2009 Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year Letter to Shareholders
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Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2009 Results

Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full Year 2009 Results

Cincinnati, February 4, 2010 — Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

  Fourth-quarter 2009 net income of $245 million, or $1.50 per share, compared with $161 million, or 99 cents per share, in the fourth quarter of 2008; operating income* of $86 million, or 53 cents per share, compared with $92 million, or 57 cents per share.
 
  Full-year 2009 net income of $432 million, or $2.65 per share, compared with $429 million, or $2.62, in 2008. Operating income of $215 million, or $1.32 per share, compared with $344 million, or $2.10, in 2008.
 
  $3 million increase in full-year 2009 net income reflected the after-tax net effect of three major contributing items: a $132 million increase from net realized investment gains, partially offset by a $48 million decrease from investment income and a $74 million decrease from property casualty underwriting results.
 
  $29.25 book value per share at December 31, 2009, up 13.6 percent for the year and 2.8 percent from September 30, 2009.
 
  Value creation ratio reached 19.7 percent for the year 2009, compared with negative 23.5 percent for the year 2008.

Financial Highlights
                                                 
 
(Dollars in millions except share data)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     Change %     2009     2008     Change %  
 
Revenue Highlights
                                               
Earned premiums
  $ 752     $ 780       (3.6)     $ 3,054     $ 3,136       (2.6)  
Investment income, pre-tax
    131       125       4.7       501       537       (6.8)  
Total revenues
    1133       1,018       11.3       3,903       3,824       2.1  
Income Statement Data
                                               
Net income
  $ 245     $ 161       52.1     $ 432     $ 429       0.7  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    159       69       130.5       217       85       155.8  
 
                                   
Operating income*
  $ 86     $ 92       (6.6)     $ 215     $ 344       (37.6)  
 
                                   
Per Share Data (diluted)
                                               
Net income
  $ 1.50     $ 0.99       51.5     $ 2.65     $ 2.62       1.1  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.97       0.42       131.0       1.33       0.52       155.8  
 
                                   
Operating income*
  $ 0.53     $ 0.57       (7.0)     $ 1.32     $ 2.10       (37.1)  
 
                                   
 
                                               
Book value
                          $ 29.25     $ 25.75       13.6  
Cash dividend declared
    0.395       0.39       1.3       1.57       1.56       0.6  
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
    163,092,882       162,485,576       (0.4)       162,866,863       163,362,409       (0.3)  
 

Insurance Operations Highlights
  98.6 percent fourth-quarter 2009 property casualty combined ratio as net written premiums declined 5.1 percent. Full-year 2009 property casualty combined ratio at 104.5 percent, with 3.3 percent decline in net written premiums.
 
  $94 million fourth-quarter and $405 million full-year 2009 property casualty new business written by agencies, down $6 million and up $37 million, respectively. The full-year increase included $25 million from standard market geographic expansion initiatives and $18 million from excess and surplus lines.
 
  6 cents per share contribution from life insurance operating income to fourth-quarter results, down 4 cents from 2008. Full-year contribution to operating income from life insurance was 22 cents per share, down 2 cents.

Balance Sheet and Investment Highlights
  $29.25 book value, up 13.6 percent from $25.75 at December 31, 2008. Shareholders' equity grew to $4.760 billion.
 
  Property casualty statutory surplus rose 8.6 percent to $3.648 billion.
 
  13.1 percent year-over-year increase in cash plus invested assets at December 31, 2009.
 
  Investment income, after income tax effects, was nearly flat for the fourth quarter. Full-year 2009 declined 11.3 percent primarily due to prior period dividend decreases.
 
  Strong capital position includes financial flexibility from parent company cash and marketable securities of $997 million.

*  
Our Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures appears on our Web site, www.cinfin.com/investors, and defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or Statutory Accounting Principles.
 
