The Reserve Bank’s interest rate increases, while aimed at restricting inflation to the 3 – 6% band, could curb GDP growth in the short term. The infrastructure spend mentioned previously, along with delivery pressure from 2010 FIFA World Cup projects, still bodes well for the construction and cement industry, which we believe should allow for significant cement growth to at least 2014.
The South African cement industry continues its phase of expansion to accommodate current and projected future demand. PPC, Lafarge and Cimpor all have major expansion projects in place. In addition, the industry saw a new entrant when Orascom announced a 2 million ton per annum facility planned for the North West for completion by the end of 2010. |