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1
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- Presenters:
- Harold McGraw III
Chairman, President and CEO
- Robert J. Bahash
Executive Vice President and CFO
- Donald S. Rubin
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations
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2
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3
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- This presentation includes certain forward-looking statements about the
Company’s businesses and our prospects, new products, sales, expenses,
tax rates, cash flows, prepublication investments and operating and
capital requirements. Such forward-looking statements include, but are
not limited to: the strength and sustainability of the U.S. and global
economy; the duration and depth of the current recession; Educational
Publishing’s level of success in 2009 adoptions and in open territories
and enrollment and demographic trends; the level of educational funding;
the strength of School Education including the testing market, Higher
Education, Professional and International publishing markets and the
impact of technology on them; the level of interest rates and the
strength of the economy, profit levels and the capital markets in the
U.S. and abroad; the level of success of new product development and
global expansion and strength of domestic and international markets; the
demand and market for debt ratings, including collateralized debt
obligations (“CDO”), residential and commercial mortgage and
asset-backed securities and related asset classes; the continued
difficulties in the credit markets and their impact on Standard &
Poor’s and the economy in general; the regulatory environment affecting
Standard & Poor’s; the level of merger and acquisition activity in
the U.S. and abroad; the strength of the domestic and international
advertising markets; the strength and the performance of the domestic
and international automotive markets; the volatility of the energy
marketplace; the contract value of public works, manufacturing and
single-family unit construction; the level of political advertising; and
the level of future cash flow, debt levels, manufacturing expenses,
distribution expenses, prepublication, amortization and depreciation
expense, income tax rates, capital, technology, restructuring charges
and other expenditures and prepublication cost investment.
- Actual results may differ materially from those in any forward-looking
statements because any such statements involve risks and uncertainties
and are subject to change based upon various important factors,
including, but not limited to, worldwide economic, financial, political
and regulatory conditions; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the
health of debt and equity markets, including interest rates, credit
quality and spreads, the level of liquidity, future debt issuances
including residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and CDOs
backed by residential mortgages and related asset classes; the
implementation of an expanded regulatory scheme affecting Standard &
Poor’s ratings and services; the level of funding in the education market
(both domestically and internationally); the pace of recovery in
advertising; continued investment by the construction, automotive,
computer and aviation industries; the successful marketing of new
products, and the effect of competitive products and pricing.
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4
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5
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- EPS
- 1Q 2009: $0.20
- Compares to $0.25 in Q1 2008
- Revenue
- 1Q 2009: Declined 5.7% to $1.1 billion compared to same period last
year
- 1Q is seasonally the smallest quarter of the year for MHP
- Most of 2009 earnings yet to be achieved
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6
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- 2009 priority: Cost containment
- Economy expected to bottom out by late summer or early fall
- Pace of decline has slowed and second half looks better than first half
- Evaluating new federal stimulus in key markets
- Restoring confidence to credit markets
- Improving outlook for education budgets
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7
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8
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- In 1Q 2009:
- Seasonally slow start in el-hi market
- Strong second semester ordering in U.S. college and university market
- Foreign exchange impacted international results
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9
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- Revenue (5.3%) to $312.6 million
- School Education Group: (11.6%) to $122.6 million
- Higher Education, Professional and International Group: (0.7%) to $190.0 million, including
the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange of $13.3 million
- Group grew 6.2% in constant currency
- Operating Loss Reduced loss by 15.7% to ($76.6 million)
- Operating Margin 300 basis point improvement
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10
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- Good signs in U.S. college market
- Enrollments are growing
- Still expect to match 3% to 4% growth in college and university market
- On track to benefit from counter-cyclical performance of college market
- Outlook more difficult to call in el-hi
- Difficult to gauge impact of federal stimulus plan on educational
spending
- Without stimulus, el-hi market could decline by 15% to 20%
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11
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- Lowering state new adoption outlook for 2009
- Now project market to be $550 million to $600 million
- Down from earlier estimate of $675 million to $725 million
- More than 35% decline versus last year
- Estimate does not reflect potential impact of federal stimulus