**  
Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s
safe harbor statement.
 
nm
 
Not meaningful

Steady Progress
Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, commented, “The final quarter of 2009 marked Cincinnati Financial’s third consecutive quarter of increasing financial strength, with growth of total assets, invested assets and book value, as well as statutory surplus for both our property casualty insurance group and for our life insurance company. At year-end 2009, all of these measures reached substantially higher levels than those reported at year-end 2008, reflecting the success of our strategy to manage capital effectively and of our initiative to diversify our investment portfolio and rebalance it on an ongoing basis.
“We also are on track to resume favorable investment income comparisons, which were affected by shifts in asset allocations as we restructured the portfolio in 2008 and early 2009. Fourth-quarter pre-tax investment income grew 4.7 percent, a pace that tops any quarter since the fourth quarter of 2007. On the after-tax basis that we believe is appropriate for measuring investment income from the restructured portfolio, our fourth-quarter result was our best this year. We continue to refine our bond portfolio’s laddered maturities and continue to invest in equities, helping shield the portfolio from inflationary pressures.
“Sales of securities in the investment portfolio also provided the bulk of the net realized gains that added to fourth-quarter net income, taking full-year net income just above last year’s result. We harvested gains of $162 million as a result of the Wyeth/Pfizer merger and $26 million as a result of the Verisk initial public offering of stock, leaving a healthy $1.026 billion of unrealized gains in the portfolio at December 31.
Fourth-Quarter Underwriting Profits
“Property casualty insurance underwriting generated $10 million of pretax profits for the fourth quarter. Milder weather and improved personal lines pricing benefitted results, contributing to a $16 million fourth-quarter personal lines underwriting profit that was partially offset by $4 million of commercial lines underwriting loss. The property casualty combined ratio was 96.8 percent in the second half of 2009, improving the full-year ratio to 104.5 percent.
“Our commercial lines operation, which generate approximately 72 percent of our premium revenues, have been affected by lower insured exposures and soft pricing. The average change in renewal pricing for the fourth quarter narrowed to a very low single digit decline. We chose to compete for fewer new large commercial accounts due to stronger price competition that we believe leaves insufficient margin for underwriting profit. Our agents continue to help us evaluate the quality of each account, and we continue to increase our use of predictive analytics as a tool to assure adequate pricing.
“Close attention to underwriting and price adequacy, in addition to the weak economy, led to a 5.1 percent decline in net property casualty written premiums for the quarter and 3.3 percent for the year. New business rose 9.9 percent to $405 million, driven by growth from personal lines and excess and surplus lines. Our agents and staff have the discipline and skill to identify quality accounts, controlling near-term growth with the expectation that commercial pricing may not improve this year – but we aren’t standing still. We continue in 2010 to focus sharply on initiatives that position us for the future as marketplace conditions improve.
Agent-Centered Initiatives
“Because our relationships with local insurance agencies are our primary strategic advantage, we’re committed to increasing the efficiency and success of those independent businesses. This week, we delivered the next version of our personal lines policy administration system with easy navigation and convenient features. In 2010, we plan to deliver our new system for commercial package and auto policies to 19 more states. Agents in the 11 states that received this system in the fourth quarter of 2009 give it good reviews, appreciating its expanded billing and policy delivery options and real-time capabilities. These systems make it easier for agents to quote, issue and deliver Cincinnati policies. We’ll also continue work in 2010 on tools that make it easy for agents to compare our personal lines rates, and we’ll add to our current online policyholder services for their personal lines clients, providing the ability to view policies and print ID cards as well as pay company-billed premiums.
“Superior claims service is the Cincinnati advantage that our agents value most, and we worked in 2009 to strengthen that advantage. We added more workers’ compensation claims specialists in the field, and, effective January 2010, our headquarters staff began operating a workers’ compensation claim reporting center, designed to improve our response time and help policyholders act quickly to limit losses. In 2010, we also will add more loss control specialists to help manage risks that can lead to workers’ compensation and other types of losses.
“Other 2010 initiatives will expand operations into new territories and agencies, setting the stage for future premium growth while diversifying geographically to help manage catastrophe risk. Having entered Colorado and Wyoming in 2009 and Texas late in 2008, we’ll continue to develop our agency relationships in those states and research regulatory and competitive conditions in other states to evaluate our opportunities. We generally open a state for commercial lines first, starting a personal lines relationship as we gain more experience in the state. In New York, where our agents have marketed our commercial products since 1998, we are working to add personal lines product offerings in 2010, with timing being largely dependent on regulatory approval. Over all states of operation, we’re targeting 65 new agency appointments in 2010, the same goal exceeded in 2009 with 87 appointments. We continue to select only agencies that are professionally managed, financially sound community leaders and to consider the marketing reach of each agency, an approach that in many areas allows for exclusivity in our agency representation.
“Finally, in 2010 we’ll continue our initiative to expand our excess and surplus lines business launched at the beginning of 2008. In its second full year of operation, Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters wrote $40 million of business and gave us new opportunities to write the standard market coverages for the same accounts. To meet agent needs, we expanded the lines of business in 2009 to include professional errors and omissions and excess liability. We plan in 2010 to make more excess and surplus products available and to increase our support for targeted standard market products, making them more attractive and easier for our agents to sell.
“Our long-term initiatives already are helping us manage risk and increase stability. We were able to negotiate a stronger 2010 reinsurance program at the same pricing as last year’s program as a result of our efforts in 2009 to diversify geographically, to manage catastrophe risk and to assure superior catastrophe claims handling by our own trained claims representatives. Our strong reinsurance program, strong reserves and prudent investment portfolio structure have historically protected our cash flow, allowing us to pay claims without ever having to sell an investment before we’re ready to do so. This approach continues to create shareholder value, as indicated in 2009, our 49th consecutive year of cash dividend increase.”
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
                                                 
