2010 Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year Letter to Shareholders
.75MB
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Fourth-quarter 2010 net income of $126 million, or 77 cents per share, compared with $245 million, or $1.50 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2009; operating income* of $113 million, or 70 cents per share, up 32 percent compared with $86 million, or 53 cents per share.
Full-year 2010 net income of $377 million, or $2.31 per share, compared with $432 million, or $2.65, in 2009. Operating income of $274 million, or $1.68 per share, up 27 percent compared with $215 million, or $1.32.
$55 million decrease in full-year 2010 net income reflected the after-tax net effect of three major items: a $114 million decrease from net realized investment gains, partially offset by a $53 million improvement in property casualty underwriting results and $9 million growth in investment income. Net income and operating income for the fourth quarter of 2010 benefited from property casualty insurance results that were up by $26 million after taxes.
$30.91 book value per share at December 31, 2010, up 6 percent for the year and less than 1 percent for the quarter.
11.1 percent value creation ratio for the year 2010.
Financial Highlights
(Dollars in millions except share data)
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
2010
2009
Change %
2010
2009
Change %
Revenue Highlights
Earned premiums
$
783
$
752
4
$
3,082
$
3,054
1
Investment income, pre-tax
130
131
(1)
518
501
3
Total revenues
936
1,133
(17)
3,772
3,903
(3)
Income Statement Data
Net income
$
126
$
245
(49)
$
377
$
432
(13)
Net realized investment gains and losses
13
159
(92)
103
217
(53)
Operating income*
$
113
$
86
32
$
274
$
215
27
Per Share Data (diluted)
Net income
$
0.77
$
1.50
(49)
$
2.31
$
2.65
(13)
Net realized investment gains and losses
0.07
0.97
(92)
0.63
1.33
(53)
Operating income*
$
0.70
$
0.53
32
$
1.68
$
1.32
27
Book value
$
30.91
$
29.25
6
Cash dividend declared
$
0.40
$
0.395
1
$
1.59
$
1.57
1
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
163,392,133
163,092,882
0
163,274,491
162,866,863
0
Insurance Operations Fourth-Quarter Highlights
93.1 percent fourth-quarter 2010 property casualty combined ratio and 6 percent increase in net written premiums, including personal lines segment growth of 10 percent. Full-year 2010 property casualty combined ratio at 101.7 percent, with 2 percent increase in net written premiums, including personal lines segment growth of 9 percent.
$107 million fourth-quarter and $414 million full-year 2010 property casualty new business written by agencies, up $13 million and $9 million, respectively. The full-year increase included $15 million from personal lines.
8 cents per share contribution from life insurance operating income to fourth-quarter results, up 2 cents from 2009. Full-year contribution to operating income from life insurance was 23 cents per share, up 1 cent.
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
1 percent decline in fourth-quarter 2010 after-tax investment income. 2 percent growth on a full-year basis, driven by pre-tax interest income growth of 5 percent.
6 percent full-year increase in fair value of invested assets plus cash at December 31, 2010, including fourth-quarter equity portfolio growth of 10 percent partially offset by a decline for the bond portfolio of 1 percent.
$1.042 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at December 31, 2010, up almost 5 percent from a year ago.
Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the
companys safe harbor statement.
nm
Not meaningful
Higher Operating Income and Book Value
Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, commented, “Results from our property casualty insurance business trended positively in the fourth quarter, significantly improving our full year 2010 performance. We achieved our best quarterly results of the year, with the highest written premium growth, lowest catastrophe losses and best combined ratio.
“Healthy underwriting gains for the fourth quarter surpassed the gain in 2009’s final quarter and partially offset underwriting losses in earlier 2010 quarters. Underwriting results continued to benefit in the fourth quarter and full year 2010 from our commitment to maintain consistent, careful reserving practices and from our initiatives to grow and to improve price precision.
