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Gables
Vinings is located in Atlanta, a city that generated 113,600
new jobs in 1999. Total revenues at Gables Vinings increased
by 6.4%.
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As a result,
we strongly favor markets that have historically exhibited highly
resilient economic characteristics. Job growth ultimately fuels
apartment demand. By choosing MSAs that have consistently exhibited
job creation resilience during national recessions, we are positioned
to produce superior consistent long-term earnings growth. What
falls out of this analysis is a portfolio of six to eight markets
that will enable us to achieve our performance goals. Over the
next two or three years, our investment and divestment decisions
will move our property mix toward this ideal portfolio.
The
Importance of Sub-Market Expertise While this macro
geographic analysis is important, we cannot and will not lose
sight of the fact that real estate investment is fundamentally
a local business. Great real estate decisions cannot be made from
a distance. We subscribe to the model of building our real estate
investments around local market sharpshooters. Choosing the wrong
sub-market can sink the best macro investment decision. Historical
analysis of our existing portfolio has shown that our investments
in in-fill and protected supply sub-markets materially outperform
suburban investments. As such, we intend to cull our suburban
assets as market conditions permit and focus our future investments
in the more protected sub-markets.
New
Board Resources In addition to redefining Gables strategic
direction, our research this summer brought another great benefit
to Gables. Dr. Mike Miles, former head of real estate research
for Fidelity and the author of several of those obscure academic
works, has agreed to join our Board of Trustees. I cannot tell
you how grateful and thrilled I am to have Mike on the Board.
His contribution as we move forward with our research-based repositioning
will no doubt prove invaluable.
In
addition to Mike, we have also added Jim Motta to our Board of
Trustees. As President of St.Joe/ Arvida Company, Jim has created
substantial real estate value for Arvidas partners and shareowners.
Further, under Jims leadership, Arvida has become widely recognized
as the premier master planned community development company in
the Southeast. Jim brings a wealth of real estate and investment
expertise to our Board.
Capitalizing
on Market Valuations Like others, we continue to be frustrated
with the disconnect between Wall Streets and Main Streets valuation
of our real estate portfolio. In this disconnect, however, lies
an opportunity.
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