Cincinnati Financial Corporation
2009 Second-quarter Letter to Shareholders
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Cincinnati Financial Reports Second-Quarter 2009 Results
Cincinnati, July 30, 2009 Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
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Second-quarter 2009 net loss of $19 million compared with net income of $63 million in
the second quarter of 2008. |
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Book value per share of $25.49, an increase of 6.7 percent during the quarter. |
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Operating loss* of $5 million, or 3 cents per share,
compared with operating income of $69 million, or 42
cents per share. |
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Net income and operating income declined 25 cents per share compared to second-quarter 2008
from the effects of higher catastrophe losses and a lesser amount of favorable development on
loss and loss expense reserves for prior accident years. The contribution from investment
income declined 9 cents per share. |
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Value creation ratio of 8.4 percent for the second
quarter and 2.0 percent for the first
half of 2009 compared with negative 23.5 percent for the full year 2008. |
Financial Highlights
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(Dollars in millions except share data) |
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Three months ended June 30, |
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Six months ended June 30, |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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change % |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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change % |
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Revenue Highlights |
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Earned premiums |
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$ |
770 |
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$ |
794 |
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(3.1) |
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$ |
1,535 |
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$ |
1,575 |
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(2.5) |
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Investment income |
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119 |
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130 |
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(8.4) |
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243 |
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282 |
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(13.9) |
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Total revenues |
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874 |
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917 |
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(4.7) |
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1,764 |
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1,621 |
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8.8 |
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Income Statement Data |
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Net income
(loss) |
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$ |
(19) |
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$ |
63 |
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nm |
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$ |
17 |
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$ |
21 |
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(20.0) |
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Net realized investment gains and losses |
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(14) |
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(6) |
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(119.0) |
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(15) |
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(157) |
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90.0 |
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Operating
income (loss)* |
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$ |
(5) |
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$ |
69 |
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nm |
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$ |
32 |
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$ |
178 |
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(81.8) |
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Per Share Data (diluted) |
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Net income (loss) |
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$ |
(0.12) |
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$ |
0.38 |
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nm |
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$ |
0.10 |
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$ |
0.13 |
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(23.1) |
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Net realized investment gains and losses |
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(0.09) |
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(0.04) |
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(125.0) |
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(0.10) |
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(0.95) |
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89.5 |
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Operating
income (loss)* |
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$ |
(0.03) |
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$ |
0.42 |
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nm |
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$ |
0.20 |
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$ |
1.08 |
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(81.5) |
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Book value |
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$ |
25.49 |
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$ |
28.99 |
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(12.1) |
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Cash dividend declared |
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0.39 |
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0.39 |
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0.0 |
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0.78 |
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0.78 |
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0.0 |
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Diluted weighted average shares outstanding |
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162,556,327 |
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165,044,463 |
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(1.5) |
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162,738,081 |
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164,601,462 |
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(1.1) |
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Insurance Operations Highlights
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116.6 percent second-quarter 2009 property casualty combined ratio, a pre-tax underwriting
loss of $122 million. |
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Property casualty net written premiums decreased $67 million or 8.5 percent, driven by
economic trends lowering insured exposures along with continued weak pricing in the insurance
marketplace. |
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$7 million increase in property casualty new business written by agencies in the second
quarter of 2009, driven by $6 million from surplus lines operations that began in 2008. |
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7 cents per share contribution from life insurance operations to second-quarter operating
income, up from 6 cents. |
Balance Sheet and Investment Highlights
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$25.49 book value compared with $23.88 at March 31, 2009, and $25.75 at December 31, 2008,
with the second-quarter improvement reflecting higher market-driven valuations in the
investment portfolio. |
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Excellent financial flexibility and growth capacity with property casualty statutory
surplus of $3.241 billion at June 30, 2009, compared with $3.360 billion at December 31, 2008.