- Adjusting estimate due to reduced opportunities California and Florida
- Purchasing postponed for budgetary reasons
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12
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- First stimulus funding to reach local districts will be grants for:
- IDEA special education programs
- Title I programs for disadvantaged students
- Districts have wide discretionary control over funds
- McGraw-Hill Education’s nationwide outreach provides information about
the grants and the MHE products and services appropriate for purchase
under guidelines
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13
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- First installment released by the U.S. Department of Education on April
1
- $6 billion for IDEA programs
- $5 billion for Title I
- State-level agencies can keep 4% of funds for administrative costs
- Remainder to be distributed in second quarter
- Second round of IDEA and Title I grants to be distributed in July
- $6 billion for IDEA programs
- $5 billion for Title I
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14
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- Expect more clarity on $53.6 billion Fiscal Stabilization Fund in late
2Q
- Fund helps states restore cuts to education budgets
- Primary focus is to save teaching jobs
- May also be used for instructional materials and assessment programs
- First allocation: $32.5 billion will be distributed on state-by-state
basis
- Stabilization grants come with stringent reporting requirements
- Second allocation: Distributed to states only after first round has been
evaluated and approved
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15
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- Hard to predict impact: State funding and timelines vary
- 2Q: Could see incremental sales funded by IDEA and
Title I grants
- 3Q: Grants likely to have greatest impact
- We are well positioned to capture significant share of instructional
and assessment spending in special education and Title I markets
- 46 states start new fiscal year on July 1
- New state education budgets taking shape now
- Will play major role in volume of purchasing in 2H 2009
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16
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- In addition to the stimulus package, omnibus spending bill raised the
Dept. of Education’s budget for discretionary programs by 7%
- IDEA funding: Increased 5.5% to $11.5 billion
- Title I funding: Increased 4.3% to $14.5 billion
- Long-term educational priorities create favorable environment for
educational publishers
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17
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- Federal assistance will help relieve financial stress at state and local
education agencies
- Proposed commitment should enlarge early childhood education market; we
are well positioned
- Secretary Duncan promises broader support for primary-grade reading
- Emphasis on college and workforce readiness will help revitalize areas
of the secondary curriculum
- Investing in education is essential for U.S. to remain globally
competitive
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18
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- Residual and supplemental purchases are the majority of first quarter
sales for el-hi industry and School Education Group
- Categories have been under pressure for several months
- North Carolina is the only adoption state to place substantial orders in
Q1
- State postponed 6-12 math purchasing this year and purchased only K-5
materials
- We are not taking significant share in this adoption
- Success last year made 1Q 2009’s year-over-year comparisons more
difficult
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19
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- California and Florida represent the largest state new adoption
opportunities in 2009
- California: First-year K-8 reading and literature, and second-year K-8
math
- Florida: First-year 6-12 reading and literature
- Market softening in both states
- Nearly 80% of the districts are postponing purchases until next year
- California districts receiving waivers to postpone second year math
purchases until a third year
- Legislatures in both states are permitting use of 2009 instructional
material allocations for other educational purposes
- Impossible to predict the impact of stimulus package on postponement
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20
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- Competitive in state new adoptions:
- Reading in Georgia
- Science in Tennessee
- Social Studies in Indiana
- Math in South Carolina, Kentucky, and Oregon
- Expect to capture meaningful shares of available business in Florida and
California
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21
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- Keys to 2010 market:
- Texas K-12 reading, literature, and language arts
- Fluid situation, but both Governor and Senate support full funding
with federal stimulus funds
- Florida K-12 math
- Not currently aligned with new standards in summative testing
- Attempts to delay adoption have been turned back
- California reading
- Normally spends 40% in first year and 40% in second year
- Only spent 20% to 25% in first-year adoption in 2009
- Expect to spend 40% in second year (2010) plus incremental purchasing
- Promising state new adoption market in 2011
- 2011 opportunity could top $1 billion
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22
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- We continue to make progress with:
- Acuity: Formative assessment program
- LAS Links: Assessment program for English-language learners
- TABE CLAS-E: Measures English-language proficiency in adults
- Recently won its first statewide adoption in Arizona
- Market signaling that federal stimulus funds will be a plus for testing
