Cincinnati Financial Corporation
2009 Third-quarter Letter to Shareholders
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Cincinnati Financial Reports Third-Quarter 2009 Results
Cincinnati, October 29, 2009 Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
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Net income of $171 million, or $1.05 per share, in the third quarter of 2009, compared with
$247 million, or $1.50 per share, in the 2008 third quarter. Net realized investment gains
contributed $75 million, or 46 cents per share, compared with $173 million, or $1.05 per
share. |
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Operating income* of $96 million, or 59 cents per share, in the 2009 third quarter,
compared with operating income of $74 million, or 45 cents per share. |
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Net income and operating income for the third-quarter of 2009 reflected a property casualty
insurance underwriting profit, contributing 14 cents per share, compared with a third-quarter
2008 underwriting loss that decreased income by 4 cents per share. The property casualty
contribution rose primarily on lower weather-related catastrophe losses. |
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Book value per share of $28.44 at September 30, 2009, up 11.6 percent during the quarter. |
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Value creation ratio reached 13.1 percent for the third quarter and 15.0 percent for the
first nine months of 2009. |
Financial Highlights
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(Dollars in millions except share data) |
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Three months ended September 30, |
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Nine months ended September 30, |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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change % |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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change % |
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Revenue Highlights |
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Earned premiums |
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$ |
766 |
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$ |
781 |
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(1.9) |
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$ |
2,301 |
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$ |
2,355 |
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(2.3) |
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Investment income |
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127 |
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130 |
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(2.4) |
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370 |
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412 |
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(10.3) |
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Total revenues |
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1,007 |
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1,186 |
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(15.1) |
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2,770 |
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2,806 |
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(1.3) |
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Income Statement Data |
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Net income |
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$ |
171 |
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$ |
247 |
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(31.0) |
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$ |
187 |
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$ |
268 |
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(30.1) |
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Net realized investment gains and losses |
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75 |
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173 |
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(57.2) |
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58 |
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16 |
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263.8 |
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Operating income* |
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$ |
96 |
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$ |
74 |
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30.7 |
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$ |
129 |
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$ |
252 |
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(48.9) |
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Per Share Data (diluted) |
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Net income |
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$ |
1.05 |
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$ |
1.50 |
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(30.0) |
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$ |
1.15 |
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$ |
1.64 |
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(29.9) |
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Net realized investment gains and losses |
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0.46 |
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1.05 |
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(56.2) |
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0.36 |
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0.10 |
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260.0 |
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Operating income* |
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$ |
0.59 |
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$ |
0.45 |
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31.1 |
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$ |
0.79 |
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$ |
1.54 |
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(48.7) |
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Book value |
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$ |
28.44 |
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$ |
28.87 |
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(1.5) |
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Cash dividend declared |
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0.395 |
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0.39 |
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1.3 |
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1.175 |
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1.17 |
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0.4 |
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Diluted weighted average shares outstanding |
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162,901,396 |
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164,242,185 |
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(0.8) |
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162,794,767 |
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163,834,163 |
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(0.6) |
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Insurance Operations Highlights
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95.1 percent third-quarter 2009 property casualty combined ratio improved from 101.3
percent in the third quarter of 2008. |
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Property casualty net written premiums grew $3 million or 0.5 percent, with new business
from growth initiatives and lower ceded premiums for reinsurance offsetting the negative
premium effects of the slow economy and a disciplined underwriting response to lower market
pricing. |
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$14 million increase in property casualty new business written by agencies in the third
quarter of 2009, with $9 million from standard market geographic expansion initiatives and
$4 million from surplus lines. |
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4 cents per share contribution from life insurance operations to third-quarter operating
income, up from 3 cents per share. |
Balance Sheet and Investment Highlights
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$28.44 book value, up 10.4 percent from $25.75 at December 31, 2008. Property casualty
statutory surplus rose 3.3 percent to $3.472 billion. |
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Invested assets fair value increased 7.4 percent and 17.3 percent during the third quarter
and first nine months of 2009. |
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Investment income for the third quarter declined 2.4 percent and is approaching a growth
pace following portfolio changes during 2008 and early 2009 to execute a capital preservation
diversification strategy. |
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Strong capital position includes financial flexibility from parent company cash and
marketable securities of $1.061 billion. |
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* |
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** |
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Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the
companys safe harbor statement. |
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Not meaningful |
Return to Profitability and Positive Direction
Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, commented, While the economy and price
competition continue to challenge our insurance business, the metrics we use to measure our success
moved in a distinctly positive direction in the third quarter. Operating income of $96 million or
59 cents per share surpassed the amounts reported since the first quarter of 2008. Pre-tax
investment income nearly reached the level of the 2008 third quarter, on track to resume a growth
trend by year-end 2009.