Parent company cash and marketable securities of $1.046 billion provide shareholder dividend
capacity. |
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Investment income declined for the quarter and year-to-date periods, reflecting recent
quarter portfolio changes from a capital preservation diversification strategy. Lower dividend
income from equity securities was partially offset by higher interest income from bonds. |
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* |
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** |
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Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the
companys safe harbor statement. |
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Not meaningful |
Focus Continues on Long-Term Value Creation
Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, commented, The 2009 second quarter
brought an unwelcome repeat of recent trends for our property casualty insurance operations. Our
underwriting loss primarily was driven by very high catastrophe losses, less favorable development
on claims for prior accident years and a prolonged period of soft pricing and economic weakness
that has reduced premium revenues for our company and our industry. Interest and dividend income
from investments and steady profits from life insurance operations
offset some of the property casualty underwriting
loss.
At June 30, 2009, unrealized gains in our stock and bond portfolio significantly exceeded the
March 31 level. This increase offset the effects of the second-quarter underwriting loss on book
value per share, which rose by $1.61 during the quarter. As a result, the value creation ratio we
use to measure our success trended positively, reaching
8.4 percent for the second quarter and 2.0
percent for the six months. Looking past 2009 to the 2010-2014 period, we continue to target a
five-year value creation ratio of 12 percent to 15 percent, comprised of the total of our rate of
growth in book value per share plus the rate of dividend contribution per share.
We continue to focus on actions to build our companys long-term competitive advantages, financial
strength and stability through all market cycles. Some of those actions, such as the
diversification of our investment portfolio that has been achieved over the past year, set income
back for the short term but improved our position going forward. We rebalanced our portfolio with a
smaller equity component in order to preserve capital and increase stability. After adjusting prior
periods to reflect current accounting standards for impaired securities, we expect to again see
favorable trend comparisons for investment income by the end of this years second half. At that
point, we anticipate interest from bonds will increase to a level that offsets lower dividends from
our stock holdings.
We believe that the quality of an insurers balance sheets hinges on its reserving practices,
Stecher noted. Consistent reserving practices are essential during soft markets. As losses develop
over the years after they occur, our reserves have proven more than adequate and allowed us to
release favorable development from prior-year loss reserves into current earnings. In the current
quarter and first half, the benefit from this savings was less than in the year-ago period because
we slightly increased our inflation assumption for workers compensation reserves going back 20 or
more years. Our reserves for open workers compensation claims total nearly $1 billion, so even
small changes in inflation assumptions translate into significant quarterly income effects.
The unique strength of our relationship with our agents remains a key competitive advantage, and
we remain confident that it will lead to profitable growth as insurance markets improve. Our strong
capital position provides plenty of capacity for that growth along with financial flexibility.
Improving Profitability
Stecher said, We expect to see improvement in our underperforming workers compensation and
homeowner lines of business as we apply predictive modeling techniques to improve pricing accuracy.
We are on target to begin using our workers compensation predictive modeling tool throughout our
operating territory during the second half of 2009 to assist our underwriting staff with improved
risk selection and pricing capabilities. We recently refined our homeowner predictive modeling and
continue to improve pricing sophistication for individual risks. Rate increases are also being
implemented for states representing approximately 80 percent of our personal lines business.
Frequent catastrophe events continue to weigh on our results, particularly for the homeowner line.
In addition to the three significant events during the second quarter for which we reported a
preliminary catastrophe loss estimate on July 13, we identified smaller impacts from several events
classified as catastrophes by Property Claims Services, an industry group that declares
catastrophes when a single incident or a series of closely related incidents causes severe insured
property losses totaling more than $25 million. Our second quarter 2009 total incurred losses from
catastrophes were $118 million compared with $113 million for the same quarter in 2008.
These amounts in both periods were well above our historical norm for catastrophe losses. We are
addressing catastrophe risk through several initiatives, including ongoing efforts to control our
hurricane exposure. Additionally, we have made progress with geographic diversification, expanding
our personal lines operations over the past 18 months into seven states less prone to catastrophe
events. Through the first six months of 2009, agencies in these states already have contributed
more than $5 million of new business, approximately 15 percent of total new personal lines
business. While it will take time to see meaningful earnings effects from geographic
diversification, it is an important part of our enterprise risk management program.
Driving Growth
Stecher continued, Although new property casualty business written for the second quarter of 2009
exceeded the 2008 level by 6.9 percent, due primarily to our surplus lines operation, total net
written premiums declined 8.5 percent. These trends reflect pricing pressure as well as reduced
premiums based on insured exposures that are highly sensitive to economic cycles, such as
business sales or payrolls. Premiums on commercial accounts we choose to renew continue to reflect
pricing declines at a low-single-digit rate, on average. We choose not to renew accounts that would
require price decreases out of proportion to the quality of the individual risk.