“The full year combined ratio improved 2.8 percentage points from last year. While weather-related catastrophes accounted for 0.6 percentage points of the improvement, the remainder reflects adequate reserving and quality underwriting that we believe will continue to improve. Prudent expense management has always been part of our culture, and we managed to trim expenses in some areas while investing in other areas of strategic importance, such as information technology, loss control and expansion into new markets. The net effect was a property casualty underwriting expense ratio that was even with 2009, in line with flat earned premiums for the year.
“Investment income, our primary source of profits, held steady. Along with the underwriting gains, they contributed to operating income that reached the highest quarterly level since fourth quarter 2007. Net income, which includes net realized investment gains, declined compared with the 2009 fourth quarter and full year, largely because we chose to take large gains in the 2009 periods from opportunistic sales of equity securities in our investment portfolio.
“During the 2010 fourth quarter, unrealized investment gains due to capital appreciation of our equity portfolio rose 30 percent. We chose to hold most of these unrealized gains in the portfolio, raising our property casualty surplus 4 percent and taking book value per share to its highest level since 2008’s first quarter, as equity gains largely offset lower valuations in our bond portfolio. Book value rose $1.66 per share since December 2009, and we paid shareholders $1.59 in cash dividends, which have steadily increased for 50 consecutive years.
“While our higher mix of equities relative to other insurer portfolios can contribute to variability of several balance sheet-related measures, we have the financial strength to absorb short-term effects, allowing equity gains to contribute to higher shareholders’ equity and book value over time. Our larger allocation to equities has the added benefit of potentially increasing dividends, and therefore investment income.“
Executing on Our Plans
Stecher noted, “We are rising to the challenges of the current environment, as demonstrated by our fourth-quarter progress on both the insurance and the investment sides of our business. To help offset the unfavorable premium revenue effect of commercial insurance pricing declines in the low single digits, we continued our expansion initiatives in the fourth quarter by appointing our first Connecticut and Oregon agencies and adding new agency relationships there and in many of our 37 other states. We expanded our product offerings in targeted markets and excess and surplus lines, and improved our mix of business in personal lines by continuing to refine our rates. We completed the 30-state rollout of our new policy administration system for commercial packages, on time and on budget.
“In 2010 and going forward, we continue to develop business data to support underwriting, pricing and business decisions. Pricing precision helps maintain adequate pricing for individual risks even when overall market pricing is declining. While we generally market on an account basis, preferring to package most or all of a policyholder’s property casualty coverages, we seek to write each line of business to be independently profitable. We now use predictive analytics tools to model and manage our capital and enterprise risk, and to increase pricing precision and improve loss ratios in lines of business including workers’ compensation, homeowners and, most recently, personal auto. In 2011, we will integrate predictive tools for general liability and commercial property into our policy administration systems. With improved data capabilities and tools, we expect to enhance our planning support for agency-level profitability and enhance internal processes for added efficiency, cost savings and accountability.
“These ongoing efforts are strengthening our competitive position, adding to the advantages we provide to our independent agent representatives and their clients. Being agency-centered was the strategy of our founders when the first Cincinnati policy was issued in January 1951. Sixty years later, we see that same strategy bringing great opportunity for growth, profits and shareholder value as the economy and the commercial insurance marketplace begin to improve.”
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
(16.7)
(12.0)
(4.7)
(4.7)
(0.5)
(4.2)
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
109.8%
110.6%
(0.8)
106.4%
105.0%
1.4
6 percent and 2 percent increase in fourth-quarter and full-year 2010 property casualty net written premiums. Full-year growth of $52 million largely reflects targeted growth initiatives including $59 million from personal lines and $19 million from excess and surplus lines, partially offset by a decline in commercial lines net written premiums.
$9 million increase to $414 million in 2010 new business written by agencies reflected the contribution from new agency appointments and other growth initiatives in recent years. $29 million of the increase was from standard market property casualty new business produced by agencies appointed since the beginning of 2009.