Our property casualty insurance operations benefitted from atypically low catastrophe losses,
strong reserves and some stabilization of pricing. We achieved $36 million of pre-tax underwriting
profit and a combined ratio of 95.1 percent for the third quarter, our best result since the fourth
quarter of 2007. As expected, our workers compensation and homeowner lines of business continued
to underperform. For both of these lines, we are using predictive modeling techniques to improve
the accuracy of our pricing for each account and to target best-of-class accounts. Early results
show positive impacts on pricing and verify the trend to higher quality accounts, which should,
over time, return these lines to profitability.
We are satisfied with third-quarter results relative to other recent quarters, recognizing that we
still have work to do. As we navigate through a difficult period for our company, our industry and
economy, we continue to sharply focus on initiatives that have just begun to bear fruit and have
strong potential to drive future profitable growth, Stecher said. During the third quarter, we
saw clear indications that these efforts are increasing current opportunities and opening new ones.
Among those indications was a healthy amount of new business that directly resulted from our
initiatives, helping offset lower premiums resulting from lower policyholder sales and payrolls
used to calculate premiums. We continue to decline underpriced business, giving up short-term
revenue to protect long-term profitability.
Current Progress and Potential for Profitable Growth
Stecher continued, We are making good progress in expanding our product lines and pursuing
geographic diversification. Our new surplus lines subsidiary has been well received by our
independent agent representatives, and it is contributing steadily to new business. Our entry into
additional states is going well, with business building at a good pace in Texas, New Mexico and
eastern Washington. In September, we appointed our first Wyoming agency, expanding the marketing
territory that includes northern Colorado. Were receiving rollover books of personal lines
business in areas where we recently expanded that product line.
Our technology initiatives also are proceeding on time and on budget. In October, we put our new
policy administration system for commercial packages and auto policies into production in five
states accounting for approximately 40 percent of our commercial lines premium. The system makes it
easier for agents to serve the insurance needs of the businesses in their communities, offering
efficiencies such as direct billing by the company and the ability to quote and issue policies in
real time directly from their agency systems. We expect to have this system in six more states
before year-end, with 19 additional states scheduled for 2010.
Our expansion and technology initiatives support our long-term strategies. First, we are working
to improve profitability by introducing more efficient systems and enhancing our underwriting
capabilities. Second, we are driving premium growth by making it more attractive for agents to do
business with us and by moving toward a larger footprint that also reduces volatility of our
results associated with weather-related catastrophes. We also continue to make progress with the
third part of our long-term strategy, to preserve capital. Our investment portfolio is actively
managed, with an eye toward the appropriate balance between current income and the potential for
capital appreciation that benefits shareholders.
Shareholder Rewards
Stecher concluded, Significantly exceeding year-end 2008 levels, shareholders equity rose to
$4.626 billion and book value per share rose to $28.44 at the end of the third quarter. The
increase helped take our value creation ratio for the year-to-date period to the 15 percent level
earlier than anticipated. Our target for this measure is a 12 percent to 15 percent average for the
five-year period of 2010 through 2014. The value creation ratio is the sum of our rate of growth in
book value per share plus the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value. It
captures the contribution of our insurance operations, the success of our investment strategy and
the importance we place on paying cash dividends to shareholders.
During the third quarter, our board of directors increased the indicated annual dividend for a
49th consecutive year, raising the quarterly dividend paid October 15 by a half cent to
39.5 cents. This gesture signaled their confidence that we are moving steadily in the right
direction, as verified by underwriting profit in the third quarter. We are eager to further pursue
the new opportunities we have just begun to tap.
