length of the two lists speaks for itself.
To what do we owe these recent successes in Financial Services?
Our technology capabilities, for one. And second—what we’re
probably known for most—value-added quality and service.
As our first objective of growing revenue is tied to growing
customer and client loyalty, the latter objective is tied to the
third—people. Behind every one of the client acquisitions and
retentions I just mentioned are Deluxe employees. Our account
managers take great satisfaction in bringing in new business, of
course. However, all employees are proud (when news gets around)
that the company has landed new business or extended existing
business. And company pride is one of the best ways to create an
atmosphere where employees are active and engaged, criteria we
believe are critical to a successful business.
Here are some of the things we’re doing to engage employees:
For the second consecutive year, we have polled our workforce to
determine their level of engagement. These surveys have told us in
which areas we are doing a good job of engaging employees, as well
as those areas in which there’s still room for improvement.
The engagement survey helps us answer the following three
questions:
| 1. |
How likely are employees to
SAY positive things about the company? |
| 2. |
How likely are employees to
STAY at the company? and |
| 3. |
How willing are employees
to give extra effort to SERVE the company? |
It’s the SAY-STAY-SERVE approach.
By grouping questions and their corresponding answers into these
three categories, we come up with an "engagement score."
We are extremely pleased with this year’s score which showed
substantial improvement over last year.
In general, the survey told us that employees are positive about
many engagement factors including culture and core values,
communication, manager/supervisor relationships, and quality of
their work life.
I believe we’ve brought the concept of quality of work life to
the forefront and made it personal through executive site visits,
which we started last year.
Larry and I get to each of our facilities at least once a year,
and the rest of the leadership team makes site visits a priority
too. Employees get to meet us face-to-face, shake our hands, ask
questions, and offer their ideas.
Another way we create engagement opportunities for our employees
is by developing our leaders. Once a year, we bring our sales and
business leadership teams together to review our strategies,
objectives and tactics and ensure that everyone’s efforts are
aligned to our business model. Another reason these meetings are
important is because it brings together a salesforce that lives all
across the country. We see value in creating a place where people
can all hear the same message and have the opportunity to network
and share ideas.
There’s another leadership development initiative that we’re
rolling out this fall across the entire corporation. The first
employees to go through the program will be those who report
directly to the executive leadership team. Content will focus on the
skills and knowledge needed to be a strong leader.
This development course will make us a stronger company by
preparing our future leaders. Using the tools that they learn,
people can prepare for more challenging assignments and greater
responsibility within Deluxe.
Investing in our employees ties directly to the shared values
within our business alignment model. After all, people are the
primary means for a company to differentiate itself in the
marketplace.
Our fourth objective within the business alignment model is cost
management. If you’ve been following Deluxe for any time at all,
you know that we’ve been taking cost out of the business for
years. Over the past five years, we’ve reduced the number of
printing facilities from 31 to 13. We’ve consolidated call centers
from 31 to 7. We’ve reduced our census from 12,685 in 1996 to
7,250 as of the second quarter of this year.
However, there comes a point when take-outs jeopardize a company’s
ability to serve the customer. That means we have to be a bit more
creative in looking for ways to save money, but that’s okay
because Deluxe always has been strong in the area of creativity and
innovation.
In exercising our creativity, we looked at outsourcing as a
potential cost savings. We selected nine rather significant but
non-strategic functions to take outside the company—IT
development, order capture, transaction processing,
telecommunications, computer support, HR benefits, mailroom, IT
contractor management and the data center. We’ve established
alliances with companies such as AT&T, Comdisco, Axciom, Sageo
and eFunds.
The fifth and last objective from our business alignment model is
transformation. Let me first allay any concern you might have with
the word "transformation." Although we’re not talking
about transforming an 85-year-old check printer with a stellar
reputation into a company that clones sheep, we will transform our
systems…our approaches…and our product and service offerings to
ensure our industry leadership in the new millennium. Be assured,
however, that while transforming, we will leverage our core
competencies of personalization, direct marketing and e-commerce.