 
(Dollars in millions)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     Change %     2009     2008     Change %  
 
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 635     $ 669       (5.0)     $ 2,665     $ 2,828       (5.8)  
Agency new business written premiums
    94       100       (6.3)       405       368       9.9  
Other written premiums
    (49)       (52)       6.3       (159)       (186)       15.1  
 
                                   
Net written premiums
    680       717       (5.1)       2,911       3,010       (3.3)  
Unearned premium change
    33       30       8.3                   nm  
 
                                   
Earned premiums
    713       747       (4.6)       2,911       3,010       (3.3)  
 
                                               
Loss and loss expenses
    464       474       (2.3)       2,086       2,056       1.4  
Underwriting expenses
    239       264       (9.5)       956       971       (1.5)  
 
                                   
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 10     $ 9       18.9     $ (131)     $ (17)       nm  
 
                                   
 
                                               
 
                  Pt. Change                   Pt. Change
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                                           
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    77.0%       81.7%       (4.7)       72.2%       72.2%       0.0  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    (1.6)       (2.0)       0.4       5.9       6.8       (0.9)  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (10.3)       (16.0)       5.7       (6.2)       (10.7)       4.5  
Prior accident year catastrophe losses
    (0.1)       (0.1)       0.0       (0.2)       0.0       (0.2)  
 
                                   
Total loss and loss expenses
    65.0       63.6       1.4       71.7       68.3       3.4  
Underwriting expenses
    33.6       35.3       (1.7)       32.8       32.3       0.5  
 
                                   
Combined ratio
    98.6%       98.9%       (0.3)       104.5%       100.6%       3.9  
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    (12.0)       (18.1)       6.1       (0.5)       (3.9)       3.4  
 
                                   
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    110.6%       117.0%       (6.4)       105.0%       104.5%       0.5  
 
                                   
 
  5.1 percent and 3.3 percent declines in fourth-quarter and full-year 2009 property casualty net written premiums, reflecting the effects of insured exposure decreases, soft pricing and disciplined renewal underwriting.
 
  $37 million rise to $405 million in 2009 new business written by agencies reflected the contribution from new agency appointment and other growth initiatives in recent years. $26 million of the increase was from standard market property casualty new business produced by agencies appointed since 2005 and $18 million of the increase was from the excess and surplus lines operation that began in 2008. A growth initiative commencing in 2008 to market personal lines or significantly expand our personal lines product offerings and automation capabilities in seven states contributed $13 million in 2009 new business.
 