Rather than compete for business that appears to be underpriced, we are focusing on expanding our
agency plant, geographical territory and lines of business. During the second quarter, we appointed
our first Colorado agency, and we expect to announce our first agency relationship in Wyoming soon.
We also recently added a third marketing territory in Texas, a state where we began actively
marketing in 2008, and generated $3 million in direct written premiums for the first half of 2009.
Typically, new agencies give us opportunities to underwrite accounts they formerly placed with
another carrier, bringing us the advantage of risk characteristics and loss histories that are
well-known to our agent.
Agents also have responded enthusiastically to the surplus lines offerings of The Cincinnati
Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company, now in its second year of operation. Of the $29 million
increase in new, consolidated property casualty business written in the first six months, $12
million was surplus lines premium. Our ability to handle surplus lines risk through this company
also increases our opportunities to write standard business for the same accounts through The
Cincinnati Insurance Company.
Our life insurance operation similarly provides opportunities to cross-sell life insurance
products to clients of the independent agencies that sell Cincinnatis property casualty insurance
policies. We continue to enhance this portfolio of products and later this year plan to offer a new
secondary guarantee universal life product, a new return of premium term life series and also a
worksite return of premium 20-year term life product.
We are on the verge of introducing our new commercial lines policy administration system, which we
expect to drive future premium growth. A group of our associates are using it now to produce
commercial package and commercial auto policies for Ohio and Indiana agencies they serve. In
October, agents will receive the system and will gain direct bill capability. Further, our improved
personal lines administration system is on track for early 2010 delivery to agents.
In summary, our second quarter results were a disappointment but not a surprise, and we see few
signs of a better environment for the remainder of 2009. Looking to the future, we strengthened our
competitive and financial position during the second quarter by continuing to improve our portfolio
and risk management, build our agency relationships, expand our independent agency force and
advance our technology.
Stecher concluded, Our property casualty insurance group was named in July to the Wards 50 list
of insurers that excel at balancing financial strength with superior performance over a five-year
period. Our group is one of only five insurers named to the Wards 50 every year since inception of
the list 19 years ago. With support from our loyal shareholders, agents, policyholders and
associates, we will continue making progress and building value that endures over time.
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
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(Dollars in millions; percent change given for |
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Three months ended June 30, |
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Six months ended June 30, |
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dollar amounts and point change given for ratios) |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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change % |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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change % |
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Earned premiums |
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$ |
733 |
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$ |
761 |
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(3.7) |
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$ |
1,465 |
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$ |
1,512 |
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(3.1) |
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Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses |
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502 |
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445 |
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12.8 |
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992 |
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903 |
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9.9 |
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Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses |
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118 |
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113 |
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4.1 |
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171 |
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156 |
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9.3 |
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Total loss and loss expenses |
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620 |
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558 |
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11.2 |
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1,163 |
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1,059 |
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9.9 |
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Underwriting expenses |
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235 |
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230 |
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2.6 |
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479 |
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469 |
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2.0 |