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
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(Dollars in millions; percent change given for |
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Three months ended September 30, |
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Nine months ended September 30, |
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dollar amounts and point change given for ratios) |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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change % |
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2009 |
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2008 |
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change % |
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Earned premiums |
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$ |
733 |
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$ |
751 |
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(2.4) |
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$ |
2,198 |
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$ |
2,262 |
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(2.9) |
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Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses |
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453 |
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460 |
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(1.5) |
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1,446 |
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1,362 |
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6.1 |
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Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses |
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6 |
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63 |
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(89.7) |
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177 |
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219 |
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(19.2) |
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Total loss and loss expenses |
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459 |
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523 |
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(12.2) |
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1,623 |
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1,581 |
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2.6 |
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Underwriting expenses |
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238 |
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237 |
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0.2 |
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716 |
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707 |
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1.4 |
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Underwriting profit (loss) |
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$ |
36 |
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$ |
(9) |
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nm |
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$ |
(141) |
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$ |
(26) |
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(449.3) |
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Other premium metrics: |
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Agency renewal written premiums |
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$ |
669 |
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$ |
687 |
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(2.7) |
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$ |
2,030 |
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$ |
2,159 |
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(6.0) |
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Agency new business written premiums |
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107 |
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93 |
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15.4 |
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311 |
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268 |
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16.0 |
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Net written premiums |
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730 |
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727 |
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0.5 |
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2,231 |
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2,292 |
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(2.7) |
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Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: |
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Points |
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Points |
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Loss and loss expenses |
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62.7% |
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69.7% |
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(7.0) |
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73.8% |
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69.9% |
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3.9 |
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Underwriting expenses |
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32.4 |
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31.6 |
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0.8 |
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32.6 |
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31.2 |
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1.4 |
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Combined ratio |
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95.1% |
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101.3% |
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(6.2) |
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106.4% |
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101.1% |
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5.3 |
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Other metrics within combined ratio: |
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Contribution from catastrophe losses |
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0.9 |
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8.4 |
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(7.5) |
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8.1 |
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9.7 |
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(1.6) |
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Contribution from prior period reserve development |
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(12.4) |
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(13.6) |
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1.2 |
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(5.2) |
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(8.9) |
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3.7 |
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$3 million or 0.5 percent increase in third-quarter property casualty net written premiums
as the effects of insured exposure decreases, soft pricing and disciplined renewal
underwriting were offset by growth in new business and lower ceded premiums on reinsurance,
including $8 million less for reinstatement premiums on catastrophe reinsurance. |
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$14 million increase in third-quarter 2009 new business written by agencies includes a $4
million increase from surplus lines operations that began in 2008 and a $10 million increase
from personal lines operations. |
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1,174 agency relationships with 1,455 reporting locations marketing standard market
property casualty insurance products at September 30, 2009, up from 1,133 agency relationships
with 1,387 reporting locations at year-end 2008. |
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Third-quarter 2009 GAAP combined ratio decreased primarily due to lower catastrophe losses. |