Here’s an example: We have initiated a cellular manufacturing
program within our production process. Don’t panic—I’m not
talking about going down the path of stem cell research; I’m
talking about work cells, or small, self-contained teams focused on
operating several different machines or processes. The advantage of
the cellular approach is that you have an empowered work force of
multi-skilled employees operating as a team. Product travels less
distance and is handled less frequently, thereby transforming
processes and reducing costs. A cellular system also reduces
bottlenecks that can sometimes occur in a traditional assembly line
production environment.
We recently completed a pilot of cellular manufacturing in our
San Jose and Chicago facilities, and the results were so impressive
that we will be converting nearly all of our check printing
facilities over the next 12 to 24 months. Cellular manufacturing
will move us from a linear process to one of small, self-contained,
highly efficient work units that are responsible for a major
production sequence.
Also included under the transformation objective are some of the
initiatives I’ve already mentioned such as Deluxeport and the
Business Referral Program.
And I couldn’t talk about transformation without showing you
these graphs of Internet order volume. You’ll see that the line
continues to move upward across all three of our business segments.
There’s also transformation taking place in our Customer Care
(Call Center) organization where we’re moving from a cost center
to a revenue contributor. In the past, the financial institution new
accounts person would call Deluxe and order checks on behalf of the
new customer. Typically, the conversation was pretty short. Name,
address, phone number—the basics; and the transaction usually
concluded in an order for a basic check—in other words, a plain
paper check at the lowest price point.
We’re moving to an environment where the conversation is
followed up with a question from the Deluxe sales associate.
"Your customer can have her checks in only two days. Would you
like me to add expedited delivery for just $8.00?" Frequently,
the new accounts person says "Yes" on behalf of the
customer. That simple question just increased Deluxe’s revenue.
Although 99.9% of such calls are between the bank and Deluxe,
occasionally it’s obvious to the Deluxe sales associates that the
end consumer is sitting there. The Deluxe employee asks to speak
with the end consumer directly, and almost always the new accounts
person is happy to be relieved from being caught in the middle. This
connection allows the Deluxe employee to sell the end user the
products he or she would prefer to use.
Transformation is also taking place in the area of customer
support. Our sales organization continues to sell the benefits of
electronic ordering connections. Currently 78% of our orders are
coming in through electronic connections.
I have one more item related to transformation: Because I’m
often asked about our use of digital technology, let me anticipate
potential inquiries and say that Deluxe has been using
digitally-driven offset printing for many years. We also use Xerox
digital printing technology within our Financial Services group for
printing some specialized products, as well as within the Direct
Checks unit for printing side-tear checks.
Will we convert the rest of our business to digital in the
future? That’s hard to say, but be assured that we will keep our
eyes on the field. For now, making sweeping changes to our printing
operations does not make sense given that our printing technology is
already highly efficient and allows us to own the number one
position as low-cost producer.
Check printing. It’s not sexy. It’s not considered high-tech,
although Deluxe has made technology a key means of service
differentiation. It certainly isn’t controversial. But it’s an
industry in which we’ve been the market leader for all of our 85½
years.
By utilizing that experience in conjunction with forward
thinking, we have created a blueprint for the future. That blueprint
is our business alignment model.
We know how to manage our costs.
We have the creativity to grow our revenue in new ways.
We have exceptionally knowledgeable employees who take immense
pride in serving our loyal clients and customers.
All these qualities, combined with our investment in technology
put us in a solid position as we move forward.
Check printing. "We like it here."
Now I’ll turn things over to our CFO, Doug Treff.
Doug Treff
Thanks, Ron. If you have children, you’ve probably had the
"money talk" with them. You know—that’s where you try
to convince them that they should want to put half of their
allowance in the piggy bank rather than spend it on something more
important like candy or stuff from the dollar store.
I had such a talk not too long ago with my son, Joshua. Josh is
8. He was struggling with the concept of having to save for the
future, which in his eyes, I’m sure, seems like it will never
come. I thought I would impress him when I told him that one of the
most enjoyable parts of my job is helping Deluxe put cash to work
for the long-term benefit of the company’s shareholders. I
explained that the money he saved would work for him over the
long-term. From there we moved on to talk about interest
compounding. I might even have said a few things about the rule of
72, retained earnings and return on capital investment. I thought he
was a bit young to get into weighted average cost of capital.
I didn’t quite understand why suddenly, he jumped up from the
table and rushed off, shouting, "Catch you later, dad. I’ve
got homework to do." It was a moment before I remembered it was
summer vacation.