  1,180 agency relationships with 1,463 reporting locations marketing standard market property casualty insurance products at December 31, 2009, up 47 or 4.1 percent and 76 or 5.5 percent, respectively, from year-end 2008.
 
  GAAP combined ratio for the second half of 2009 was a profitable 96.8 percent. Combined ratio of 112.1 percent for the first half of 2009 reflected 10.4 percentage points from the combined effect of catastrophe losses and prior accident year reserve development.
 
  Full-year 2009 GAAP combined ratio increased compared with 2008 primarily due to a lesser amount of favorable loss reserve development on prior year reserves. Fourth-quarter favorable development was $74 million, down $46 million.

The following table shows incurred catastrophe losses each quarter, as of December 31.
                                                         
 
(In millions, net of reinsurance)   Three months ended December 31,   Twelve months ended December 31,
   
Commercial  
Personal
     
Commercial
Personal
   
Dates           lines     lines     Total     lines     lines     Total  
 
2009
                                                       
First quarter catastrophes
      $ (1)     $ 0     $ (1)     $ 20     $ 49     $ 69  
Second quarter catastrophes
        (10)       (2)       (12)       37       50       87  
Third quarter catastrophes
        3       (1)       2       9       7       16  
Fourth quarter catastrophes
        0       0       0       0       0       0  
Development on 2008 and prior catastrophes
        (2)       1       (1)       (12)       5       (7)  
 
                                       
Calendar year incurred total, net of reinsurance
      $ (10)     $ (2)     $ (12)     $ 54     $ 111     $ 165  
 
                                       
 
                                                       
2008
                                                       
First quarter catastrophes
      $ (2)     $ 1     $ (1)     $ 20     $ 22     $ 42  
Second quarter catastrophes
        (7)       (4)       (11)       61       30       91  
Third quarter catastrophes
        1       (4)       (3)       25       47       72  
Fourth quarter catastrophes
        0       0       0       0       0       0  
Development on 2007 and prior catastrophes
        (1)       0       (1)       (3)       1       (2)  
 
                                       
Calendar year incurred total, net of reinsurance
      $ (9)     $ (7)     $ (16)     $ 103     $ 100     $ 203  
 
                                       
 
Insurance Operations Highlights

Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
                                                 
 
(Dollars in millions)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     Change %     2009     2008     Change %  
 
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 478     $ 514       (6.9)     $ 2,013     $ 2,156       (6.6)  
Agency new business written premiums
    67       83       (19.5)       298       312       (4.6)  
Other written premiums
    (42)       (45)       6.2       (130)       (157)       16.8  
 
                                   
Net written premiums
    503       552       (8.8)       2,181       2,311       (5.6)  
Unearned premium change
    29       21       32.6       18       5       265.4  
 
                                   
Earned premiums
    532       573       (7.3)       2,199       2,316       (5.1)  
 
                                               
Loss and loss expenses
    356       358       (0.7)       1,515       1,504       0.7  
Underwriting expenses
    180       204       (11.6)       719       742       (3.1)  
 
                                   
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ (4)     $ 11       nm     $ (35)     $ 70       nm  
 
                                   
 
                                               
 
                  Pt. Change                   Pt. Change
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                                           
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    79.5%       80.8%       (1.3)       72.5%       72.1%       0.4  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    (1.5)       (1.3)       0.2       3.0       4.6       (1.6)  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (10.8)       (16.8)       6.0       (6.1)       (11.7)       5.6  
Prior accident year catastrophe losses
    (0.3)       (0.2)       (0.1)       (0.5)       (0.1)       (0.4)  
 
                                   
Total loss and loss expenses
    66.9       62.5       4.4       68.9       64.9       4.0  
Underwriting expenses
    33.9       35.6       (1.7)       32.7       32.1       0.6  
 
                                   
Combined ratio
    100.8%       98.1%       2.7       101.6%       97.0%       4.6  
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    (12.6)       (18.3)       5.7       (3.6)       (7.2)       3.6  
 
                                   
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    113.4%       116.4%       (3.0)       105.2%       104.2%       1.0  
 
                                   
 
  8.8 percent and 5.6 percent declines in fourth-quarter and full-year 2009 commercial lines net written premiums. Lower renewal premiums reflected modest pricing declines and economically-driven lower insured exposure levels such as business sales or payroll volume. New business premiums reflected decisions to decline business considered underpriced.
 