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Underwriting results benefitted from the impact of favorable prior accident year reserve
development of $91 million for the third quarter of 2009 and $102 million for the third
quarter of 2008. |
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(In millions, net of reinsurance) |
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Three months ended September 30, |
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Nine months ended September 30, |
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Commercial |
Personal |
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Commercial |
Personal |
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Dates |
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Cause of loss |
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Region |
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lines |
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lines |
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Total |
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lines |
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lines |
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Total |
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2009 |
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First quarter catastrophes |
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(1) |
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1 |
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20 |
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47 |
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67 |
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Second quarter catastrophes |
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(10) |
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1 |
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(9) |
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42 |
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45 |
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87 |
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Sep. 18-22 |
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Flood, hail, wind |
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South |
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1 |
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4 |
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5 |
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1 |
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4 |
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5 |
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All other 2009 catastrophes |
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6 |
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6 |
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12 |
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11 |
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13 |
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24 |
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Development on 2008 and prior catastrophes |
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(3) |
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1 |
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(2) |
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(10) |
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4 |
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(6) |
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Calendar year incurred total |
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$ |
(7) |
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$ |
13 |
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$ |
6 |
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$ |
64 |
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$ |
113 |
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$ |
177 |
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2008 |
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First quarter catastrophes |
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(1) |
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(1) |
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21 |
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21 |
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42 |
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Second quarter catastrophes |
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(2) |
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(10) |
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(12) |
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66 |
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34 |
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100 |
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Jul. 19 |
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Wind, hail, flood |
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Midwest |
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3 |
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3 |
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6 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
Jul. 26 |
|
Wind, hail, flood |
|
Midwest |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
Sep. 12-14 |
|
Hurricane Ike |
|
South, Midwest |
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
57 |
|
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
57 |
|
All other 2008 catastrophes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
Development on 2007 and prior catastrophes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Calendar year incurred total |
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
23 |
|
|
$ |
40 |
|
|
$ |
63 |
|
|
$ |
112 |
|
|
$ |
107 |
|
|
$ |
219 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance Segments Highlights
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions; percent change given for |
|
Three months ended September 30, |
|
|
Nine months ended September 30, |
|
dollar amounts and point change given for ratios) |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
Earned premiums |
|
$ |
555 |
|
|
$ |
582 |
|
|
|
(4.7) |
|
|
$ |
1,667 |
|
|
$ |
1,743 |
|
|
|
(4.4) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses |
|
|
336 |
|
|
|
348 |
|
|
|
(3.6) |
|
|
|
1,095 |
|
|
|
1,034 |
|
|
|
5.9 |
|
Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses |
|
|
(7) |
|
|
|
23 |
|
|
nm |
|
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
112 |
|
|
|
(42.8) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total loss and loss expenses |
|
|
329 |
|
|
|
371 |
|
|
|
(11.5) |
|
|
|
1,159 |
|
|
|
1,146 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
184 |
|
|
|
181 |
|
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
|
539 |
|
|
|
538 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting profit (loss) |
|
$ |
42 |
|
|
$ |
30 |
|
|
|
41.5 |
|
|
$ |
(31) |
|
|
$ |
59 |
|
|
|
(152.1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other premium metrics: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agency renewal written premiums |
|
$ |
489 |
|
|
$ |
502 |
|
|
|
(2.5) |
|
|
$ |
1,535 |
|
|
$ |
1,642 |
|
|
|
(6.5) |
|
Agency new business written premiums |
|
|
76 |
|
|
|
77 |
|
|
|
(0.4) |
|
|
|
231 |
|
|
|
229 |
|
|
|
0.8 |
|
Net written premiums |
|
|
528 |
|
|
|
538 |
|
|
|
(1.8) |
|
|
|
1,678 |
|
|
|
1,759 |
|
|
|
(4.7) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Points |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Points |
|
Loss and loss expenses |
|
|
59.3% |
|
|
|
63.8% |
|
|
|
(4.5) |
|
|
|
69.6% |
|
|
|
65.7% |
|
|
|
3.9 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
33.1 |
|
|
|
31.1 |
|
|
|
2.0 |
|
|
|
32.3 |
|
|
|
30.9 |
|
|
|
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
92.4% |
|
|
|
94.9% |
|
|
|
(2.5) |
|
|
|
101.9% |
|
|
|
96.6% |
|
|
|
5.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other metrics within combined ratio: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contribution from catastrophe losses |
|
|
(1.2) |
|
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
|
(5.2) |
|
|
|
3.8 |
|
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
|
(2.6) |
|
Contribution from prior period reserve development |
|
|
(13.4) |
|
|
|
(15.0) |
|
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
|
(5.2) |
|
|
|
(10.1) |
|
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
|
|
$10 million or 1.8 percent decrease in third-quarter commercial lines net written premiums.
