|
Item 1a. Risk
Factors
Our business, financial condition or results of operations
could be materially adversely affected by the principal risks and uncertainties
described in this section.
Our level of production and our sales and earnings are
subject to significant fluctuations as a result of the cyclical nature of the
steel industry and the industries we serve
The price of steel may fluctuate significantly due to
many factors beyond our control. This fluctuation directly affects our product
mix, production volumes and our sales and earnings. The steel industry has been
highly cyclical and many of our products are subject to fluctuations in supply
and demand. Highly cyclical industries such as the oil and natural gas, gas
transmission, commercial equipment, rail transportation and durable goods
industries represent significant markets for our Company. Future economic
downturns, stagnant economies or currency fluctuations in the U.S. or globally
could decrease the demand for our products or increase the amount of imports of
steel into the U.S., which would decrease our sales, margins and profitability.
The energy tubular products (excluding large diameter
pipe) business is dependent on the demand for and pricing of oil and natural
gas, which drives the number of active drilling rigs in both the U.S. and
Canada. The large diameter pipe business is dependent on the existence of large
pipeline projects. During times of lower demand from the oil and natural gas
industry, we endeavor to shift steel production from tubular products toward
steel mill products or cut-to-length products and vice versa. Prolonged
weakness in the oil and natural gas industry and the existence of fewer large
diameter pipe projects in combination with weakened plate demand or an
excessive supply of large diameter pipe could adversely affect our operations.
Imports of steel products into North America have, in
recent years, adversely affected, and may yet again adversely affect, North
American steel prices, which would impact the level of our sales, margins and
profitability
Excessive imports of steel products into North America
have in recent years caused, and may again in the future cause downward
pressure on North American steel product prices and significantly reduce our
sales, margins and profitability. North American steel producers compete with
many foreign producers. Competition from foreign producers is typically strong when
the economies of certain foreign steel-making countries weaken, and is further
intensified during periods when the U.S. dollar strengthens relative to foreign
currencies. Economic difficulties in these countries, combined with a reduction
in demand for steel produced or an excess of supply by these countries tends to
encourage greater steel exports to North America at prices lower than the
prices otherwise charged by North American producers.
In addition, we believe the downward pressure on, and
periodically depressed levels, of North American steel prices over the years
have been further exacerbated by imports of steel involving dumping and subsidy
abuses by foreign steel producers. The effects of these unfairly traded imports
have been mitigated somewhat by government actions such as implementation of
safeguard remedies and the enforcement of anti-dumping and countervailing duty
orders; however these measures must comply with World Trade Organization rules and
are temporary in nature. Moreover, products and countries that are not covered
by measures and imports of these exempt products or of products from these
countries may have an additional adverse effect upon our revenues and income. In
any event, when any of the trade remedies are relaxed or repealed, or if
increasingly higher North American steel prices enable foreign steelmakers to
export their steel products into North America even with the presence of duties
or tariffs, the resurgence of substantial imports of foreign steel could again
create downward pressure on North American steel prices.
The level of imports of OCTG, which has varied
significantly over time, affects the domestic market for these goods. High
levels of imports reduce the volume sold by domestic producers and tend to
suppress selling prices, both of which have an adverse impact on our business.
The level of imports of oil and gas casing and tubing and line pipe is affected
by numerous factors, including:
increased supply, overall world demand for oil and gas casing, tubing
and line pipe; domestic and foreign inventory levels of casing, tubing and line
pipe; the purchasing pattern of distributors and end-users; domestic and
foreign trade policy; and the relative value of the U.S. dollar to foreign
currencies. Many foreign pipe producers are owned, controlled or subsidized by
their governments and their decisions with respect to production and sales may
be influenced more by political and economic policy considerations than by
prevailing market conditions. Actions motivated by these factors could increase
competition and cause our sales to decrease. Such increased competition could
have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results or financial condition. We cannot
predict the U.S.s or any other governments future actions regarding import
duties or other trade restrictions on imports of oil and gas casing, tubing
products, line pipe or other steel products, or the impact of these actions on
our sales of oil and gas casing and tubing products or line pipe. As discussed
earlier, we are anticipating the ITC to make final rulings on several sunset
review cases by the second quarter of 2007.
A reduction or slowdown in Chinas steel consumption
could have a material adverse effect on global steel pricing and could result
in increased steel exports into North America
A significant factor in the worldwide strengthening of
steel pricing over the past several years has been the significant growth in steel
consumption in China, which until recently had outpaced that countrys
manufacturing capacity to produce its own steel needs. This had resulted in
China being a net importer of steel products, as well as a net importer of raw
materials and supplies required in the steel manufacturing process. A
combination of a reduction in Chinas economic growth rate with its resulting
reduction of steel consumption, coupled with its own expansion of steel-making
capacity, could have the effect of a substantial weakening of both domestic and
global steel demand and steel pricing. Currently, it is believed that Chinas
supply of steel now exceeds its demand for that product. Therefore, many Asian and
European steel producers whose steel output had filled Chinas steel import
needs are shipping steel products into the North American market, thus causing
erosion of margins through a reduction in pricing.
|