Notes
Slide Show
Outline
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CMC – Business Model
  • Vertical Integration
  • Product Diversification
  • Global Geographic Dispersion
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Current Market Conditions & Outlook
  • Global Liquidity Crisis has Frozen the Steel Markets
  • Vicious Downward Spiral of Confidence
  • Supply, Including Inventories, Exceeds Apparent (or Willing) Demand
  • Major Focus is Inventory Reduction and Cash Generation
  • Major Steel Production Cutbacks, 30-50% Depending on Markets
  • Sharp Price Declines Appear to be Easing
  • Project Delays, Cancellations More Frequent
  • Contract Cancellations, Market Claims, Price Renegotiations at Unprecedented Levels
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North America
  • Ferrous Scrap Prices, After Free Falling ($480/LT Drop July – November), Now Stabilizing
  • Ferrous Scrap Flows Dramatic Slowing
    • Low Prices Impact Collection
    • Winter Approaching
  • U.S. Steel Mills Driving Down Inventories – Major Announced Production Cutbacks
    • Year End Impact
  • Rebar Fabrication Backlogs Declining
  • Many Small Jobs (200-700 Tons) Being Bid But Larger Jobs are Scarce
  • Service Centers Living Hand-to-Mouth; Buying from Mills’ Inventories


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North America
  • Rebar Imports Well Down
    • Only 20,000 MT Imported in November
    • Only 79,000 MT/Month Average YTD 2008
  • Latest Turkish Offers Approximately US $500/MT Houston Not Attractive
    • Long Lead Times
    • Must Commit to Larger Quantities
    • Volatility Scrap / Domestic Rebar Prices
    • Credit / Working Capital Constraints
  • Strengthening US$ and Low Freight Rates Not Attracting Imports


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North America

  • OCTG Imports Starting to Decline
  • Raw Materials
    • Some Weaker
    • Some OK
  • Copper Prices – Always a Bell Weather
    • At $1.60 - $1.70 Per Pound
    • Reflects Lower Demand
  • China Starting to Buy Nonferrous Scrap Again – Positive Sign
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Europe / Middle East
  • Mill Production Cutbacks and Inventory Reduction Programs Will Continue into 2009
  • Large Inventories Unsold Rebar in Middle East Markets
  • Polish Government Stimulus Package and EU Funds for Infrastructure a Positive for 2009
  • Many Governments are Focusing on Infrastructure Spending in 2009 Which Will Benefit Long Steel Products
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"Reversal of Former Strategy to..."
  • Reversal of Former Strategy to Control Overheating Economy / Inflation
  • Target 8-9% GDP in 2009
  • Fiscal Stimulus
    • US $590 Billion Infrastructure Spending
    • Focus Major Infrastructure Projects, Rail, Ports, Highways
    • Focus Public Housing
    • Lowering Taxes (Including Income Taxes?)
    • Reducing Export Taxes
  • Monetary
    • Rapidly Cutting Interest Rates, Latest by 1.08%
    • Providing More Export Subsidies
    • Currency Now Depreciating to US$ (6.83-6.85)


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China
  • Steel Mills Cut Back Production 30-50%
  • Long Products Demand and Prices Improving Slightly – Flat Products Remain Weak
  • Steel Mills Starting to Buy Imported Scrap
  • Spot Iron Ore Prices now $70-73/MT (Bottom Mid November at $65/MT)
  • Chinese Mills Only Buying on Spot Market – No One Buys at Benchmark (Contract) Prices
  • Large Inventory of Iron Ore at Ports (60-70 Million MT) Likely to Take One to Two Quarters to be Significantly Reduced
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Summary – What Will Break the Cycle?
  • Global Government Intervention Programs Must be Effective
  • Credit / Liquidity Issues to Ease
  • Restoration of Confidence
  • Demand to Exceed Production Cutbacks / Inventory Reductions
  • Clear Direction and Action from New U.S. President / Administration
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"Possible Capital / Infrastructure Stimulus"

  • Possible Capital / Infrastructure Stimulus
    in the U.S.
  • China’s Impact Will be Critical
    • Infrastructure Spending
    • Stimulus to Domestic Consumption
    • Limited Steel Exports
    • Positive Signs After Chinese New Year
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Investor Information
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Forward-Looking Statements
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