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Any
cancellations or delays in planned customer purchases of our
products or services could materially adversely affect our
net income and could substantially reduce quarterly revenues.
Because
we do not know when, or if, potential customers will place
orders and finalize contracts, we cannot accurately predict
revenue and operating results for future quarters. If there
is a downturn in potential customers’ businesses, the domestic
economy in general, or in international economies where we
derive substantial revenue, potential customers may defer
or cancel planned purchases of our products. Because we base
operating expenses on anticipated revenue levels and because
a high percentage of our expenses are relatively fixed, delays
in the recognition of revenues from even a limited number
of product license transactions could cause significant variations
in operating results from quarter to quarter, which could
cause net income to fall significantly short of anticipated
levels.
If
a large number of the orders that are typically booked at
the end of a quarter are not booked, our net income for that
quarter could be substantially reduced.
Our
software license revenue in any quarter often depends on orders
booked and shipped in the last month, weeks or days of that
quarter. At the end of each quarter, we typically have either
minimal or no backlog of orders for the subsequent quarter.
If a large number of orders or several large orders do not
occur or are deferred, revenue in that quarter could be substantially
reduced.
Seasonal
trends in sales of our software products could adversely affect
our quarterly operating results.
Our
sales of software products have been affected by seasonal
purchasing trends that materially affect our quarter-to-quarter
operating results. We expect these seasonal trends to continue
in the future. Revenue and operating results in our quarter
ending December 31 are typically higher relative to other
quarters because many customers make purchase decisions based
on their calendar year-end budgeting requirements and because
we measure our sales incentive plans for sales personnel on
a calendar year basis. As a result, we have historically experienced
a substantial decline in revenue in the first quarter of each
fiscal year relative to the preceding quarter.
The
lengthy sales cycle for products makes revenues susceptible
to fluctuations.
Any
delay in the sales cycle of a large transaction or a number
of smaller transactions could result in significant fluctuations
in our quarterly operating results. Our sales cycles typically
take many months to complete and vary depending on the product,
service or solution that is being sold. The length of the
sales cycle may vary depending on a number of factors over
which we have little or no control, including the size of
a potential transaction and the level of competition that
we encounter in our selling activities. The sales cycle can
be further extended for sales made through third party distributors.
Our
future revenue and our ability to make investments in developing
our products is substantially dependent upon our installed
customer base continuing to license our products and renew
our service agreements.
We depend
on our installed customer base for future revenue from services
and licenses of additional products. If our customers fail
to renew their maintenance agreements, our revenue will be
harmed. The maintenance agreements are generally renewable
annually at the option of the customers and there are no minimum
payment obligations or obligations to license additional software.
Therefore, current customers may not necessarily generate
significant maintenance revenue in future periods. In addition,
customers may not necessarily purchase additional products
or services. Our services revenue and maintenance revenue
also depend upon the continued use of these services by our
installed customer base. Any downturn in software license
revenue could result in lower services revenue in future quarters.
Moreover, if either license revenue or revenue from services
declines, we may not have sufficient cash to finance investments
or acquire technology.
The
success of our international operations is dependent upon
many factors which could adversely affect our ability to sell
our products internationally and could affect our profitability.
International
sales represented approximately 51% of our total revenue during
the year ended December 31, 1999. The international operations
are, and any expanded international operations will be, subject
to a variety of risks associated with conducting business
internationally that could adversely affect our ability to
sell our products internationally, and therefore, our profitability,
including the following:
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Difficulties
in staffing and managing international operations, |
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Problems
in collecting accounts receivable, |
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Longer
payment cycles, |
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Fluctuations
in currency exchange rates, |
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Seasonal
reductions in business activity during the summer months
in Europe and certain other parts of the world, |
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Uncertainties
relative to regional, political and economic circumstances,
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Recessionary
environments in foreign economies, and |
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Increases
in tariffs, duties, price controls or other restrictions
on foreign currencies or trade barriers imposed by foreign
countries. |
In particular,
instability in the Asian/Pacific and Latin American economies
and financial markets, which together accounted for approximately
19% of our total net revenues during the year ended December
31, 1999, could adversely affect our ability to sell our products
internationally.
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