Lower renewal premiums reflected modest pricing declines and lower insured exposure levels
such as business sales or payroll volume, due to the weak economy. Lower new business premiums
reflected decisions to decline business considered underpriced, partially offset by growth
initiatives including $4 million from Texas, a market we entered in December 2008. |
|
|
|
2.5 percentage-point improvement in third-quarter combined ratio due primarily to lower
weather-related catastrophe losses. |
|
|
|
Favorable prior accident year reserve development benefitted third-quarter underwriting
results by $74 million for 2009 compared with $88 million for 2008, with umbrella liability
coverages driving the majority of the 2009 benefit. |
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions; percent change given for |
|
Three months ended September 30, |
|
|
Nine months ended September 30, |
|
dollar amounts and point change given for ratios) |
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
Earned premiums |
|
$ |
170 |
|
|
$ |
167 |
|
|
|
1.8 |
|
|
$ |
513 |
|
|
$ |
518 |
|
|
|
(0.9) |
|
|
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses |
|
|
112 |
|
|
|
111 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
|
|
|
337 |
|
|
|
328 |
|
|
|
2.7 |
|
Loss and loss expenses from catastrophe losses |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
40 |
|
|
|
(66.2) |
|
|
|
113 |
|
|
|
107 |
|
|
|
5.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total loss and loss expenses |
|
|
125 |
|
|
|
151 |
|
|
|
(17.2) |
|
|
|
450 |
|
|
|
435 |
|
|
|
3.3 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
49 |
|
|
|
54 |
|
|
|
(8.8) |
|
|
|
159 |
|
|
|
165 |
|
|
|
(3.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting loss |
|
$ |
(4) |
|
|
$ |
(38) |
|
|
|
89.8 |
|
|
$ |
(96) |
|
|
$ |
(82) |
|
|
|
(16.6) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other premium metrics: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agency renewal direct written premiums |
|
$ |
177 |
|
|
$ |
185 |
|
|
|
(4.7) |
|
|
$ |
490 |
|
|
$ |
517 |
|
|
|
(5.3) |
|
Agency new business direct written premiums |
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
90.9 |
|
|
|
55 |
|
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
82.0 |
|
Net written premiums |
|
|
190 |
|
|
|
184 |
|
|
|
3.2 |
|
|
|
524 |
|
|
|
525 |
|
|
|
(0.1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Points |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Points |
|
Loss and loss expenses |
|
|
73.3% |
|
|
|
90.1% |
|
|
|
(16.8) |
|
|
|
87.5% |
|
|
|
84.0% |
|
|
|
3.5 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
29.0 |
|
|
|
32.4 |
|
|
|
(3.4) |
|
|
|
31.2 |
|
|
|
31.9 |
|
|
|
(0.7) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
102.3% |
|
|
|
122.5% |
|
|
|
(20.2) |
|
|
|
118.7% |
|
|
|
115.9% |
|
|
|
2.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other metrics within combined ratio: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contribution from catastrophe losses |
|
|
7.9 |
|
|
|
23.8 |
|
|
|
(15.9) |
|
|
|
22.0 |
|
|
|
20.7 |
|
|
|
1.3 |
|
Contribution from prior period reserve development |
|
|
(10.1) |
|
|
|
(9.1) |
|
|
|
(1.0) |
|
|
|
(5.0) |
|
|
|
(5.2) |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
$6 million or 3.2 percent increase in third-quarter personal lines net written premiums,
including $6 million lower catastrophe reinsurance reinstatement premiums. Lower renewal
premiums were offset by higher new business premiums. |
|
|
|
$10 million increase in third-quarter personal lines new business including $4 million from
seven states where we began in 2008 to market personal lines or significantly expanded our
personal lines product offerings and automation capabilities. |
|
|
|
20.2 percentage-point decrease in the combined ratio largely due to a 15.9 percentage-point
decrease in catastrophe losses. |
|
|
|
Favorable prior accident year reserve development benefitted third-quarter underwriting
results by $17 million for 2009 compared with $15 million for 2008, with umbrella liability
coverages driving the majority of the 2009 benefit. |
Life Insurance Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In millions) |
|
Three months ended September 30, |
|
|
Nine months ended September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
Written premiums |
|
$ |
110 |
|
|
$ |
44 |
|
|
|
150.1 |
|
|
$ |
233 |
|
|
$ |
135 |
|
|
|
73.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earned premiums |
|
$ |
33 |
|
|
$ |
30 |
|
|
|
10.7 |
|
|
$ |
103 |
|
|
$ |
93 |
|
|
|
11.0 |
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
31 |
|
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
|
|
90 |
|
|
|
89 |
|
|
|
2.0 |
|
Other income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
nm |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
(56.3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses |
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
60 |
|
|
|
7.7 |
|
|
|
194 |
|
|
|
183 |
|
|
|
6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contract holders benefits |
|
|
40 |
|
|
|
41 |
|
|
|
(1.0) |
|
|
|
118 |
|
|
|
115 |
|
|
|
3.1 |
|
Underwriting expenses |
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
(16.7) |
|
