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We have considered
a number of risks and costs associated
with the future contractual commitments
included in our energy portfolio. These
risks include credit risks associated
with the financial condition of counterparties,
product location (basis) differentials
and other risks. Declines in the credit-worthiness
of our counterparties could have a material
adverse impact on our overall exposure
to credit risk. We maintain credit policies
with regard to our counterparties that,
in management’s view, reduce overall
credit risk. There can be no assurance
that the employment of VaR, or other
risk management tools we employ, will
eliminate the risk of loss.
We are also exposed
to commodity price changes outside of
trading activities. We use derivatives
for non-trading purposes and a mix of
various fuel types primarily to reduce
exposure relative to the volatility
of market and commodity prices. The
wholesale power market is extremely
volatile in price and supply. This volatility
impacts our costs of power purchased
and our participation in power trades.
If we were unable to generate an adequate
supply of electricity for our native
load customers, we would purchase power
in the wholesale market to the extent
it is available or economically feasible
to do so and/or implement curtailment
or interruption procedures as allowed
for in our tariffs and terms and conditions
of service. To the extent open positions
exist in our power marketing portfolio,
we are exposed to changing market prices
that may adversely impact our financial
position and results of operations.
The increased expenses or loss of revenues
associated with this could be material
and adverse to our consolidated results
of operations and financial condition.
From 2001 to 2002,
we experienced a 10% decrease in the
average price per MWh of electricity
purchased for utility operations. Purchased
power market volatility could be greater
than the average price decrease indicates.
If we were to have a 10% increase in
our purchased power price from 2002
to 2003, given the amount of power purchased
for utility operations during 2002,
we would have exposure of approximately
$3.5 million of operating income. Due
to the volatility of the power market,
past prices cannot be used to predict
future prices.
We use a mix of
various fossil fuel types, including
coal, natural gas and oil, to operate
our system, which helps lessen our risk
associated with any one fuel type. A
significant portion of our coal requirements
are under long-term contract, which
removes most of the price risk associated
with this commodity type. During 2002,
we experienced an approximate 2% increase,
or $0.056 per MMBtu, in our average
cost for natural gas purchased for utility
operations. We decreased our gas usage
by 1.9 million MMBtu compared to the
amount burned in 2001. Due to the volatility
of natural gas prices, we have begun
to increasingly utilize our ability
to switch to lower cost fuel types as
the market allows. We expect that exposure
to natural gas price changes will not
be material in 2003 due to our natural
gas hedge that has fixed the price of
our gas through July 2004.
We use uranium to fuel our nuclear generating
station and have on hand or under contract 100% of Wolf Creek’s
uranium, uranium conversion and uranium enrichment needs for 2003.
We have on hand or under contract 76% of the uranium and
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uranium conversion and 80% of the uranium
enrichment required for operation of Wolf Creek through March 2008.
The balance is expected to be obtained through spot market and contract
purchases, which means we will be exposed to the price risk associated
with these components.
Additional factors
that affect our commodity price exposure
are the quantity and availability of
fuel used for generation and the quantity
of electricity customers will consume.
Quantities of fossil fuel used for generation
could vary dramatically from year to
year based on the individual fuel’s
availability, price, deliverability,
unit outages and nuclear refueling.
Our customers’ electricity usage could
also vary dramatically year to year
based on the weather or other factors.
Interest Rate Exposure
We had approximately
$523.4 million of variable rate debt
and current maturities of fixed rate
debt as of December 31, 2002. A 100
basis point change in each debt series’
benchmark rate, used to set the rate
for such series would impact net income
on an annualized basis by approximately
$2.5 million after tax.
Under SFAS No.
133, we are required to mark to market
changes in the anticipated amount of
the liability related to the portion
of the $400 million in notes that have
been retired so that our consolidated
balance sheet reflects the current fair
value of the free standing portion of
the call option as discussed in Note
14 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements, “Call Option.” The amount
of our liability will increase or decrease
approximately $5 million for every 10-basis
point change in the 10-year forward
treasury rate. Related to the call option,
for the year ended December 31, 2002,
we recorded a non-cash mark-to-market
charge of $23.7 million, net of $15.7
million tax benefit, to reflect the
fair value of the call option associated
with the retired notes. We intend to
repurchase or provide for the repayment
of all or a portion of these notes on
or prior to June 15, 2003. Any repurchase
of these notes will require us to mark
to market additional amounts of the
call option. We cannot predict changes
in the market value of the call option
and therefore cannot estimate amounts
of future mark-to-market non-cash charges
associated with the call option or the
impact on our earnings.
Foreign Currency
Exchange Rates
We have foreign
operations with functional currencies
other than the U.S. dollar. As of December
31, 2002, the unrealized loss on currency
translation was approximately $2.5 million
pretax. A 10% change in the currency
exchange rates would not have a material
effect on other comprehensive income.
Equity Price Risk
During 2002, we
were not substantially exposed to equity
price risk. As discussed in Note 4 of
the Notes to Consolidated Financial
Statements, “Changes in ONEOK Ownership,”
we sold a substantial portion of our
equity investment in ONEOK. During 2003,
we will account for our ONEOK common
stock investment as an availablefor-
sale security under SFAS No. 115, “Accounting
for Certain Investments in Debt and
Equity Securities” and mark to market
its fair value through other comprehensive
income.
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