Okay, I admit it. I get a little excited about cash and planning
the best way to make it work to achieve the maximum long-term
benefit. That’s where I’d like to begin my remarks this
afternoon. And I promise that I won’t keep you as long as I did my
son the other night.
Putting cash to work for the long-term benefit is how we’re
increasing shareholder value. Specifically, how will we do that?
First, through capital investments that create growth opportunities
and/or operating efficiencies. Here’s an example of each. In the
area of creating growth opportunities, I’ll refer back to
DeluxePort, the technology that Ron talked about. DeluxePort is
allowing our FI clients to connect to us via the Internet.
And in the area of creating operating efficiencies, I’ll refer
you to another topic Ron mentioned—cellular manufacturing. By
investing in a production environment of work cells, we get the
product out more efficiently and accurately, thereby saving money.
Not only will our capital investments allow us to grow revenue,
increase productivity and operate more efficiently, but they also
will allow us to continue to hold the coveted position of low-cost
producer.
We have invested $17 million on capital expenditures half way
through the year. We anticipate spending 40-45 million dollars this
year on these initiatives which is consistent with what we have
previously said.
The second way we’re making cash work for us in the long-term
is by reducing our weighted average cost of capital. Currently,
shareholder equity is costing us about 12 percent. We can borrow
that same money for somewhere between 4 and 7 percent, depending on
whether it is commercial paper or long term debt. So we can more
effectively utilize our shareholder investment by increasing our
debt, thereby moving us toward our optimal capital structure.
The third way cash is working for us is our ongoing share
repurchase plan. This program is an excellent use of cash and it
enhances shareholder value. As we’ve told you before, we are
financing the repurchase through the combination of cash and debt.
We will continue to evaluate future investments against the returns
available from share repurchase. Since we announced our share
repurchase program on January 31 of this year, we’ve bought back
approximately 6.8 million of the 14 million shares authorized by our
board.
I should probably mention here that with the recent spin-off of
eFunds, the share repurchase program could move us to a point of
negative shareholders’ equity. For many companies, such a position
can be a sign of trouble. However, if you judge a company by its
shareholders’ equity alone, you won’t get an accurate picture.
Such is the case with Deluxe. If negative shareholders’ equity
comes about, it will be the result of three things:
| 1. |
recent share repurchase
programs that have returned almost $500 million to
shareholders, |
| 2. |
our historical practice of
paying dividends at a rate of more than 50 percent of
earnings, and |
| 3. |
the spin-off of eFunds—all
good things for our shareholders. |
I would encourage investors to focus on our cash flow generating
capability and interest coverage ratios, when appraising the
underlying health of Deluxe.
The fourth way we will put cash to work for us in the long-term
is through strategic acquisitions to bolster our existing market
position or by entering related or adjacent markets. As we’ve
stated in the past, but I’ll gladly say it again, we have
carefully defined parameters for potential acquisitions.
Acquisitions must build off our core competencies of
personalization, direct marketing and e-commerce. They also must be
accretive to cash flow and EPS.
Okay, let’s move on and take a look at Deluxe’s key operating
statistics compared to last year, beginning with revenue. Our
revenue decline is slowing as shown in the first two quarters for
two reasons: One, increasing revenues in Business Services and
Direct Checks. Second, we have retained and attracted more business
in Financial Services through valued-added quality and service,
combined with our technology capabilities. Revenue in that segment
declined approximately $19 million in the first quarter and $12
million in the second quarter, evidence that unit volume declines
are moderating in this channel.
We believe that trend will continue and that we will deliver
overall modest revenue growth in the last half of the year. There
are a couple of key points to note on this slide showing key
operating statistics for the first half of the year. First,
operating margin at 22.2% is up .3 percentage points compared to
last year. Second, EBITDA margin is also improving, up 1.9 points to
28.5% year-to-date. Third, and more important than percentages,
EBITDA dollars have also improved. They were up $9.7 million, to
$180.7, compared to 2000. These indicators show excellent financial
health and competitive strength.
Another positive indicator has been Deluxe’s share price since
the spin-off of eFunds. However, if you look at this table that
compares Deluxe to businesses in our peer group, you might come to
the conclusion that Deluxe still is undervalued. It could be argued
that our PE multiple doesn’t reflect our industry leadership,
strong operating margin and high dividend yield.