- Some states planning to keep programs in place or resume programs that
had been cancelled
- Acuity and LAS Links should benefit from renewed focus on real-time
assessments and the availability of stimulus money
- Both products fit well within federal guidelines for Title I and IDEA
spending
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23
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- Strong 1Q 2009 sales
- All major disciplines showed improvement
- Greatest gain in for-profit market
- 1Q benefited from orders that shifted from December into early 2009
- Market poised for more growth this year
- Reports of increased U.S. enrollments
- Largest increases occurring in public colleges, particularly community
colleges
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24
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- New provisions:
- Increase in Pell grant award: Maximum increased from $4,731 to $5,350
- Additional support for work-study programs
- $2,500 tax credit for tuition and related expenses—including course
materials
- With Department of Education approval, states can use part of Fiscal
Stabilization Fund grants to restore higher education budget cuts
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25
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- Soft economy led retailers to reduce inventory and limit new orders
- Digital products still growing
- Double-digit gains in higher education and professional markets
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26
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- Summary
- Before benefits from federal stimulus package
- 15% to 20% decline in el-hi market
- 3% to 4% growth in U.S. higher education market
- New guidance for segment
- Revenue: Now projecting 7% to 8% decline versus previous guidance of a
low single-digit decrease
- Operating margin: Maintaining 300 to 400 basis point decline, excluding
2008 restructuring charges
- Implies low single-digit decline in expenses and an operating margin
of 9.0% to 10.0%
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27
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28
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- Key factors in first quarter performance:
- Surging investment-grade corporate issuance, primarily in industrial
sector
- Weakness in structured finance
- Modest growth in S&P Investment Services
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29
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- Revenue (5.3%) to $610.2 million
- S&P Credit Market Services declined 8.4% to $391.4 million
- S&P Investment Services increased 0.8% to $218.8 million
- Operating Profit (12.3%) to $231.6 million
- Operating Margin 38.0%
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30
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- Conditions in bond market remain unsettled
- Pick up in 1Q corporate issuance may be sign of confidence returning to
credit markets
- Increased corporate activity and government-led programs are welcomed
developments for both issuers and investors
- U.S. government programs now cover much of the funding mix in financial
markets
- Commercial paper
- Term unsecured debts
- Deposits
- Secured borrowing at banks and broker-dealers
- Equity capital
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31
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- Government programs include TALF, TARP and TLGP
- Referred to as “the acronym credit market relief program”
- Only a modest impact on S&P
- Programs to help asset-backed commercial paper markets
- Effort to stabilize short end of market
- Extended through October
- Have generally been effective
- Stabilizing short end of market should help stability of longer-term
credits
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32
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- U.S. ABCP Outstanding Quarterly Trend
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33
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- TALF (Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility) produced modest
activity in Q1
- Large deals subject to fee caps
- S&P paid less than 1 basis point for rating
$7 billion of TALF-eligible securities in Q1
- Bigger round of funding for TALF programs is shaping up in May
- FDIC’s TLGP (Temporary Liquid Guaranty Program) encouraged issuance of
rated deals based on government guarantees
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34
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35
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- In U.S. market:
- Pent-up investor appetite for yield
- A rebound in merger and acquisition activity
- Refinancing as many corporations addressed maturing long-term debt
- Narrowing of spreads since December
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36
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- In European market:
- Low short-term interest rates
- Aversion to equity risk
- Europe produced a record quarter of $220 billion in issuance for
industrials
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37
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- Companies with strong balance sheets can borrow at reasonable rates
- Market not open to everyone
- Lower rated companies must pay steep rates to borrow; others shut out
completely
- Outlook for industrial market:
- Issuers and investors remain cautious
- Issuance expected to remain lumpy until stability returns to financial
system
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38
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- Continued pressure on banks and financial institutions
- Banks are deleveraging balance sheets and shrinking liabilities
- Expect modest lending growth despite pressures on banks
- Government aid packages are encouraging banks to support local
economies
- LIBOR spreads remain the relevant cost-of-funds benchmark
- LIBOR rates have stabilized in recent months