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
33 |
|
|
|
4.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total benefits and expenses |
|
|
49 |
|
|
|
52 |
|
|
|
(4.4) |
|
|
|
152 |
|
|
|
148 |
|
|
|
3.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses |
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
90.1 |
|
|
|
42 |
|
|
|
35 |
|
|
|
17.6 |
|
Income tax |
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
175.8 |
|
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
23.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income before realized investment gains and losses |
|
$ |
7 |
|
|
$ |
5 |
|
|
|
43.2 |
|
|
$ |
27 |
|
|
$ |
23 |
|
|
|
14.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$66 million three-month and $98 million nine-month growth in 2009 life insurance segment
net written premiums primarily due to increased fixed annuity sales. Written premiums include
life insurance, annuity and accident and health premiums. |
|
|
|
Net written premiums from life insurance products grew 10.1 percent during the third
quarter of 2009 and 8.5 percent to $117 million for the first nine months of 2009. |
|
|
|
12.0 percent rise to $65 million in term life insurance written premiums for the first nine
months of 2009, reflecting marketing advantages of competitive, up-to-date products, close
personal attention and policies backed by financial strength and stability. |
|
|
|
Growth in earned premiums drove improved profitability for the third quarter and first nine
months of 2009 as life insurance operations continue to provide a steady contribution to
overall earnings. Reduced underwriting expenses also contributed to higher profitability for
the third quarter of 2009. |
|
|
|
4.6 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $68.895 billion at September
30, 2009, from $65.888 billion at year-end 2008. |
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Investment Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In millions) |
|
Three months ended September 30, |
|
|
Nine months ended September 30, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
change % |
|
|
Investment income: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest |
|
$ |
104 |
|
|
$ |
83 |
|
|
|
26.0 |
|
|
$ |
296 |
|
|
$ |
238 |
|
|
|
24.5 |
|
Dividends |
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
46 |
|
|
|
(48.0) |
|
|
|
74 |
|
|
|
169 |
|
|
|
(56.2) |
|
Other |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
(70.4) |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
(47.3) |
|
Investment expenses |
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
(18.0) |
|
|
|
(6) |
|
|
|
(5) |
|
|
|
(11.3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
127 |
|
|
|
130 |
|
|
|
(2.4) |
|
|
|
370 |
|
|
|
412 |
|
|
|
(10.3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment interest credited to contract holders |
|
|
(17) |
|
|
|
(16) |
|
|
|
(10.1) |
|
|
|
(50) |
|
|
|
(47) |
|
|
|
(7.6) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized investment gains and losses summary: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized investment gains and losses, net |
|
|
106 |
|
|
|
401 |
|
|
|
(73.6) |
|
|
|
180 |
|
|
|
441 |
|
|
|
(59.1) |
|
Change in fair value of securities with embedded
derivatives |
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
(8) |
|
|
|
296.0 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
(13) |
|
|
|
268.0 |
|
Other-than-temporary impairment charges |
|
|
(11) |
|
|
|
(121) |
|
|
|
90.8 |
|
|
|
(113) |
|
|
|
(400) |
|
|
|
71.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total realized investment gains and losses, net |
|
|
110 |
|
|
|
272 |
|
|
|
(59.6) |
|
|
|
90 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
218.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment operations income |
|
$ |
220 |
|
|
$ |
386 |
|
|
|
(43.2) |
|
|
$ |
410 |
|
|
$ |
393 |
|
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.4 percent decline in third-quarter 2009 net investment income, as higher interest income
only partially offset dividend reductions by equity security holdings. Those dividend
reductions occurred primarily during late 2008 and early 2009. |
|
|
|
$572 million third-quarter 2009 increase in pre-tax unrealized investment gains, including
$407 million for the fixed maturities portfolio. |
|
|
|
Pre-tax realized investment gain for the first nine months of 2009 included $205 million in
net gains from sales of equity securities as the company actively managed sector and issue
diversification. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions except share data) |
|
At September 30, |
|
At December 31, |
|
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
Balance sheet data |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Invested assets |
|
$ |
10,428 |
|
|
$ |
8,890 |
|
Total assets |
|
|
14,226 |
|
|
|
13,369 |
|
Short-term debt |
|
|
49 |
|
|
|
49 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
790 |
|
|
|
791 |
|
Shareholders equity |
|
|
4,626 |
|
|
|
4,182 |
|
Book value per share |
|
|
28.44 |
|
|
|
25.75 |
|
Debt-to-capital ratio |
|
|
15.3% |
|
|
|
16.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine months ended September 30, |
|
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
