Certain statements under this caption "Management's Discussion
and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations," constitute
"forward-looking statements" under the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees
of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties
and other factors, which may cause the actual results, performance or
achievements to differ materially from the future results, performance
or achievements expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements.
Such factors include inter alia general economic and business conditions,
cruise industry competition, the impact of tax laws and regulations, changes
in other laws and regulations, delivery schedule of new vessels, emergency
ship repairs, incidents involving cruise vessels at sea, reduced consumer
demand for cruises as a result of any number of reasons, including armed
conflict or political instability, changes in interest rates and weather.
General
SUMMARY
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (the "Company") reported improved
net income and earnings per share for the year ended December 31, 1999
as shown in the table below. Net income increased 16.0% to $383.9 million
or $2.06 per share on a diluted basis compared to $330.8 million or $1.83
per share in 1998. The improvements were attained despite a decline in
revenues and operating income resulting from a temporary reduction in
capacity. Monarch of the Seas missed 11 voyages during the first
quarter of 1999 due to a grounding incident in mid-December 1998 and Grandeur
of the Seas and Enchantment of the Seas lost two and six voyages,
respectively, during the first half of 1999 due to unscheduled engine
repairs. The Company recovers certain lost income from ships being out
of service through its loss-of-hire insurance. Included in net income
for 1999 is approximately $26.5 million of loss-of-hire insurance, which
is recorded in Other income (expense).
Included in net income in 1999 and 1998 are charges of $14.0 million
and $9.0 million, respectively, related to settlements with the U.S. Department
of Justice and $3.3 million in 1999 related to a settlement with the State
of Alaska. Net income for 1998 also includes a reduction in earnings of
approximately $9.0 million related to the Monarch of the Seas incident.
Accordingly, on a comparable basis, before the previously mentioned settlements
and the Monarch of the Seas incident, earnings increased to $401.2
million or $2.15 per share in 1999, from $348.8 million or $1.93 per share
in 1998.
As a result of the temporary decline in capacity
and the inclusion of loss-of-hire insurance in Other income (expense)
during 1999, certain operating margins are not comparative year over year.
FLEET EXPANSION
The Company's fleet expansion continued with the delivery
of Voyager of the Seas in October 1999, the first of three Eagle-class
vessels to be added to the Royal Caribbean International fleet. With the
delivery of Voyager of the Seas, six Vision-class vessels from
1995 through 1998 and the acquisition of Celebrity Cruise Lines Inc. ("Celebrity")
in 1997, the Company's capacity has increased approximately 131.2% from
14,228 berths at December 31, 1994 to 32,900 at December 31, 1999.
The Company has 10 ships on order and options to purchase two additional
vessels. The delivery dates for the two vessels on option are in the second
quarters of 2005 and 2006. The planned berths and expected delivery dates
of the ships on order are as follows:
The Eagle-class vessels are the largest passenger cruise ships ever
built. The Vantage-class vessels are a progression from Royal Caribbean
International's Vision-class vessels, while the Millennium-class vessels
are a progression from Celebrity Cruises' Century-class vessels.
Based on the ships currently on order, the Company's year-end berth
capacity will increase 69.3% to 55,700 berths between 1999 and 2004.
In May 1998, the Company sold Song of America for $94.5 million
and recognized a gain on the sale of $31.0 million. The Company continued
to operate Song of America under a charter agreement until March
1999.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following table presents operating data as a percentage
of revenues:
Year Ended December 31, 1999 Compared
to Year Ended December 31, 1998
REVENUES
Revenues decreased 3.4% to $2.5 billion in 1999 compared to
$2.6 billion for the same period in 1998. The decline in revenues is due
to a 2.9% decrease in capacity and a 0.6% decline in gross revenue per
available lower berth ("Yield"). The reduction in capacity is
associated with the departure of Song of America from the fleet
in March 1999 and a temporary decline in capacity associated with ships
out of service as mentioned previously. The reduction in capacity was
partially offset by the full-year impact of Vision of the Seas
which entered service in the second quarter of 1998 and Voyager of
the Seas which entered service in the fourth quarter of 1999. The
decrease in Yield is primarily due to a reduction in air revenue per diems
associated with fewer guests using the Company's air program, partially
offset by improved guest per diems.