So, that’s where Deluxe stands as of mid-August. What does the
rest of 2001 look like? Well, we will focus on a number of issues:
| l |
We will leverage our core
competencies of personalization, direct marketing and
e-commerce to expand our opportunities in our existing lines
of business, |
| l |
We will invest in our
existing businesses by adding services and expanding product
offerings, |
| l |
We will consider acquisitions
that leverage key competencies and that are accretive to
earnings and cash flow per share, and |
| l |
We will invest in technology
and processes that will lower our cost structure and provide
competitive advantage. |
All this with the intended outcome of
| 1. |
Strengthening the
leadership positions we have established in servicing the
check writing needs of customers throughout the United
States, and |
| 2. |
Retaining, as well as
gaining, market share so that we might increase value for
all our shareholders. |
And while we’re on the subject of creating shareholder value, I
couldn’t close my comments without showing you this updated table.
It’s the same one you saw in February, only the numbers now are
even more impressive. The $42.65 combined value as of August 13
represents an increase of more than 60% in the stock price since any
one of those three key dates. It clearly demonstrates that our
efforts to spin-off eFunds were worth it. Separating the companies
was the right thing to do for both entities.
In summary, Deluxe has the financial strength to invest in the
business, pay dividends, repurchase shares, and pursue
acquisitions that meet our strategic and financial criteria.
Now, I’ll turn the podium back to Larry.
Larry Mosner
Thanks, Doug.
I hope you found your time here today to be worthwhile. We trust
that our presentation has accomplished a number of things:
| 1. |
Given you a
better understanding of our business alignment model, for it
truly is the roadmap that will help us navigate in this
ever-changing marketplace and challenging economy; |
| 2. |
Given you some
insight into the softer side of Deluxe—our corporate
culture…our shared values…our engaged workforce; |
| 3. |
Helped you
understand Deluxe’s financial position – its strength in
terms of operating margins and cash flow; and |
| 4. |
Generated some
enthusiasm for our business initiatives. |
If you haven’t noticed, let me come out and say it—we’re
excited about Deluxe’s future, and we hope you are, too.
Edited question and answer session
LM —Larry Mosner, DT—Doug
Treff
Can you talk about how you think about your cost of equity and how
you factor in the share price in terms of thinking about cost of
equity and share buyback?
DT—In evaluating the share repurchase, one
of the things we look at, especially now that the stock has increased
very nicely since the beginning of the year, is at what point does it
no longer make sense for us to repurchase shares? At this time, we
have every intention of completing the 14 million share repurchase
program. The only things that could cause us to reconsider that would
be if market conditions changed significantly or if the stock price
continued to increase dramatically or if there was an acquisition or
sudden need to use cash. One way we evaluate the share repurchase is
we look to see whether or not it is cash flow accretive, meaning the
money that we need to borrow in order to repurchase the shares. Is the
interest expense that we need to pay – greater or less – than what
we benefit from by eliminating the dividends associated with those
shares? So, depending upon our borrowing rate, for example, if you
assume a 7 percent borrowing rate, at that level you would repurchase
shares up to approximately $35 and it would still be cash flow
accretive. But that’s only one factor. Really, in conducting a share
repurchase, you’re looking at the expectations and opportunities and
the potential cash flows that could come in the future in determining
an appropriate valuation of the company and in making an assessment as
to whether it is undervalued or appropriately valued. Did that answer
your question?
You made the statement with respect to acquisitions, that they have
to be accretive to earnings and cash flow. Over what period of time?
In other words, is there wiggle room there or does it have to be
accretive in the year of the acquisition?
DT—I’ll answer that question. There is
very little wiggle room. Certainly there could be initial transition
expenses that might occur within a one or two quarter time frame, but
our expectation is that within a twelve-month period it would achieve
both of those objectives.
What do you think is the optimal capital structure? Do you see any
point in time when the financial institutions business will stop
shrinking?
DT—I’ll take the first question – our
optimal capital structure. We’ve done a considerable amount of
analysis related to our optimal capital structure and have determined
that our optimal debt level that would drive us toward the optimal
capital structure is significantly north of where we are today. We
believe that we derive the vast majority of benefit by moving the
company’s debt position to somewhere around $300 to $350 million.