  Fourth-quarter and full-year 2009 GAAP combined ratio increased compared with 2008 primarily due to a lesser amount of favorable loss reserve development for prior year accident years.
 
  The effects of modestly lower prices due to soft market conditions combined with normal loss cost inflation continued, putting upward pressure on the combined ratio. Loss reserving practices remain consistent with the past.

Personal Lines Insurance Operations
                                                 
 
(Dollars in millions)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     Change %     2009     2008     Change %  
 
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 153     $ 156       (1.8)     $ 642     $ 672       (4.5)  
Agency new business written premiums
    20       11       76.7       75       42       80.6  
Other written premiums
    (6)       (8)       22.9       (26)       (29)       11.1  
 
                                   
Net written premiums
    167       159       4.7       691       685       0.9  
Unearned premium change
    5       12       (56.6)       (6)       4       nm  
 
                                   
Earned premiums
    172       171       0.5       685       689       (0.6)  
 
                                               
Loss and loss expenses
    102       113       (9.6)       551       547       0.7  
Underwriting expenses
    54       58       (6.5)       215       224       (4.1)  
 
                                   
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 16     $ 0       nm     $ (81)     $ (82)       1.9  
 
                                   
 
                                               
 
                  Pt. Change                   Pt. Change
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                                           
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    69.6%       83.3%       (13.7)       70.9%       72.2%       (1.3)  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    (1.7)       (4.2)       2.5       15.4       14.4       1.0  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (9.0)       (13.3)       4.3       (6.6)       (7.3)       0.7  
Prior accident year catastrophe losses
    0.3       0.1       0.2       0.7       0.1       0.6  
 
                                   
Total loss and loss expenses
    59.2       65.9       (6.7)       80.4       79.4       1.0  
Underwriting expenses
    31.7       34.1       (2.4)       31.4       32.5       (1.1)  
 
                                   
Combined ratio
    90.9%       100.0%       (9.1)       111.8%       111.9%       (0.1)  
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    (10.4)       (17.4)       7.0       9.5       7.2       2.3  
 
                                   
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    101.3%       117.4%       (16.1)       102.3%       104.7%       (2.4)  
 
                                   
 
  4.7 percent increase in fourth-quarter 2009 personal lines net written premiums, primarily due to improved pricing and strong new business growth. 37.7 percent of full-year 2009 new business increase came from seven states where we began in 2008 to market personal lines or significantly expanded our personal lines product offerings and automation capabilities.
 
  Fourth-quarter 2009 results reflect favorable development on prior accident year reserves and negligible catastrophe losses.

Life Insurance Operations
                                                 
 
(In millions)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     Change %     2009     2008     Change %  
 
Earned premiums
  $ 39     $ 33       18.8     $ 143     $ 126       13.0  
Investment income, net of expenses
    32       31       2.9       122       120       2.2  
Other income
          1       (155.0)             2       (88.1)  
 
                                       
Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses
    71       65       9.5       265       248       7.0  
 
                                       
Contract holders benefits
    42       27       57.1       160       142       13.3  
Underwriting expenses
    15       12       20.8       50       45       9.1  
 
                                       
Total benefits and expenses
    57       39       45.5       210       187       12.3  
 
                                       
Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses
    14       26       (46.0)       55       61       (9.2)  
Income tax
    5       9       (46.0)       19       21       (6.1)  
 
                                       
Net income before realized investment gains and losses
  $ 9     $ 17       (45.9)     $ 36     $ 40       (10.8)  
 
                                       
 
  13.3 percent increase to $139 million in full-year 2009 earned premiums for life insurance products. Increase included 13.5 percent rise to $85 million in full-year 2009 term life insurance earned premiums, reflecting marketing advantages of competitive, up-to-date products, personal service and policies backed by financial strength. Earned premiums include life insurance, annuity and accident and health premiums.
 