The Company offers air transportation as a service to its guests through
its air program. Generally, revenues received from air tickets sold to guests
are approximately the same as the underlying cost to the Company. Therefore,
when a guest purchases his or her own air transportation, rather than use
the Company's air program, both the Company's revenues and operating expenses
decrease by approximately the same amount.
EXPENSES
Operating expenses decreased 6.1% to $1.5 billion in 1999 as
compared to $1.6 billion in 1998. Included in operating expenses are charges
of $17.3 million and $9.0 million in 1999 and 1998, respectively, related
to settlements with the U.S. Department of Justice and the State of Alaska,
as previously mentioned. The decrease in operating expenses is primarily
due to the decline in capacity and lower air costs from fewer guests using
the Company's air program. As a percentage of revenues, operating expenses
decreased from 60.5% in 1998 to 58.8% in 1999 primarily due to fewer guests
using the Company's air program.
Marketing, selling and administrative expenses increased 3.5% to $371.8
million in 1999 from $359.2 million in 1998. The increase is primarily due
to an increased investment in information technology spending and an increase
in international advertising to enhance the Company's brand awareness worldwide.
As a percentage of revenue, marketing, selling and administrative expenses
increased to 14.6% in 1999 from 13.6% in 1998. Approximately half of the
margin increase is the result of higher expenses described above and approximately
half is due to a decline in revenues from ships out of service.
Depreciation and amortization remained relatively consistent at $197.9
million in 1999 compared to $194.6 million in 1998.
OTHER INCOME (EXPENSE)
Gross interest expense (excluding capitalized interest) decreased
to $165.2 million in 1999 as compared to $182.8 million in 1998. The decline
is primarily due to a decrease in the average debt level from prepayments
made during 1998 as well as a decrease in interest rates. Capitalized
interest increased $19.6 million from $15.0 million in 1998 to $34.6 million
in 1999, due to an increase in expenditures related to ships under construction.
Included in Other income (expense) in 1999 is $26.5 million of loss-of-hire
insurance resulting from ships out of service. Other income (expense)
in 1998 includes a gain of $31.0 million from the sale of Song of America
as well as a $32.0 million charge related to the write-down to fair market
value of Viking Serenade. Also included in Other income (expense)
in 1998 is $3.8 million of net costs related to the Monarch of the
Seas incident. (See Year Ended December 31, 1998 Compared to Year
Ended December 31, 1997.)
Year Ended December 31, 1998 Compared
to Year Ended December 31, 1997
REVENUES
Revenues increased 36.0% to $2.6 billion compared to $1.9 billion
in 1997. The increase in revenues was primarily due to a 31.2% increase
in capacity and a 3.6% increase in Yield. The acquisition of Celebrity
(which occurred in July 1997) accounted for approximately two-thirds of
the capacity increase, while additions to the Royal Caribbean International
fleet accounted for the balance of the increase. The increase in Yield
was due to an increase in occupancy levels to 105.2% as compared to 104.2%
in 1997 as well as an increase in cruise ticket per diems, partially offset
by a reduction in shipboard revenue per diems. The reduction in shipboard
revenue per diems is due to the inclusion of Celebrity's results for the
full year 1998 as compared to six months in 1997. Celebrity derives a
higher percentage of its shipboard revenue from concessionaires than does
Royal Caribbean International, resulting in a dilutive effect on the per
diem. Concessionaires pay a net commission to the Company which is recorded
as revenue, in contrast to in-house operations, where shipboard revenues
and related cost of sales are recorded on a gross basis.