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39
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- U.S. speculative-grade issuance jumped 55% in 1Q 2009
- There were not many deals
- Expect speculative-grade issuance to remain limited
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40
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- Public finance tends to be countercyclical to U.S. economy
- Fundamentals point to another good year in issuance, assuming interest
rates remain
relatively low
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41
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- Rating requests for state and local governments continue at steady pace
- Issuance in 2Q 2008 was largest in muni history so immediate
comparisons are challenging
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42
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43
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- Transaction revenue down 18.3% in 1Q 2009
- Transaction now includes:
- Bank loan ratings
- Corporate credit estimates
- Publicly-issued debt
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44
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- Non-transaction revenue:
- 1Q 2009: Down 3.8%
- Represented 72.0% of ratings revenue
- Includes annual contracts, surveillance fees and subscriptions
- Key factors in 1Q revenue decline:
- Foreign exchange and reduced fees on cancelled transactions
- Expect slight decline in 2009 versus previous guidance of 1% to 2%
growth
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45
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- Maintaining guidance of 10% to 12% decline in 2009
- Comparisons get easier in second half
- Foreign exchange comparisons less challenging
- S&P Credit Market Services international revenue declined by 13.0%
in 1Q, including the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange of $18.6
million
- Off only 3.9% in constant currency
- Comparable to 4.2% decline in S&P Credit Market Services’ domestic
revenue
- For S&P Credit Market Services:
- Expect low single-digit decline in revenue versus our previous guidance
of slight decline
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46
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- Revenue at S&P Investment Services grew by 0.8% in 1Q
- Gains at Index Services and Capital IQ offset softness in investment
research products and less demand for European fund ratings
- Forecast for 2009:
- Single-digit revenue growth versus previous guidance of high
single-digit growth for the year
- Revenue declining for traditional S&P reference products, industry
surveys and directories
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47
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- Capital IQ added customers in 1Q despite recessionary climate
- Now serves over 2,700 clients
- Nearly a 15.0% increase in customers over prior year; up 1.5% since end
of 2008
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48
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- 1Q 2009 trends:
- 24.4% decrease to $158.6 billion in assets under management in
exchange-traded funds
- Positive signs
- Sales of data, increases in license fees for mutual funds, and growth
of over-the-counter derivatives all contributed to improvement
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49
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- Signed new licensing agreement with Source to create 22 exchange-traded
commodity products based on S&P GSCI index
- S&P GSCI widely recognized as leading measure of general commodity
price movements and inflation in world economy
- Contains 24 commodities from all commodity sectors
- Exchange-traded products will be traded on Deutsche Bourse
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50
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- Hard work continues on the regulatory front
- Good progress, but more to do
- New SEC rules governing rating agencies took effect on April 10th
- S&P has implemented policies to comply, including:
- Further separating staff with analytical and commercial
responsibilities
- Confirming long-standing policies and procedures that employees do not
recommend how transactions should be structured to achieve a desired
rating
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51
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- Ongoing dialogue with policymakers, regulators, and market participants
- S&P recently published a paper, “Toward a Global Regulatory
Framework for Credit Ratings,” laying out a regulatory framework for
rating agencies
- Available on S&P’s Website at www.standardandpoors.com
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52
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- New S&P white paper focuses on key requirements for business model
- Transparency
- Prevention of conflicts
- Quality
- Breadth of coverage
- Market scrutiny
- Investor choice
- Find a copy on S&P’s Website at www.standardandpoors.com
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53
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- European Union recently moved to finalize its approach to registration
and supervision of credit rating agencies
- Directly binding on all the European Union member states
- Final text approved on April 23
- Not clear when the regulation will actually take effect, but could be
as early as July
- After that, credit rating agencies will have nine months to comply with
the provisions and apply for registration
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54
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- Political sign-off by European finance ministers probably taking place
on May 5 with final sign-off in October
- Within six months after regulations are enacted, the Committee of
European Regulators (CESR) will issue guidelines
- Include application process and treatment of ratings issued outside
European Union
