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Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
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Cautionary
Statements (1) The Company's ability to achieve its revenue goals and the corresponding cash flows from operations are affected by the volume, mix and prices of the properties, products and services sold. The annual sales targets set by the Company are aggressive, and the inability of the Company to achieve planned levels in volume, mix or prices could cause the Company not to meet anticipated revenue goals. The ability of the Company to achieve planned volume, mix or price levels at any location depends on numerous factors, including the local economy, the local death rate, competition and consumer preferences. Furthermore, the Company is adapting to pricing pressures from low-cost funeral services and merchandise providers, which may result in reducing funeral service and merchandise prices in order to recapture market share where appropriate. (2) Preneed cemetery sales are a significant component of the Company's cemetery revenue. The Company sets very aggressive preneed sales targets. The inability of the Company to achieve the planned level of sales could cause a shortfall in anticipated levels of revenue. (3) Morale is a key ingredient in any sales organization, and morale can be adversely affected by aggressive sales targets that make it difficult for the Company's over 3,500 commission sales counselors to achieve their goals. (4) When acquiring a business, the Company sets pro forma levels at which it expects those businesses to perform based on the mix of traditional services and cremation services the business has historically delivered and how the Company expects that business to perform over the next 12 months. As the Company typically charges a higher price for a traditional service than a cremation service, material changes in the types of service delivered from those assumed in the pro forma could affect the level of anticipated revenue generated by those businesses. Additionally, although a cremation service can yield a higher margin than a traditional service, it generally produces lower revenue and a lower total gross profit. (5) The ability of the Company to increase or sustain current price levels and retain market share is affected by local competition in the Company's markets, including competition from low-cost funeral providers and casket stores, as well as consumer preferences. (6) Another important component of revenue is earnings from the Company's cemetery trust funds and escrow accounts, which are determined by the size of, and returns (which include dividends, interest and realized capital gains) on, the funds. The returns on the Company's prearranged funeral trust funds and escrow accounts affect the Company's future revenue. The performance of the funds depends primarily on market conditions that are not within the Company's control. Additionally, the performance of the funds is affected by the mix of fixed-income and equity securities. The size of the funds depends on the level of sales, funds added through acquisitions, if any, and the amount of returns that are reinvested. (7) Future revenue is also affected by the level of prearranged sales in prior periods. The level of prearranged sales may be adversely affected by numerous factors, including deterioration in the economy, which causes individuals to have less discretionary income. (8) The deathcare business is a highly fixed cost business. Positive or negative changes in revenue can have a disproportionately large effect on net earnings. (9) The Company's planned cash flow initiatives for 2000 include analysis and possible re-deployment of excess cemetery property, under-performing assets and real estate that would be more valuable if converted to another use. No assurance can be given, however, that any significant portion of the Company's assets can be sold, re-deployed or converted on a profitable basis or that doing so will not result, at least initially, in charges to earnings. (10) Revenue growth goals for fiscal year 2000 and beyond do not include acquisition activity. The actual level of acquisition activity, if any, will depend not only on the number of properties acquired, but also on the size of the acquisitions; for example, one large acquisition could increase substantially the level of acquisition activity and, consequently, revenues. Several important factors, among others, affect the Company's ability to consummate acquisitions:
(11) The Company first entered foreign markets in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 1994, and no assurance can be given that the Company will continue to be successful in expanding in foreign markets, or that any expansion in foreign markets will yield results comparable to those realized through the Company's expansion in the United States. (12) Historically, in order to support its rapid growth, the Company has periodically accessed the secondary equity and debt markets, and the Company may need to continue to do so in order to support future growth or to meet existing operating and debt service requirements even in the absence of significant future growth. The Company's ability to access these capital markets successfully in the future will depend on numerous factors, including the Company's financial performance, stock market performance, changes in interest rates, any changes in the Company's credit ratings and perceptions in the capital markets regarding the death care industry and the Company's performance and future prospects. (13) In addition to the factors discussed above, earnings per share may be affected by other important factors, including the following:
The Company also cautions readers that it assumes no obligation to update or publicly release any revisions to forward-looking statements made herein or any other forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Company.
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