Performance measures |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Value creation ratio |
|
|
15.0% |
|
|
|
(15.9)% |
|
|
|
|
$10.876 billion in cash and invested assets at September 30, 2009, up from $9.899 billion
at December 31, 2008. Cash and equivalents of $448 million at September 30, 2009, compared
with $1.009 billion at December 31, 2008. |
|
|
|
$7.668 billion bond portfolio at September 30, 2009, with an average rating of A2/A and
with a 7.6 percent rise in fair value during the third quarter of 2009. |
|
|
|
$2.669 billion equity portfolio was 25.6 percent of invested assets, including $697 million
in pre-tax unrealized gains at September 30, 2009. Fair value of the equity portfolio rose 7.1
percent during the third quarter of 2009. |
|
|
|
$3.472 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at September
30, 2009, up from $3.360 billion at December 31, 2008. Ratio of net written premiums to
property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended September 30, 2009, of 0.85-to-1,
further improved from 0.89-to-1 for the 12 months ended December 31, 2008. |
|
|
|
Value creation ratio for the first nine months of 2009 includes 4.6 percent from
shareholder dividends and 10.4 percent growth in book value per share. |
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Condensed Balance Sheets and Statements of Income (unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
|
September 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investments |
|
$ |
10,428 |
|
|
$ |
8,890 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
448 |
|
|
|
1,009 |
|
Premiums receivable |
|
|
1,046 |
|
|
|
1,059 |
|
Reinsurance receivable |
|
|
707 |
|
|
|
759 |
|
Other assets |
|
|
1,597 |
|
|
|
1,652 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
14,226 |
|
|
$ |
13,369 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance reserves |
|
$ |
5,893 |
|
|
$ |
5,637 |
|
Unearned premiums |
|
|
1,557 |
|
|
|
1,544 |
|
6.125% senior notes due 2034 |
|
|
371 |
|
|
|
371 |
|
6.9% senior debentures due 2028 |
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
6.92% senior debentures due 2028 |
|
|
391 |
|
|
|
392 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
|
1,360 |
|
|
|
1,215 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
9,600 |
|
|
|
9,187 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shareholders Equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common stock and paid-in capital |
|
|
1,471 |
|
|
|
1,462 |
|
Retained earnings |
|
|
3,681 |
|
|
|
3,579 |
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income |
|
|
675 |
|
|
|
347 |
|
Treasury stock |
|
|
(1,201) |
|
|
|
(1,206) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total shareholders equity |
|
|
4,626 |
|
|
|
4,182 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
14,226 |
|
|
$ |
13,369 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions except per share data) |
|
Three months ended September 30, |
|
|
Nine months ended September 30, |
|
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2009 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
Revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earned premiums |
|
$ |
766 |
|
|
$ |
781 |
|
|
$ |
2,301 |
|
|
$ |
2,355 |
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
127 |
|
|
|
130 |
|
|
|
370 |
|
|
|
412 |
|
Realized investment gains and losses |
|
|
110 |
|
|
|
272 |
|
|
|
90 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
Other income |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
1,007 |
|
|
|
1,186 |
|
|
|
2,770 |
|
|
|
2,806 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits and Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance losses and policyholder benefits |
|
|
498 |
|
|
|
563 |
|
|
|
1,737 |
|
|
|
1,693 |
|
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses |
|
|
247 |
|
|
|
248 |
|
|
|
750 |
|
|
|
738 |
|
Other operating expenses |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
16 |
|
Interest expense |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
42 |
|
|
|
39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total benefits and expenses |
|
|
763 |
|
|
|
830 |
|
|
|
2,543 |
|
|
|
2,486 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before Income Taxes |
|
|
244 |
|
|
|
356 |
|
|
|
227 |
|
|
|
320 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Provision for Income Taxes |
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
109 |
|
|
|
40 |
|
|
|
52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Income |
|
$ |
171 |
|
|
$ |
247 |
|
|
$ |
187 |
|
|
$ |
268 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Per Common Share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net incomebasic |
|
$ |
1.05 |
|
|
$ |
1.51 |
|
|
$ |
1.15 |
|
|
$ |
1.64 |
|
Net incomediluted |
|
$ |
1.05 |
|
|
$ |
1.50 |
|
|
$ |
1.15 |
|
|
$ |
1.64 |
|
|
This report contains forward-looking statements that involve potential risks and uncertainties. For factors that
could cause results to differ materially from those discussed, please see the most recent edition of our safe
harbor statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. To view or print the edition in
effect as of this report's initial publication date, please view this document as a printable PDF.
|