- CESR has nine months to issue enforcement and penalty guidelines
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55
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- More will be required of S&P and other credit rating agencies
issuing ratings
- New regulation is manageable and represents a level playing field
- The European Commission’s work will continue
- Within three years of the regulation coming into force it:
- Must assess what effect regulation is having on credit rating agency
competition
- Must determine appropriateness of issuer paid model
- The Commission will also look at ways to enhance CESR’s status to give
it a fuller pan-European supervisory capability
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56
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- Entering new phase on litigation front
- Oral argument on May 13 relating to our motion to dismiss the Oddo
Lawsuit
- Oral arguments in connection with motions to dismiss other pending cases
will be scheduled over next several months
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57
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- Lawsuits fall into three broad categories:
- Underwriter claims based on the Securities Act of 1933
- Includes class actions by purchasers of subprime RMBS securities rated
by S&P and case involving Fannie Mae ratings
- We intend to seek dismissals for all actions
- McGraw-Hill shareholder claims
- Includes a class action under Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange
Act—referred to as the Reese case
- A motion to dismiss this action has been filed
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58
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- State law claims
- Fraud relating to S&P’s ratings of a variety of securities,
including SIVs, SIV-Lites, CDOs and Lehman Brothers debt
- Moving to dismiss allegations In Oddo Asset Management case
- Other cases include a complaint filed with HUD and actions filed in
Israel and Italy relating to Lehman Brothers
- We are currently preparing our legal responses
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59
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- S&P not immune from litigation or legal liability
- Always subject to potential liability under fraud provisions of federal
securities law
- Ongoing regulatory scrutiny by SEC
- Critics’ comments on immunity and liability do not match the facts
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60
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- We feel strongly that no new or currently proposed legislation,
regulation or judicial determination would adversely impact our
financial condition or results of operations
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61
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- Summary
- Change in revenue guidance
- No change in operating margin
- Low single-digit revenue decline in S&P Credit Market Services
- Single-digit revenue growth in S&P Investment Services
- The segment in 2009:
- Slight decline in revenue
- Margin decline of 250 to 300 basis points, excluding 2008
restructuring charges
- Low single-digit growth in expenses
- 38% implied operating margin
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62
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63
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- Key factors in 1Q performance:
- Decline in advertising
- Strength in global energy markets
- Revenue deferral
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64
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- Revenue (7.4%) to $225.4 million
- Business-to-Business Group: (5.7%) to $207.1 million
- Broadcasting Group:
(22.9%) to $18.3 million
- Operating Profit (76.4%) to $2.8 million
- Operating Margin 360 basis point decline
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65
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- Revenue deferral at J.D. Power and Associates
- $4.7 million in revenue and $2.3 million in operating profit was
deferred and will be recognized ratably over a 12-month service period
- Advertising soft at BusinessWeek and our construction and aviation
publications
- BusinessWeek ad pages down 39.8% with two fewer issues in first quarter
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66
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- Platts: More solid results
- Critical services for oil, natural gas, and power markets
- New subscribers for Platts’ real-time news, market analysis, and price
assessments
- Growing demand for Platts’ Dispatch
- Provides end-of-day price assessments, third-party data and a rolling
45-day historical database
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67
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- Turmoil in automotive market
affects
J.D. Power and Broadcasting
- Automotive advertising down
- Contributed to decrease in local and national TV advertising
- Tough comparisons due to absence of political advertising in
non-election year at Broadcasting
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68
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- Summary:
- Revenue: Now expect 5% to 6% decline versus previous guidance of a low
single-digit decrease
- Operating margin: Maintaining previous guidance of a 200 to 300 basis
point decline, excluding 2008 restructuring charges
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69
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- Summary:
- Revenue to decline 4% to 5% versus previous guidance of 1% to 2%
decrease
- Maintaining guidance for earnings per share in $2.20 to $2.30 range
- Based on tight expense controls
- 2009 operating margins reflect new SFAS 160 accounting standard
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70
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71
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- Reducing revenue expectations
- Maintaining original EPS guidance of $2.20 to $2.30