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Underwriting loss |
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$ |
(122) |
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$ |
(27) |
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(356.3) |
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$ |
(177) |
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$ |
(16) |
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nm |
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Other premium metrics: |
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Agency renewal written premiums |
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$ |
666 |
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$ |
738 |
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(9.8) |
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$ |
1,361 |
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$ |
1,472 |
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(7.5) |
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Agency new business written premiums |
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107 |
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100 |
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6.9 |
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204 |
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175 |
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16.4 |
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Net written premiums |
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723 |
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790 |
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(8.5) |
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1,501 |
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1,566 |
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(4.2) |
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Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: |
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Points |
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Points |
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Loss and loss expenses |
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84.5% |
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73.3% |
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11.2 |
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79.4% |
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70.0% |
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9.4 |
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Underwriting expenses |
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32.1 |
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30.2 |
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1.9 |
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32.7 |
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31.1 |
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1.6 |
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Combined ratio |
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116.6% |
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103.5% |
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13.1 |
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112.1% |
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101.1% |
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11.0 |
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Other metrics within combined ratio: |
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Contribution from catastrophe losses |
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16.1 |
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14.9 |
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1.2 |
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11.6 |
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10.3 |
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1.3 |
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Contribution from prior period reserve development |
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(3.9) |
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(11.4) |
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7.5 |
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(1.5) |
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(6.5) |
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5.0 |
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$67 million or 8.5 percent decrease in second-quarter property casualty net written
premiums as the effects of exposure decreases, soft pricing and disciplined renewal
underwriting more than offset growth in new business. |
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$7 million increase in 2009 new business written by agencies reflected the contribution
from growth initiatives, including a $6 million increase from surplus lines. |
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1,168 agency relationships with 1,444 reporting locations marketing standard market
property casualty insurance products at June 30, 2009, up from 1,133 agency relationships with
1,387 reporting locations at year-end 2008. |
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Second-quarter 2009 GAAP combined ratio increased primarily due to less favorable
development on prior accident year loss and loss expense reserves. The underwriting profit
impacts of this prior accident year reserve development for the second quarter of 2009 and
2008, respectively, were $29 million unfavorable and $9 million favorable for the workers
compensation line of business and $58 million favorable and $77 million favorable for all
other lines of business. |
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(In millions, net of reinsurance) |
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Three months ended June 30, |
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Six months ended June 30, |