  6.0 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $69.815 billion at year-end 2009, from $65.888 billion at year-end 2008.
 
  Fixed annuity application-received count for 2009 was up nearly five-fold from 2008, primarily due to a competitive interest crediting rate compared to bank certificate of deposit rates. Total fixed annuity deposits received totaled $181 million compared with $34 million in 2008. We do not offer variable or indexed products.
 
  GAAP shareholders’ equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company increased during 2009 by $195 million, or 41.4 percent, to $666 million. Net after-tax unrealized gains were up $130 million, including $122 million for the fixed-maturity portfolio.
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Investment Operations
                                                 
 
(In millions)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,        
    2009     2008     Change %     2009     2008     Change %  
 
Investment income:
                                               
Interest
  $ 105     $ 88       19.4     $ 402     $ 326       23.1  
Dividends
    27       35       (25.3)       100       204       (50.8)  
Other
    1       4       (71.1)       7       14       (53.3)  
Investment expenses
    (2)       (2)       9.5       (8)       (7)       (5.2)  
 
                                       
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
    131       125       4.7       501       537       (6.8)  
Income taxes
    (32)       (25)       (25.8)       (118)       (106)       (11.5)  
 
                                       
Total investment income, net of expenses, after-tax
  $ 99     $ 100       (0.6)     $ 383     $ 431       (11.3)  
 
                                       
                                                 
Effective tax rate
    24.1%       20.0%               23.6%       19.7%          
                                                 
Average yield pre-tax
    4.7%       4.9%               4.7%       4.8%          
Average yield after-tax
    3.6%       3.9%               3.6%       3.9%          
                                                 
 
(In millions)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,        
    2009     2008     Change %     2009     2008     Change %  
 
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
  $ 131     $ 125       4.7     $ 501     $ 537       (6.8)  
 
                                       
Investment interest credited to contract holders
    (18)       (16)       (17.2)       (69)       (63)       (10.0)  
 
                                       
Realized investment gains and losses summary:
                                               
Realized investment gains and losses, net
    261       245       6.7       440       686       (35.8)  
Change in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives
    4       (25)       nm       27       (38)       nm  
Other-than-temporary impairment charges
    (18)       (110)       83.6       (131)       (510)       74.3  
 
                                       
Total realized investment gains and losses, net
    247       110       125.4       336       138       144.5  
 
                                       
Investment operations income
  $ 360     $ 219       64.1     $ 768     $ 612       25.5  
 
                                       
 
  0.6 percent decline in fourth-quarter 2009 after-tax net investment income, as higher interest income nearly offset late 2008 and early 2009 dividend reductions by equity security holdings. Fourth-quarter 2008 before-tax investment income included $3 million of amortization for previously impaired bonds, with none in fourth-quarter 2009 due to current accounting standards for impaired securities.
 
  $438 million full-year 2009 increase in pre-tax unrealized investment portfolio gains, including $571 million for the bond portfolio.
 
  $462 million in net gains from sales of equity securities were included in pre-tax realized investment gain for full-year 2009 as the company actively managed sector and issue diversification.
                 
 
(Dollars in millions except share data)   At December 31,   At December 31,
    2009   2008
 
Balance sheet data
               
Invested assets
  $ 10,643     $ 8,890  
Total assets
    14,440       13,369  
Short-term debt
    49       49  
Long-term debt
    790       791  
Shareholders’ equity
    4,760       4,182  
Book value per share
    29.25       25.75  
                 
Debt-to-capital ratio
    15.0%       16.7%  
                 
 
    Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,        
    2009     2008           2009     2008        
 
Performance measures
               
Value creation ratio
    4.2%       (9.5)%           19.7%     (23.5)%        
 
  $11.200 billion in cash and invested assets at December 31, 2009, up from $9.899 billion at December 31, 2008.
 
  $7.855 billion bond portfolio at December 31, 2009, with an average rating of A2/A and with a 2.4 percent rise in fair value during the fourth quarter of 2009.
 