- Keeping a firm grip on expenses
- Consolidated expenses down 4% in 1Q 2009
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72
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- Foreign exchange:
- Reduced 1Q 2009 revenue by $37.4 million
- Cut growth by three percentage points
- Benefited year-over-year expense comparisons by $49.5 million and
pre-tax income by $12.1 million
- Why different top and bottom line outcomes
- Revenue: Billings are primarily in U.S. dollars and Euros
- Costs: Significant expenses are denominated in non-U.S. dollars
- Expect impact of foreign exchange on revenue and expenses to lessen in
second half of 2009
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73
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- In constant currency, 1Q 2009 consolidated expenses roughly flat
year-over-year
- Continued investment mitigated by:
- Savings at all three segments as a result of 2007 and 2008
restructuring actions
- Continued cost containment
- Lower expenses at McGraw-Hill Education,
some of which is timing related
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74
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- 1Q 2009: Benefited from slight year-over-year decline in incentive
compensation
- 2H 2009: Comparisons more challenging because long-term and short-term
accruals were reduced in latter part of 2008
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75
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- 1Q 2009: Segment’s expenses down 7.6% year-over-year
- Skewed by timing of sales and marketing expenses, some of which will
shift into 2Q
and 3Q
- Maintaining previous margin guidance of 300 to 400 basis point decline,
excluding 2008 restructuring charges
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76
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- FY 2009: Continued expense reductions
- Now expect low-single digit decline for the full year versus previous
guidance of roughly flat expenses
- Segment will benefit from:
- Restructuring actions taken in 2007 and 2008
- Absence of data center migration costs
- Lower marketing costs due to reduced opportunities in adoption market
- Reduced variable costs as a result of reduced revenue opportunities
- Benefits partially offset by:
- Higher plant amortization in 2009
- Increased investments at Higher Education
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77
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- Revenue comparisons for School Education Group will be challenging in 2Q
2009
- 2Q 2008: Ordering accelerated and SEG’s revenue grew 6.9%
- We do not expect pattern to repeat this year
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78
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- S&P Credit Market Services (CMS): Low single-digit decline in 2009
revenue versus previous guidance of a slight decline
- CMS’ transaction revenue: Maintaining guidance of 10% to 12% decline
- 1Q 2009: Declined 18.3%
- 2H 2009: Comparisons get easier
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79
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- CMS’ non-transaction revenue:
Slight decline versus previous guidance
of 1% to 2% growth
- 1Q 2009: 3.8% decline driven by impact of foreign exchange and
reduction in fees for cancelled transactions. Fewer fees in 2009 than
last year
- 2008 fees: Larger in first half of year than second half; largest
amount earned in 2Q
- 2009: Slightly lower growth projections for surveillance and
subscription fees
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80
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- S&P Credit Market Services reclassified bank loan ratings and
corporate credit estimates from non-transaction to transaction
- Creates more accurate view of transaction revenue
- Previously, transaction revenue limited to public new issuance
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81
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- S&P Investment Services: Single-digit growth in 2009 revenue versus
previous guidance of a high single-digit increase
- Index Services and Capital IQ continue to perform strongly
- Softening in Investment Research, including equity research outsourcing
- 1Q 2009 revenue: Grew slightly but experienced small sequential decline
- CRISIL and European operations adversely impacted by strong U.S. dollar
- Results also impacted by divestiture of CRISIL’s Gas Strategies Group
last year
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82
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- Maintaining margin guidance of a 250 to 300 basis point decline,
excluding 2008 restructuring
- Implies low single-digit increase in expenses versus previous guidance
of 6% growth
- 1Q 2009: Expenses down 0.4% year-over-year
- Adjusting for currency, expenses increased $25.9 million, or 6.8%,
driven by:
- Full impact of 2008 hires, primarily in India
- Continued investments in fast-growing businesses though at a reduced
pace
- Increased compliance and regulatory costs
- Partially offset by benefits of restructuring actions
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83
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- 2009 revenue: 5% to 6% decline versus previous guidance of low
single-digit decrease
- Results will be adversely impacted by non-cash accounting change at
J.D. Power
- 1Q: $4.7 million decline in revenue and $2.3 million decline in profit
- 2009: Expect $15 million decline in revenue and $10 million decline in
profit
- Operating margin: Maintaining earlier forecast of 200 to 300 basis point
decline, excluding 2008 restructuring charges
- Expenses: Low single-digit decline versus previous guidance of virtually
no growth
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84
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- Statement of Financial Accounting Standards
No. 160 resulted in reclassification of minority interest