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Commercial |
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Personal |
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Commercial |
Personal |
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Dates |
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Cause of loss |
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Region |
lines |
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lines |
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Total |
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lines |
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lines |
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Total |
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2009 |
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Jan. 26-28 |
Flood, freezing, ice, snow |
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South, Midwest |
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$ |
(1) |
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$ |
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$ |
(1) |
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$ |
5 |
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$ |
15 |
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$ |
20 |
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Feb. 10-13 |
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Flood, hail, wind |
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South, Midwest, East |
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4 |
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5 |
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9 |
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15 |
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23 |
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38 |
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Feb. 18-19 |
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Wind, hail |
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South |
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1 |
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3 |
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4 |
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1 |
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8 |
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9 |
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Apr. 9-11 |
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Flood, hail, wind |
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South, Midwest |
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13 |
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15 |
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28 |
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13 |
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15 |
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28 |
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May 7-9 |
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Flood, hail, wind |
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South, Midwest |
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12 |
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17 |
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29 |
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12 |
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17 |
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29 |
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Jun. 2-6 |
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Flood, hail, wind |
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South, Midwest |
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6 |
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4 |
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10 |
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6 |
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4 |
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10 |
|
Jun. 10-18 |
|
Flood, hail, wind |
|
South, Midwest |
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
30 |
|
All other
2009 catastrophes |
|
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
Development on 2008 and prior catastrophes |
|
|
|
|
(4) |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
(7) |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
(4) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Calendar year incurred total |
|
|
|
$ |
57 |
|
|
$ |
61 |
|
|
$ |
118 |
|
|
$ |
71 |
|
|
$ |
100 |
|
|
$ |
171 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jan. 4-9 |
|
Wind, hail, flood, freezing |
|
South, Midwest |
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
3 |
|
|
$ |
3 |
|
|
$ |
6 |
|
Jan. 29-30 |
|
Wind, hail |
|
Midwest |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
Feb. 5-6 |
|
Wind, hail, flood |
|
Midwest |
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
|
|
(3) |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
Mar. 14 |
|
Tornadoes, wind, hail, flood |
|
South |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
Mar. 15-16 |
|
Wind, hail |
|
South |
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
Apr. 9-11 |
|
Wind, hail, flood |
|
South |
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
May 10-12 |
|
Wind, hail, flood |
|
South, Mid-Atlantic |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
May 22-26 |
|
Wind, hail |
|
Midwest |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
May 29- Jun 1 |
|
Wind, hail, flood |
|
Midwest |
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
Jun. 2-4 |
|
Wind, hail, flood |
|
Midwest |
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
Jun. 5-8 |
|
Wind, hail, flood |
|
Midwest |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
Jun. 11-12 |
|
Wind, hail, flood |
|
Midwest |
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