EXPENSES
Operating expenses increased 30.7% in 1998 to $1.6 billion
as compared to $1.2 billion in 1997. The increase in operating expenses
was primarily due to the increase in capacity. Included in operating expenses
is a $9.0 million charge related to the plea agreement with the U.S. Department
of Justice. As a percentage of revenues, operating expenses decreased
2.4% in 1998 primarily due to improved ticket pricing as well as the inclusion
of Celebrity's results for the full year of 1998 versus six months of
1997. Celebrity's operating expenses as a percentage of revenues were
lower than Royal Caribbean International's due to lower shipboard cost
of sales as a result of the higher use of concessionaires onboard Celebrity
vessels as discussed above.
Marketing, selling and administrative expenses increased 31.9% in
1998 to $359.2 million from $272.4 million in 1997. The increase was primarily
due to the acquisition of Celebrity as well as higher advertising and staffing
costs. As a percentage of revenues, marketing, selling and administrative
expenses decreased to 13.6% in 1998 as a result of economies of scale.
Depreciation and amortization increased to $194.6 million in 1998
from $143.8 million in 1997. The increase was primarily due to the acquisition
of Celebrity as well as additions to the Royal Caribbean International fleet.
OTHER INCOME (EXPENSE)
Interest expense, net of capitalized interest, increased to
$167.9 million in 1998 as compared to $128.5 million in 1997. The increase
is due to the increase in the average debt level as a result of the Company's
fleet expansion program as well as the acquisition of Celebrity in July
1997.
Included in Other income (expense) in 1998 is a $31.0 million gain from
the sale of Song of America as well as a $32.0 million charge related
to the write-down to fair market value of Viking Serenade. Based
on the Company's strategic objectives, the unique circumstances of this
vessel and indications of the current value of Viking Serenade,
the Company recorded a write-down of the carrying value to its estimated
fair market value. The Company continues to operate and depreciate the
vessel which is classified as part of Property and Equipment on the balance
sheet.
On December 15, 1998, Monarch of the Seas experienced significant
damage to the ship's hull and equipment, resulting in the ship being out
of service until mid-March 1999. The incident resulted in a net reduction
in earnings of approximately $9.0 million or $0.05 per share in the fourth
quarter of 1998. This reduction is comprised of lost revenue, net of related
variable expenses, of $5.2 million, and costs associated with repairs
to the ship, guest transportation and lodging, commissions and various
other costs, net of estimated insurance recoveries, of $3.8 million. The
costs of $3.8 million were included in Other income (expense) for the
quarter and year ended December 31, 1998.
Included in Other income (expense) in 1997 is a $4.0 million gain
from the sale of Sun Viking.
EXTRAORDINARY ITEM
Included in 1997 is an extraordinary charge of $7.6 million
or $0.05 per share related to the early extinguishment of debt.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
SOURCES AND USES OF CASH
Net cash provided by operating activities was $583.4 million
in 1999 as compared to $526.9 million in 1998 and $434.1 million in 1997.
The increase was primarily due to higher net income.
In 1999, the Company issued 10,825,000 shares of common stock. The net
proceeds to the Company were approximately $487.4 million. (See Note 7
- Shareholders' Equity.)
During the year ended December 31, 1999, the Company's capital expenditures
were approximately $1.0 billion as compared to $0.6 billion during 1998
and $1.1 billion during 1997. The largest portion of capital expenditures
related to the delivery of Voyager of the Seas in 1999, delivery
of Vision of the Seas in 1998, delivery of Rhapsody of the Seas,
Enchantment of the Seas and Mercury in 1997, as well as
progress payments for ships under construction in all years. Also included
in capital expenditures are shoreside capital expenditures primarily related
to information technology in support of the Company's growth plans.
The Company received proceeds of $94.5 million from the sale of a
vessel during 1998.
Capitalized interest increased to $34.6 million in 1999 from $15.0
million in 1998 and $15.8 million in 1997. The increase during 1999 was
due to an increase in expenditures related to ships under construction.