This moves us towards our optimal capital structure and allows us to
reduce our weighted average cost of capital, yet still have
significant borrowing capacity.
LM —The question as to whether we see
anytime where financial institution volume would stop declining –
let me answer that first from the respect of the industry. We see that
personal checks have probably peaked and they will begin a slow
decline. So, as it relates to the total industry in the U.S. market,
we see that as being the trend. Now the question is how is that market
divided up between the financial institution segment and then the
direct segment – the two primary segments. What we have seen is that
the direct segment today is about 21 percent of the total and the
financial institution portion is the balance. We have been on a trend
on the direct side where that channel has been growing at about one
percentage point a year from 18 to 19 to 20 to 21 percent. We now see
that slowing to about a half a percentage point a year as we look into
the future. So we see the decline on the financial institution total
marketplace slowing. Then the question is what is our share of that
marketplace? As Ron mentioned, one of the things that we feel we can
do is add more value to that transaction. We can add more product and
services to that transaction and increase the dollar value by selling
more – either changing the type font, putting a saying on the check,
selling a Mickey Mouse check versus a plain safety check, a leather
checkbook cover, expedited delivery, etc. The kinds of things that we
can add, makes the transaction have more dollar value. So there is
really a difference when we look at it between the unit transaction
numbers and then the dollar value of revenue that is driven off of
that unit. So, for our particular part of the business at Deluxe in
the financial institution side, the Financial Services Business, we
see that decline slowing and we think there is a potential for us to
be able to grow that revenue.
You talked about optimal debt being about $350 million. Are you
including your short-term debt of $117 million in that number?
DT—Yes I am.
That would imply that you have approximately $220 million worth of
borrowing capacity in your mind before you reach an optimal structure?
DT—I’ll clarify. The optimal structure
would imply a much higher debt level than the $300 or $350 million. We
derive the vast majority of benefit by moving toward $300 or $350
million.
What’s been the average price per share that you’ve paid in
your repurchase?
DT—I don’t think that we have
communicated that, but it’s been in the mid to upper 20’s –
approximately $26 or $27.
Larry, strategically when you are talking about acquisitions and
you are talking about the business, I guess if I look at this company
over the next five years, my real bottom-line question is how do you
intend to deliver value and if acquisitions are a part of it, maybe
you can add a little more qualitative comments in terms of area, kinds
of things you are looking for, other than the parameters of not being
dilutive?
LM—What we’ve said is, and the key words
in response to your question – are leveraging our core competencies.
Personalization, which would imply opportunities to do acquisitions
similar to what we did at Designer Check. There also could be
services. One of the things that Ron talked about is our ability to
service that financial institution customer on behalf of the financial
institution by talking to him or her directly. Once we establish that
relationship with that customer, we think there is an opportunity to
offer other products or other services on behalf of the financial
institution for their benefit and for their customer’s benefit. So,
as we think about that, once we establish that relationship of which
there are many, there might be businesses that would be adjacent to
what we are doing today that would fit and if we can prove that
business case and develop that business model, then we would look at
companies that occupied that space and look at those as acquisition
candidates along with the financial criteria that Doug mentioned. It
is something that we want to make sure that whatever we do leverages
the adjacencies to what we are in today and builds off of those core
competencies. If that can generate a return, that would be equal to or
better than the share repurchase, and leverage revenue growth for the
future, and either strengthen our relationship with either the end
customer or the financial institution, then it would make sense for us
to do that.
Given your present size, would you like to give us some parameters
about maximum size that you would be looking at? I would assume these
are more tuck-in acquisitions than venture companies.
LM—Yes. I think first it would have to
meet the financial criteria. And, the other side of it would be our
ability to handle the integration of any acquisition, not just from
the financial side but from the management side. The key to making a
successful acquisition is really just part done when you do the
initial analysis. The real key to a successful acquisition is the post
acquisition integration. We have had great success with our Designer
Check acquisition in making sure that it fit and it is exceeding all
of our expectations. We feel we have a very good plan, should we make
an acquisition, of knowing how to integrate very quickly and leverage
the strengths, the people, and the culture.
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