All other 2008 catastrophes |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
Development on 2007 and prior catastrophes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3) |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
|
|
(4) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Calendar year incurred total |
|
|
|
$ |
66 |
|
|
$ |
47 |
|
|
$ |
113 |
|
|
$ |
89 |
|
|
$ |
67 |
|
|
$ |
156 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance Segments Highlights
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions; percent change given for |
|
Three months ended June 30, |
|
|
Six months ended June 30, |
|
dollar amounts and point change given for ratios) |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
Earned premiums |
|
$ |
556 |
|
|
$ |
586 |
|
|
|
(5.2) |
|
|
$ |
1,112 |
|
|
$ |
1,161 |
|
|
|
(4.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses |
|
|
385 |
|
|
|
342 |
|
|
|
12.3 |
|
|
|
759 |
|
|
|
685 |
|
|
|
10.8 |
|
Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses |
|
|
57 |
|
|
|
66 |
|
|
|
(14.0) |
|
|
|
71 |
|
|
|
89 |
|
|
|
(19.9) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total loss and loss expenses |
|
|
442 |
|
|
|
408 |
|
|
|
8.1 |
|
|
|
830 |
|
|
|
774 |
|
|
|
7.3 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
175 |
|
|
|
177 |
|
|
|
(1.1) |
|
|
|
355 |
|
|
|
357 |
|
|
|
(0.6) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting (loss) profit |
|
$ |
(61) |
|
|
$ |
1 |
|
|
nm |
|
|
$ |
(73) |
|
|
$ |
30 |
|
|
|
nm |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other premium metrics: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agency renewal written premiums |
|
$ |
488 |
|
|
$ |
552 |
|
|
|
(11.7) |
|
|
$ |
1,045 |
|
|
$ |
1,140 |
|
|
|
(8.3) |
|
Agency new business written premiums |
|
|
79 |
|
|
|
87 |
|
|
|
(8.7) |
|
|
|
155 |
|
|
|
153 |
|
|
|
1.5 |
|
Net written premiums |
|
|
524 |
|
|
|
597 |
|
|
|
(12.2) |
|
|
|
1,149 |
|
|
|
1,222 |
|
|
|
(5.9) |
|
|
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Points |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Points |
|
Loss and loss expenses |
|
|
79.5% |
|
|
|
69.7% |
|
|
|
9.8 |
|
|
|
74.6% |
|
|
|
66.7% |
|
|
|
7.9 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
31.4 |
|
|
|
30.2 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
|
32.0 |
|
|
|
30.7 |
|
|
|
1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
110.9% |
|
|
|
99.9% |
|
|
|
11.0 |
|
|
|
106.6% |
|
|
|
97.4% |
|
|
|
9.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other metrics within combined ratio: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contribution from catastrophe losses |
|
|
10.2 |
|
|
|
11.3 |
|
|
|
(1.1) |
|
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
|
7.6 |
|
|
|
(1.2) |
|
Contribution from prior period reserve development |
|
|
(3.9) |
|
|
|
(12.5) |
|
|
|
8.6 |
|
|
|
(1.2) |
|
|
|
(7.6) |
|
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
|
|
$73 million or 12.2 percent decrease in second-quarter commercial lines net written
premiums. Lower renewal premiums reflected pricing declines and lower insured exposure levels
such as business sales or payroll volume, reflecting the weak economy. Lower new business
premiums reflected decisions to decline business considered underpriced. |
|
|
|
$13 million of commercial lines new business written was from agencies appointed since
January 2008. |
|
|
|
11.0 percentage-point increase in second-quarter 2009 combined ratio included 6.8 percentage
points from development of workers compensation loss and loss expense reserves for prior
accident years. It unfavorably affected by 5.3 percentage points the second-quarter ratio of
2009 and favorably impacted by 1.5 percentage points the second quarter of 2008. |
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions; percent change given for dollar amounts |
|
Three months ended June 30, |
|
|
Six months ended June 30, |
|
and point change given for ratios) |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
Earned premiums |
|
$ |
172 |
|
|
$ |
174 |
|
|
|
(1.5) |
|
|
$ |
343 |
|
|
$ |
351 |
|
|
|
(2.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses |
|
|
112 |
|
|
|
102 |
|
|
|
10.2 |
|
|
|
225 |
|
|
|
217 |
|
|
|
3.9 |
|
Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses |
|
|
61 |
|
|
|
47 |
|
|
|
29.3 |
|
|
|
100 |
|
|
|
67 |
|
|
|
47.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total loss and loss expenses |
|
|
173 |
|
|
|
149 |
|
|
|
16.2 |
|
|
|
325 |
|
|
|
284 |
|
|
|
14.2 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
56 |
|
|
|
52 |
|
|
|
6.6 |
|
|
|
110 |
|
|
|
112 |
|
|
|
(0.5) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting loss |
|
$ |
(57) |
|
|
$ |
(27) |
|
|
|
(113.0) |
|
|
$ |
(92) |
|
|
$ |
(45) |
|
|
|
(107.3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other premium metrics: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agency renewal direct written premiums |
|
$ |
176 |
|
|
$ |
186 |
|
|
|
(5.3) |
|
|
$ |
313 |
|
|
$ |
332 |
|
|
|
(5.6) |
|
Agency new business direct written premiums |
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
84.7 |
|
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
76.8 |
|
Net written premiums |
|
|
190 |
|
|
|
191 |
|
|
|
(0.6) |
|
|
|
334 |
|
|
|
341 |
|
|
|
(1.9) |
|
|
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Points |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Points |
|
Loss and loss expenses |
|
|
100.9% |
|
|
|
85.4% |
|
|
|
15.5 |
|
|
|
94.6% |
|
|
|
81.0% |
|
|
|
13.6 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
32.3 |
|
|
|
29.9 |
|
|
|
2.4 |
|
|
|
32.3 |
|
|
|
31.7 |
|
|
|
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
133.2% |
|
|
|
115.3% |
|
|
|
17.9 |
|
|
|
126.9% |
|
|
|
112.7% |
|
|
|
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other metrics within combined ratio: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contribution from catastrophe losses |
