Notes
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Outline
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"Harold McGraw III"
  • Harold McGraw III


  • Chairman, President and CEO
  • The McGraw-Hill Companies





  • Presented at the
  • Noble Financial 2010 Equity Conference
  • June 7, 2010
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“Safe Harbor” Statement Under The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995
  • This presentation includes certain forward-looking statements about our businesses and our prospects, new products, sales, expenses, tax rates, cash flows, prepublication investments and operating and capital requirements. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: the strength and sustainability of the U.S. and global economy; the duration and depth of the current recession; Educational Publishing’s level of success in 2010 adoptions and in open territories and enrollment and demographic trends; the level of educational funding; the strength of School Education including the testing market, Higher Education, Professional and International publishing markets and the impact of technology on them; the level of interest rates and the strength of the economy, profit levels and the capital markets in the U.S. and abroad; the level of success of new product development and global expansion and strength of domestic and international markets; the demand and market for debt ratings, including corporate issuance, CDO’s, residential and commercial mortgage and asset-backed securities and related asset classes; the continued difficulties in the credit markets and their impact on Standard & Poor’s and the economy in general; the regulatory environment affecting Standard & Poor’s; the level of merger and acquisition activity in the U.S. and abroad; the strength of the domestic and international advertising markets; the strength and the performance of the domestic and international automotive markets; the volatility of the energy marketplace; the contract value of public works, manufacturing and single-family unit construction; the level of political advertising; and the level of future cash flow, debt levels, manufacturing expenses, distribution expenses, prepublication, amortization and depreciation expense, income tax rates, capital, technology, restructuring charges and other expenditures and prepublication cost investment.
  • Actual results may differ materially from those in any forward-looking statements because any such statements involve risks and uncertainties and are subject to change based upon various important factors, including, but not limited to, worldwide economic, financial, political and regulatory conditions; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the health of debt and equity markets, including interest rates, credit quality and spreads, the level of liquidity, future debt issuances including, corporate issuance, residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and CDO’s backed by residential mortgages, related asset classes and other asset-backed securities; the implementation of an expanded regulatory scheme affecting Standard & Poor’s ratings and services; the level of funding in the education market (both domestically and internationally); the pace of recovery in advertising; continued investment by the construction, automotive, computer and aviation industries; the successful marketing of new products, and the effect of competitive products and pricing.
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Focusing on three key issues
  • Regulations of ratings
  • Legal outlook
  • The digital transformation in education
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Tracking global regulations
  • September 7: New regulations in effect in Europe
  • October: New Japanese regulations
  • June 2: New and amended rules from SEC took effect
  • January 2010: Australia implemented new rules for rating agencies
  • By July 4: Congress expected to pass financial reform act
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Preparing to operate
in the new regulatory environment
  • Not waiting for “ink to dry”
    • Continue to work closely with regulators, policymakers and market participants to implement significant changes at S&P Credit Market Services
    • Exploring new steps to evaluate data and the quality of the information sources used in the ratings process
    • Evaluating whether or not to rate some issues, issuers, or transactions that don’t have a track record
      • May result in rating fewer emerging companies, potentially limiting access to funding in public markets for growth and innovation
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How S&P has
strengthened its ratings process
  • S&P has taken important steps to:
    • Improve rating stability
    • Add value through more analysis and features
    • Increase comparability of ratings
    • Add more checks and balances to the ratings process
    • Educate the market about ratings and the ratings scale
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How S&P is
adding value to ratings
  • To increase transparency, S&P now regularly provides more information about:
    • The assumptions in its models
    • The use of “what if” scenarios
    • Stress tests that illustrate the level of stress an instrument might withstand without defaulting
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How S&P is
adding value to ratings
  • S&P has invested heavily in people, systems and technology to expand its compliance efforts
    • 2009: Spent about $60 million
    • 2010: May spend around $75 million
      • Costs may be impacted by final regulations
  • Strengthening analytics, increasing transparency and reinforcing the integrity of the ratings process will enable S&P to enhance its value to investors
    • We feel investors will continue to require a common and transparent language for evaluating and comparing creditworthiness across sectors and geographies
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The regulatory outlook:
 Contradictory language
  • U.S. Senate financial reform bill promises a level playing field for all participants, but at the same time proposes to lower pleading standards only for credit rating agencies
  • To impose lower pleading standards on rating agencies is unprecedented and discriminatory
    • Goal should be a single pleading standard for all
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Fundamental contradictions
in the regulatory outlook
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Supporting regulatory
soundness and safety
  • There is a move to remove ratings from statutes and regulations to discourage the thought that our rating opinions have the government’s seal of approval
  • We support this proposal and any others that increase transparency, accountability and restore confidence to financial markets
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Latest from the litigation front
  • 12 cases completely dismissed; 11 this year
    • Eight different judges have ruled on the 12 dismissals
  • Five cases have been dropped by plaintiffs
  • Three motions to dismiss have been denied in whole or part, pending discovery
  • Dismissals fall into three major categories:
    •  1.  Underwriter lawsuits
    •  2.  “Stock drop” suits
    •  3.  Suits involving state law claims
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Latest from the litigation front
  • Clear and unambiguous takeaways from recent court decisions:
    • Rating agencies are not underwriters or sellers of securities under securities laws
    • Ratings are opinions, not statements of fact
    • After-the-fact criticisms of rating agencies do not support the inference that rating agencies didn’t believe the appropriateness of their ratings at time of issuance
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Latest from the litigation front
  • Clear and unambiguous takeaways from recent court decisions (continued):
    • Rating agencies’ alleged conflicts of interest were widely known by investors
    • Investors were adequately apprised of risks and limitations of using credit ratings
      • Not recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities
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Latest from the litigation front
  • Dismissals have not been granted in three cases
    • Abu Dhabi and Rhinebridge cases in federal court
    • CalPERS case in state court in California
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Latest from the litigation front
  • What did courts decide?