  $2.701 billion equity portfolio was 25.4 percent of invested assets, including $685 million in pre-tax unrealized gains at December 31, 2009.
 
  $3.648 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at December 31, 2009, up from $3.360 billion at December 31, 2008. Ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended December 31, 2009, of 0.80-to-1, improved from 0.89-to-1 for the 12 months ended December 31, 2008.
 
  Value creation ratio of 19.7 percent for the year 2009 includes 6.1 percent from shareholder dividends and 13.6 percent growth in book value per share.
Additional information is available on our Web site, www.cinfin.com/investors, including an audio replay of the February 4th conference call webcast.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
                 
 
(In millions except per share data)   December 31,     December 31,  
    2009     2008  
 
ASSETS
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2009—$7,514; 2008—$6,058)
  $ 7,855     $ 5,827  
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2009—$2,016; 2008—$2,077)
    2,701       2,896  
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2009—$6;
2008—$84)
    6       84  
Other invested assets
    81       83  
 
           
Total investments
    10,643       8,890  
 
               
Cash and cash equivalents
    557       1,009  
Investment income receivable
    118       98  
Finance receivable
    75       71  
Premiums receivable
    995       1,059  
Reinsurance receivable
    675       759  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    15       15  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    481       509  
Deferred income tax
          126  
Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation: 2009—$335; 2008—$297)
    251       236  
Other assets
    45       49  
Separate accounts
    585       548  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 14,440     $ 13,369  
 
           
 
               
LIABILITIES
               
Insurance reserves
               
Loss and loss expense reserves
  $ 4,142     $ 4,086  
Life policy reserves
    1,783       1,551  
Unearned premiums
    1,509       1,544  
Other liabilities
    670       618  
Deferred income tax
    152        
Note payable
    49       49  
6.125% senior notes due 2034
    371       371  
6.9% senior debentures due 2028
    28       28  
6.92% senior debentures due 2028
    391       392  
Separate accounts
    585       548  
 
           
Total liabilities
    9,680       9,187  
 
           
 
               
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
               
Common stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2009—500 million shares, 2008—500 million shares; issued: 2009—196 million shares, 2008—196 million shares)
    393       393  
Paid-in capital
    1,081       1,069  
Retained earnings
    3,862       3,579  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    624       347  
Treasury stock at cost (2009—34 million shares, 2008—34 million shares)
    (1,200)       (1,206)  
 
           
Total shareholders’ equity
    4,760       4,182  
 
           
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 14,440     $ 13,369  
 
           
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)
                                 
 
(In millions except per share data)   Three months ended December 31,     Twelve months ended December 31,  
    2009     2008     2009     2008  
 
REVENUES
                               
Earned premiums
                               
Property casualty
  $ 713     $ 747     $ 2,911     $ 3,010  
Life
    39       33       143       126  
Investment income, net of expenses
    131       125       501       537  
Realized investment gains and losses
    247       110       336       138  
Other income
    3       3       12       13  
 
                       
Total revenues
    1,133       1,018       3,903       3,824  
 
                       
 
                               
BENEFITS AND EXPENSES
                               
Insurance losses and policyholder benefits
    505       500       2,242       2,193  
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    254       277       1,004       1,016  
Other operating expenses
    6       6       20       22  
Interest expense
    13       14       55       53  
 
                       
Total benefits and expenses
    778       797       3,321       3,284  
 
                       
 
                               
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES
    355       221       582       540  
 
                       
 
                               
PROVISION (BENEFIT) FOR INCOME TAXES
                               
Current
    73       93       79       238  
Deferred
    37       (33)       71       (127)  
 
                       
Total provision for income taxes
    110       60       150       111  
 
                       
 
                               
NET INCOME
  $ 245     $ 161     $ 432     $ 429  
 
                       
 
                               
PER COMMON SHARE
                               
Net income—basic
  $ 1.50     $ 0.99     $ 2.66     $ 2.63  
Net income—diluted
  $ 1.50     $ 0.99     $ 2.65     $ 2.62  
 

 




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