|
|
35.4 |
|
|
|
27.0 |
|
|
|
8.4 |
|
|
|
29.0 |
|
|
|
19.3 |
|
|
|
9.7 |
|
Contribution from prior period reserve development |
|
|
(4.3) |
|
|
|
(7.2) |
|
|
|
2.9 |
|
|
|
(2.5) |
|
|
|
(3.2) |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
$1 million or 0.6 percent decline in second-quarter personal lines net written premiums.
Higher new personal lines business was offset by the effects of changes in pricing on renewal
business volume. |
|
|
|
$9 million increase in second-quarter 2009 personal lines new business written including $3
million from seven states where we began in 2008 to market personal lines or significantly
expanded our personal lines product offerings and automation capabilities. |
|
|
|
17.9 percentage-point increase in the combined ratio due largely to an 8.4 percentage-point
increase in catastrophe losses and a 3.1 percentage-point increase in personal lines large
losses above $250,000 per loss. |
Life Insurance Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In millions) |
|
Three months ended June 30, |
|
|
Six months ended June 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
Written premiums |
|
$ |
73 |
|
|
$ |
47 |
|
|
|
56.1 |
|
|
$ |
123 |
|
|
$ |
90 |
|
|
|
35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earned premiums |
|
$ |
37 |
|
|
$ |
33 |
|
|
|
9.9 |
|
|
$ |
70 |
|
|
$ |
63 |
|
|
|
11.1 |
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
(0.1) |
|
|
|
59 |
|
|
|
58 |
|
|
|
1.3 |
|
Other income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
(131.0) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
(83.5) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses |
|
|
66 |
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
|
3.9 |
|
|
|
129 |
|
|
|
122 |
|
|
|
5.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contract holders benefits |
|
|
39 |
|
|
|
38 |
|
|
|
1.8 |
|
|
|
78 |
|
|
|
74 |
|
|
|
5.3 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
29.8 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
16.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total benefits and expenses |
|
|
52 |
|
|
|
48 |
|
|
|
7.5 |
|
|
|
102 |
|
|
|
95 |
|
|
|
7.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
(7.3) |
|
|
|
27 |
|
|
|
27 |
|
|
|
(2.6) |
|
Income tax |
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
(41.2) |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
(20.8) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income before realized investment gains and losses |
|
$ |
11 |
|
|
$ |
10 |
|
|
|
10.3 |
|
|
$ |
19 |
|
|
$ |
18 |
|
|
|
6.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$33 million increase in total six-month 2009 life insurance segment net written premiums
primarily due to increased fixed annuity sales. Written premiums include life insurance,
annuity and accident and health premiums. |
|
|
|
7.6 percent increase to $78 million in six-month 2009 written premiums for life
insurance products in total. |
|
|
|
12.0 percent rise to $43 million in six-month term life insurance written premiums,
reflecting marketing advantages of competitive, up-to-date products, providing close personal
attention and offering policies backed by financial strength and stability. |
|
|
|
Growth in earned premiums more than offset less favorable mortality experience as life
insurance operations continue to provide a steady contribution to overall earnings. |
|
|
|
2.9 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $67.812 billion at June 30,
2009, from $65.888 billion at year-end 2008. |
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Investment Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In millions) |
|
Three months ended June 30, |
|
|
Six months ended June 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
Investment income: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest |
|
$ |
96 |
|
|
$ |
79 |
|
|
|
21.0 |
|
|
$ |
192 |
|
|
$ |
155 |
|
|
|
23.7 |
|
Dividends |
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
50 |
|
|
|
(52.4) |
|
|
|
50 |
|
|
|
123 |
|
|
|
(59.2) |
|
Other |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
(47.8) |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
(36.6) |
|
Investment expenses |
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
(4.3) |
|
|
|
(4) |
|
|
|
(3) |
|
|
|
(7.8) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
119 |
|
|
|
130 |
|
|
|
(8.4) |
|
|
|
243 |
|
|
|
282 |
|
|
|
(13.9) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment interest credited to contract holders |
|
|
(17) |
|
|
|
(16) |
|
|
|
6.8 |
|
|
|
(33) |
|
|
|
(31) |
|
|
|
6.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized investment gains and losses summary: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized investment gains and losses |
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
57 |
|
|
|
(59.3) |
|
|
|
75 |
|
|
|
40 |
|
|
|
85.1 |
|
Change in fair value of securities with
embedded derivatives |
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
(3) |
|
|
|
nm |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
(6) |
|
|
|
nm |
|
Other-than-temporary impairment charges |
|
|
(52) |
|
|
|
(65) |
|
|
|
18.9 |
|
|
|
(102) |
|
|
|
(278) |
|
|
|
63.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total realized investment gains and losses |
|
|
(18) |
|
|
|
(11) |
|
|
|
(62.0) |
|
|
|
(20) |
|
|
|
(244) |
|
|
|
91.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment operations income |
|
$ |
84 |
|
|
$ |
103 |
|
|
|
(18.3) |
|
|
$ |
190 |
|
|
$ |
7 |
|
|
nm |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.4 percent decline in second-quarter 2009 net investment income, primarily due to dividend
reductions by equity security holdings. |
|
|
|
$18 million realized investment loss in second-quarter 2009 compared with an $11 million
loss in second-quarter 2008. |
|
|
|