- Previously minority interest recorded in segment operating profit
- Under SFAS 160, MHP now separately reports net income attributable to
noncontrolling interests as a new line below net income
- No impact on earnings per share or margin guidance
- Modestly impacts operating profit margins for McGraw-Hill Education and
Financial Services segments
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85
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- 1Q 2009: $33.4 million, versus $33.9 million for same period last year
- 2009: Still expect increase of $25 million to $30 million compared to
2008
- Largely reflects increased stock-based and short-term incentive
compensation
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86
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- Previous guidance for 2009 tax rate: Approximately 37.0% versus 37.5% in
2008
- Drivers of lower tax rate remain the same:
- Higher growth in international operations has a favorable impact on
rate
- Recently formed Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC, a
Delaware limited liability company, to operate most of U.S. S&P
businesses
- In addition to operational benefits, we expect new structure to be
more tax efficient
- Due to impact of SFAS 160, 2008 tax rate was recalculated as 36.9%
- Still expect a 50 basis point decline, which will result in rate of
approximately 36.4% for 2009
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87
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- 1Q 2009: Free cash flow improved by $207 million versus prior year
- Free cash flow is generally negative in first quarter due to
seasonality of businesses
- 1Q 2009 free cash outflow was substantially lower than prior year due
to significant reduction in incentive compensation payments and more
favorable working capital comparisons
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|
88
|
- 2009: Still expect free cash flow in $430 to $450 million range
- Approximately equal to 2008, despite lower profits, due to easier
working capital comparisons and prudent investments
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|
89
|
- Potential for pension plan contributions has not been factored into free
cash flow guidance
- U.S. plan is underfunded due to significant market declines in 2008
- Will follow guidance from government agencies on contribution formula
changes
- May have no funding requirements in 2009
- If funding is required, could be up to $30 million
- Lower than previous guidance of $30 million to $50 million
- Payable in second half of year
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|
90
|
- Cash on the balance sheet
- Commercial paper program in place
- Supported by back-up credit facility
- MHP can access commercial paper market at reasonable rates
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|
91
|
- Gross debt : $1.36 billion at the end of March
- $1.2 billion in unsecured senior notes
- $159.9 million in commercial paper outstanding
- Offset by $496.8 million in cash, primarily foreign holdings
- Net debt: Ended 1Q at $860.8 million, up from $796.0 million at year end
- Increase is due to seasonal cash requirements in 1Q 2009
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92
|
- 1Q 2009: 312.0 million shares
- 11.4 million share decrease compared to 1Q 2008
- Primarily due to 2008 share repurchases and to lesser extent, decline
in our stock price
- Roughly flat compared to 4Q 2008
- Fully-diluted shares at end of 1Q 2009 was approximately 312 million
shares
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|
93
|
- 1Q 2009: $20.6 million net interest expense
- Compared to $17.8 million in 1Q 2008
- 2009: Still expect it to be roughly comparable to 2008
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|
94
|
- 1Q 2009: $42.7 million, down $23.9 million compared to 1Q 2008
- 2009: Still expect $225 million
- Factors for lower level versus 2008:
- Reduced revenue opportunities in 2009
- Prudent investments
- Continued offshoring benefits
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|
95
|
- 1Q 2009: $8.0 million, compared to $23.6 million in same period last
year
- 1Q 2008 included expenditures related to data center
- 2009: Continue to expect approximately
$90 million
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|
96
|
- Amortization of prepublication costs
- 1Q 2009: $27.3 million,
approximately
$1 million lower than same period last year
- 2009: Lowering to a range of $275 million to $280 million
- Original forecast was $285 million
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|
97
|
- Depreciation
- 1Q 2009: $29.4 million, $1.9 million higher than same period
last year
- 2009: Still expect approximately $130 million
|
|
98
|
- Amortization of intangibles
- 1Q 2009: $14.2 million
- Flat compared to same period last year
- 2009: Still expect approximately $55 million
|
|
99
|
- End of 1Q 2009: $1.1 billion
- Roughly flat year-over-year, including the unfavorable impact of
foreign exchange of $42.5 million
- Grew 3.6% at constant foreign currency exchange rates
- Financial Services represents 74.1% of
MHP’s unearned revenue
- 2009: Given lower revenue guidance, now expect minimal growth versus
original forecast of low single-digit year-over-year growth
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|
100
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- Presenters:
Harold McGraw III
Chairman, President and CEO
- Robert J. Bahash
Executive Vice President and CFO
- Donald S. Rubin
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations
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|
101
|
- Replay Options
- Internet replay available for one year
- Go to www.mcgraw-hill.com/investor_relations
- Click on the Earnings Announcement link under
Investor Presentation Webcasts
- Telephone replay available through May 28, 2009
- Domestic: 800-756-0529
- International: +1-402-998-0771
- No password required
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