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Defining
A New Strategic Focus Management changes always offer
a good chance to assess, examine and re-evaluate corporate direction.
Through the summer, I and a number of other Gables associates
spent an enormous amount of time taking a zero-based look at the
Gables property portfolio and investment strategy. We purchased
a number of independent research products and met with numerous
market research professionals. Not
since my undergraduate days at Caltech have I spent so much time
perusing obscure academic publications and information searching
for truth. Let me assure you, there are no absolute truths when
it comes to evaluating historical and prospective real estate
trends. However, our research did bear fruit and provides the
foundation for our Companys investment strategy going forward.
For starters,
it reaffirmed the attractiveness of our chosen market niche: class
AA/A residential apartment communities. We like this category
because our residents are renters by choice. For a variety of
reasons, they choose to live in an apartment community even though
they could afford to purchase a house. As a result, they tend
to be less sensitive to rent increases due to higher income profiles
and tend to stay longer. Because they expect the highest quality,
we invest more in our communities up-front, which produces a lower,
more predictable level of capital expenditures over the long term.
The
Macro-Market Strategy Our investment goal is to assemble
a portfolio of assets that provides a highly predictable earnings
stream that is low in volatility and has growth characteristics
that substantially exceed the national average. We can create
maximum shareowner value by ensuring that every property investment
decision we make is within the context of this underlying objective.
With this in mind, we have ranked each of the major national Metropolitan
Statistical Areas (MSAs) on a risk/return matrix.
We then
overlaid the existing Gables portfolio to evaluate the economic
diversification, as opposed to geographic diversification, and
growth potential for each MSA. While the herd mentality today
seems to favor looking only at the supply side of the supply/demand
equation, this is shortsighted. When making a real estate investment
decision that will have earnings consequences for years to come,
the demand side of the equation is equally as important and cannot
be ignored.
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