Second-quarter 2009 pretax realized investment loss included $52 million non-cash charge
for other-than-temporary impairments that recognize significant market value declines,
primarily for the equity portfolio. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions except share data) |
|
At June 30, |
|
At December 31, |
|
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
Balance sheet data |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Invested assets |
|
$ |
9,708 |
|
|
$ |
8,890 |
|
Total assets |
|
|
13,522 |
|
|
|
13,369 |
|
Short-term debt |
|
|
49 |
|
|
|
49 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
790 |
|
|
|
791 |
|
Shareholders equity |
|
|
4,144 |
|
|
|
4,182 |
|
Book value per share |
|
|
25.49 |
|
|
|
25.75 |
|
|
Debt-to-capital ratio |
|
|
16.8% |
|
|
|
16.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six months ended June 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
Performance measures |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Value creation ratio |
|
|
2.0% |
|
|
|
(16.6)% |
|
|
|
|
$9.962 billion in cash and invested assets at June 30, 2009, compared with $9.899 billion
at December 31, 2008. Cash and equivalents of $254 million at June 30, 2009, compared with
$1.009 billion at December 31, 2008. |
|
|
|
$7.127 billion bond portfolio at June 30, 2009, with an average rating of A2/A, reflecting
a diverse mix of taxable and tax-exempt securities. |
|
|
|
$2.492 billion equity portfolio was 25.7 percent of invested assets and included $533
million in pretax unrealized gains at June 30, 2009. |
|
|
|
$3.241 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at June 30,
2009, compared with $3.360 billion at December 31, 2008. Ratio of net written premiums to
property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended June 30, 2009, of 0.93-to-1, up
from 0.89-to-1 for the 12 months ended December 31, 2008. |
|
|
|
Value creation ratio for the first half of 2009 includes 3.0 percent from shareholder
dividends and negative 1.0 percent growth in book value per share. |
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Condensed Balance Sheets and Statements of Income (unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
|
June 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investments |
|
$ |
9,708 |
|
|
$ |
8,890 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
254 |
|
|
|
1,009 |
|
Premiums receivable |
|
|
1,075 |
|
|
|
1,059 |
|
Reinsurance receivable |
|
|
730 |
|
|
|
759 |
|
Deferred income tax |
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
126 |
|
Other assets |
|
|
1,682 |
|
|
|
1,526 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
13,522 |
|
|
$ |
13,369 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance reserves |
|
$ |
5,847 |
|
|
$ |
5,637 |
|
Unearned premiums |
|
|
1,565 |
|
|
|
1,544 |
|
6.125% senior notes due 2034 |
|
|
371 |
|
|
|
371 |
|
6.9% senior debentures due 2028 |
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
6.92% senior debentures due 2028 |
|
|
391 |
|
|
|
392 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
|
1,176 |
|
|
|
1,215 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
9,378 |
|
|
|
9,187 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders Equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common stock and paid-in capital |
|
|
1,468 |
|
|
|
1,462 |
|
Retained earnings |
|
|
3,575 |
|
|
|
3,579 |
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income |
|
|
304 |
|
|
|
347 |
|
Treasury stock |
|
|
(1,203) |
|
|
|
(1,206) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total shareholders equity |
|
|
4,144 |
|
|
|
4,182 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
13,522 |
|
|
$ |
13,369 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions except per share data) |
|
Three months ended June 30, |
|
|
Six months ended June 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
Revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earned premiums |
|
$ |
770 |
|
|
$ |
794 |
|
|
$ |
1,535 |
|
|
$ |
1,575 |
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
119 |
|
|
|
130 |
|
|
|
243 |
|
|
|
282 |
|
Realized investment gains and losses |
|
|
(18) |
|
|
|
(11) |
|
|
|
(20) |
|
|
|
(244) |
|
Other income |
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
874 |
|
|
|
917 |
|
|
|
1,764 |
|
|
|
1,621 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits and Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance losses and policyholder benefits |
|
|
658 |
|
|
|
595 |
|
|
|
1,239 |
|
|
|
1,131 |
|
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses |
|
|
248 |
|
|
|
239 |
|
|
|
503 |
|
|
|
491 |
|
Other operating expenses |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total benefits and expenses |
|
|
924 |
|
|
|
853 |
|
|
|
1,780 |
|
|
|
1,657 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (Loss) before Income Taxes |
|
|
(50) |
|
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
(16) |
|
|
|
(36) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes |
|
|
(31) |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
(33) |
|
|
|
(57) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net
Income (Loss) |
|
$ |
(19) |
|
|
$ |
63 |
|
|
$ |
17 |
|
|
$ |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Per Common Share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
(loss)basic |
|
$ |
(0.12) |
|
|
$ |
0.38 |
|
|
$ |
0.10 |
|
|
$ |
0.13 |
|
Net income
(loss)diluted |
|
$ |
(0.12) |
|
|
$ |
0.38 |
|
|
$ |
0.10 |
|
|
$ |
0.13 |
|
|
This report contains forward-looking statements that involve potential risks and uncertainties. For factors that
could cause results to differ materially from those discussed, please see the most recent edition of our safe
harbor statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. To view or print the edition in
effect as of this report's initial publication date, please view this document as a printable PDF.
|