    • In ruling on a motion to dismiss, courts are legally required to accept as true all of the allegations
      • Must also favor the plaintiffs at this preliminary stage
    • The courts’ decisions are not definitive rulings on the factual or legal merits of the claims against S&P
      • They simply allow the claims to move to discovery,
        the pre-trial phase of the case
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Latest from the litigation front
  • Abu Dhabi case
    • During discovery we will show that S&P rating opinions were available globally at no charge and widely disseminated through the wire services
    • 10 of 11 claims have been dismissed, including all of the plaintiff’s negligence-based allegations
  • CalPERS
    • Judge already dismissed one of the two claims
    • We will appeal claim that was not dismissed
  • We remain confident in getting dismissals and regard the legal risk in these cases as low
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Latest from the litigation front
  • We have not received a Wells notice from the SEC
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Our vision of the digital transformation in education
  • The digital transformation of education is not about textbooks or e-books
  • The strategy:
    • Creating more effective solutions
    • Linking technology, content and distribution
    • Moving educational content into interactive, adaptive, mass customizable forms
    • Improving the teaching and learning experience
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Technology:
An opportunity, not a threat
  • Here’s what we know as an educational publisher:
    • All information is not equal in the education marketplace
      • Creating curriculum content that is accurate, authoritative and properly sequenced is challenging
    • Content counts and correlating it to standards is vital
    • Digital does not disintermediate content
    • Digital business model expands the addressable market. Changing the workflow changes the opportunity.
    • Digital delivery adds functionality and higher value
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Our growing digital initiatives
  • Digital revenue is increasing at a double-digit rate in our higher education and professional markets
  • Accounts for 15% of our revenue in these markets
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Growing digital
 opportunities in higher education
  • Using technology to increase the addressable market
    • Majority of our college and university textbooks are now available as e-books
    • Offering self-assessment tools for college students
  • Now more than 1.2 million registered users of McGraw-Hill Connect™ and other homework management products
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Growing digital
 opportunities in higher education
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More digital
content for the el-hi market
  • Our elementary-high school products and services are integrating digital components into virtually every program we produce
    • We offer multimedia packages
    • Mix of components varies by grade and subject
  • Interactive online student editions are a part of the future that is already here
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More digital
content for the el-hi market
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Growing digital
 opportunities in el-hi
  • ConnectED and McGraw-Hill Connect illustrate how we use the power of technology to provide solutions
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Positive indicators for growth in 2010
  • Our markets are recovering
  • We expect growth in 2010
  • Our year is off to a very good start
  • Our financial position is strong
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Positive indicators for growth in 2010
  • Increased the dividend for 37th consecutive year
    • Annual dividend has grown at an average compound rate of 9.9% since 1974
  • Resumed share buybacks this year
    • 17.1 million shares authorized in the share repurchase program at the end of 2009
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Positive indicators for growth in 2010
  • We are investing in the growing digital and global economy to:
    • Capture growing opportunities
    • Improve the operating leverage across all our businesses
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2010 outlook for MHP
  • EPS
    • 4Q 2009: +43.2%
    • 1Q 2010: $0.33, a 65% increase
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2010 outlook
for Financial Services
  • Encouraging trends in 1Q continued through April
  • Corporate issuance in May has not matched the record levels experienced in April
  • Recently, some issuers moving to sidelines because of uncertainty over conditions in Europe, pending U.S. regulations, and widening credit spreads
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2010 outlook for
McGraw-Hill Education
  • Growth in key education markets in 2010
    • 6% to 7% in the elementary-high school market
    • 5% to 7% in the U.S. higher education
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2010 outlook for
Information & Media
  • Revenue: Excluding $99 million from BusinessWeek divestiture, revenue will increase in the mid single-digit range
  • Operating margin: Expect to rebound into the mid-teens
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2010 outlook for
The McGraw-Hill Companies
  • 2010 guidance
    • Based on current expectations, we expect diluted earnings per share in the $2.55 to $2.65 range
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