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MD & A
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[Management's Discussion and Analysis]

ENVIRONMENTAL MATTERS The company has been named a potentially responsible party (PRP), in conjunction with other parties, in a number of cases arising under an environmental protection law, the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act, popularly known as the Superfund law. These cases involve sites which allegedly have received wastes from current or former company locations. Based on information available to the company, which, in most cases, consists of data related to quantities and characteristics of material generated at, or shipped to, each site as well as cost estimates from PRPs and/or federal or state regulatory agencies for the cleanup of these sites, a reasonable estimate is calculated of the company's share, if any, of the probable costs and is provided for in the financial statements. These obligations are generally recognized no later than completion of the remedial feasibility study and are not discounted to their present value. The company reviews its accruals on a regular basis and believes that, based on these calculations, its share of the potential additional costs for the cleanup of each site will not have a material effect on the company's financial results.

DERIVATIVE FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS As disclosed in Notes 1 and 10 to the Financial Statements, the company uses derivative financial instruments to transfer or reduce the risks of foreign exchange and interest rate volatility, and potentially increase the return on invested funds.

The company's manufacturing operations, as conditions warrant, hedge foreign exchange exposure on the purchase of parts and materials from foreign countries and its exposure from the sale of manufactured products in other countries. Contracted purchases of commodities or manufacturing equipment may also be hedged.

The financial services operations may use forward contracts to hedge the fair value of their fixed rate receivables against changes in market interest rates in anticipation of the sale of such receivables. The financial services operations also use interest rate swaps to reduce exposure to interest rate changes when they sell fixed rate receivables on a variable rate basis. For the protection of investors in NFC's debt securities, NFC may write interest rate caps when fixed rate receivables are sold on a variable rate basis.

MARKET RISK DISCLOSURE The company's primary market risks include fluctuations in interest rates and currency exchange rates. The company is also exposed to changes in the prices of commodities used in its manufacturing operations and to changes in the prices of equity instruments owned by the company. Commodity price risk related to the company's current commodity financial instruments and equity price risk related to the company's current investments in equity instruments are not material. The company does not hold any material market risk sensitive instruments for trading purposes.

The company has established policies and procedures to manage sensitivity to interest rate and foreign currency exchange rate market risk. These procedures include the monitoring of the company's level of exposure to each market risk, the funding of variable rate receivables with variable rate debt, and limiting the amount of fixed rate receivables which may be funded with floating rate debt. These procedures also include the use of derivative financial instruments to mitigate the effects of interest rate fluctuations and to reduce the exposure to exchange rate risk.

Interest rate risk is the risk that the company will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in interest rates. The company measures its interest rate risk by estimating the net amount by which the fair value of all of its interest rate sensitive assets and liabilities would be impacted by selected hypothetical changes in market interest rates. Fair value is estimated using a discounted cash flow analysis. Assuming a hypothetical instantaneous 10% decrease in interest rates as of October 31, 1999 and 1998, the net fair value of these instruments would decrease by approximately $5 million in each year. The company's interest rate sensitivity analysis assumes a parallel shift in interest rate yield curves. The model, therefore, does not reflect the potential impact of changes in the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates.

Foreign currency risk is the risk that the company will incur economic losses due to adverse changes in foreign currency exchange rates. The company's primary exposure to foreign currency exchange fluctuations are the Canadian dollar/U.S. dollar and Mexican peso/U.S. dollar. At October 31, 1999 and 1998, the potential reduction in future earnings from a hypothetical instantaneous 10% adverse change in quoted foreign currency spot rates applied to foreign currency sensitive instruments would be approximately $10 million in each year. The foreign currency sensitivity model is limited by the assumption that all of the foreign currencies to which the company is exposed would simultaneously decrease by 10%, because such synchronized changes are unlikely to occur. The effects of foreign currency forward contracts have been included in the above analysis; however, the sensitivity model does not include the inherent risks associated with the anticipated future transactions denominated in foreign currency for which these forward contracts have been entered into for hedging purposes.

 

 

 

 

 

 


  Annual Report 1999 

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