During 1999, the Company paid quarterly cash dividends on its common
stock totaling $69.1 million as well as quarterly cash dividends on its
preferred stock, totaling $12.5 million. During 1998, the Company paid quarterly
cash dividends on its common stock totaling $55.2 million as well as quarterly
cash dividends on its preferred stock, totaling $12.5 million.
The Company made principal payments totaling approximately $127.9
and $343.2 million under various term loans and capital leases during 1999
and 1998, respectively.
FUTURE COMMITMENTS
The Company currently has 10 ships on order for an additional
capacity of 22,800 berths. The aggregate contract price of the 10 ships,
which excludes capitalized interest and other ancillary costs, is approximately
$3.9 billion, of which the Company deposited $247.0 million during 1999,
$119.3 million during 1998 and $23.7 million during 1997. Additional deposits
are due prior to the dates of delivery of $88.1 million in 2000, $64.6
million in 2001 and $39.6 million in 2002. The Company anticipates that
overall capital expenditures, based on ships currently on order plus estimates
of other shoreside capital expenditures, will be approximately $1.3, $1.6
and $1.4 billion for 2000, 2001 and 2002, respectively. The amount and
timing of such expenditures are the Company's current projections. Any
additional ships ordered would have an impact on these estimates. The
Company also has options to purchase two additional Vantage-class vessels
with delivery dates in the second quarters of 2005 and 2006. The options
have an aggregate contract price of $804.6 million. The Company has the
right to cancel the first option on or before August 31, 2000 and the
second option on or before delivery of Radiance of the Seas, which
is currently scheduled for the first quarter of 2001.
The Company has $2.3 billion of long-term debt of which $128.1 million
is due during the 12-month period ending December 31, 2000. (See Note
6 - Long-Term Debt.)
As a normal part of the Company's business, depending on market conditions,
pricing and the Company's overall growth strategy, the Company continuously
considers opportunities to enter into contracts for the building of additional
ships. The Company may also consider the sale of ships. The Company also
continuously considers potential acquisitions and strategic alliances. If
any of these were to occur, they would be financed through the incurrence
of additional indebtedness, the issuance of additional shares of equity
securities or through cash flows from operations.
FUNDING SOURCES
As of December 31, 1999, the Company's liquidity was $1.1 billion
consisting of $63.5 million in cash and cash equivalents and $1.0 billion
available under its $1.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility (the
"$1 Billion Revolving Credit Facility"). Effective January 2000,
the Company has $300.0 million available from April 1, 2000 through June
30, 2000 under a $300.0 million credit facility. Capital expenditures
and scheduled debt payments will be funded through a combination of cash
flows provided by operations, drawdowns under the Company's available
credit facilities, the incurrence of additional indebtedness and sales
of securities in private or public securities markets. In addition, the
agreements related to the ships under construction, excluding Radiance
of the Seas and Brilliance of the Seas, require the shipyards
to make available export financing for up to 80% of the contract price
of the vessels.
OTHER
The Company enters into interest rate swap agreements to manage
interest costs as part of its liability risk management program. The differential
in interest rates to be paid or received under these agreements is recognized
in income as part of interest expense over the life of the contracts.
The objective of the program is to modify the Company's exposure to interest
rate movements. The Company continuously evaluates its debt portfolio,
including its interest rate swap agreements, and makes periodic adjustments
to the mix of fixed rate and floating rate debt based on its view of interest
rate movements. (See Note 11-Financial Instruments.)
IMPACT OF YEAR 2000
The Company experienced no significant computer system failures
or disruptions as a result of the changeover from 1999 to 2000 (the "Year
2000 issue"), and the Year 2000 issue had no material adverse effect
on the results of the operations, liquidity or financial condition of
the Company. Since January 1, 1998, the Company incurred approximately
$3.6 million in expense on efforts directly related to fixing the Year
2000 issue, as well as an additional $3.8 million of capital expenditures
related to the accelerated replacement of non-compliant systems. Prior
to 1998, the Company did not separately track associated Year 2000 software
compliant costs.
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