1,245 agency relationships in 1,544 reporting locations marketing standard market property casualty insurance products at December 31, 2010, compared with 1,180 agency relationships in 1,463 reporting locations at year-end 2009. Ninety-three new agency appointments were made during 2010, exceeding the initial full-year target of 65. The company now markets in 39 states including Oregon, where its first agency was appointed in November.
5.5 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2010 improvement and 2.8 percentage-point full-year improvement in the combined ratio, driven primarily by a higher level of benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development.
Underwriting results benefited from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $131 million for the fourth quarter and $304 for the full year, compared with $74 million and $188 million for the same periods of 2009.
Expense management efforts helped keep the full-year underwriting expense ratio even despite flat earned premiums.
The following table shows incurred catastrophe losses for 2010 and 2009.
(In millions, net of reinsurance)
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
Commercial
Personal
E&S
Commercial
Personal
E&S
Dates
Cause of loss
Region
lines
lines
lines
Total
lines
lines
lines
Total
2010
First quarter catastrophes
$
$
$
$
$
13
$
5
$
$
18
Second quarter catastrophes
(5)
(3)
(8)
52
41
1
94
Third quarter catastrophes
(1)
(1)
(2)
24
12
36
Oct. 4-6
Flood, hail, wind
South
6
1
7
6
1
7
Oct. 26-28
Flood, hail, tornado, wind
Midwest
6
4
10
6
4
10
All other fourth quarter 2010 catastrophes
Development on 2009 and prior catastrophes
(2)
(2)
(12)
(5)
(17)
Calendar year incurred total
$
6
$
(1)
$
$
5
$
89
$
58
$
1
$
148
2009
First quarter catastrophes
$
(1)
$
$
$
(1)
$
20
$
49
$
69
Second quarter catastrophes
(10)
(2)
(12)
37
50
87
Third quarter catastrophes
3
(1)
2
9
7
16
Fourth quarter catastrophes
Development on 2008 and prior catastrophes
(2)
1
(1)
(12)
5
(7)
Calendar year incurred total
$
(10)
$
(2)
$
$
(12)
$
54
$
111
$
$
165
Insurance Operations Highlights
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
2010
2009
Change %
2010
2009
Change %
Agency renewal written premiums
$
474
$
478
(1)
$
1,978
$
2,013
(2)
Agency new business written premiums
76
67
13
289
298
(3)
Other written premiums
(26)
(42)
38
(112)
(130)
14
Net written premiums
524
503
4
2,155
2,181
(1)
Unearned premium change
22
29
(24)
(1)
18
nm
Earned premiums
546
532
3
2,154
2,199
(2)
Fees revenues
-
-
nm
2
2
0
Total premiums and fee revenues
546
532
3
2,156
2,201
(2)
Loss and loss expenses
319
356
(10)
1,437
1,515
(5)
Underwriting expenses
175
180
(3)
704
719
(2)
Underwriting profit (loss)
$
52
$
(4)
nm
$
15
$
(33)
nm
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
Pt. Change
Pt. Change
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
78.5%
79.5%
(1.0)
74.5%
72.5%
2.0
Current accident year catastrophe losses
1.0
(1.5)
2.5
4.7
3.0
1.7
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
(21.0)
(10.8)
(10.2)
(11.9)
(6.1)
(5.8)
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
0.0
(0.3)
0.3
(0.6)
(0.5)
(0.1)
Total loss and loss expenses
58.5
66.9
(8.4)
66.7
68.9
(2.2)
Underwriting expenses
32.1
33.9
(1.8)
32.7
32.7
0.0
Combined ratio
90.6%
100.8%
(10.2)
99.4%
101.6%
(2.2)
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
(20.0)
(12.6)
(7.4)
(7.8)
(3.6)
(4.2)
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
110.6%
113.4%
(2.8)
107.2%
105.2%
2.0
1 percent decline in full-year 2010 commercial lines net written premiums reflected low-single-digit pricing declines for renewals and a 3 percent decline in new business. Fourth-quarter net written premium growth benefited from a larger adjustment for estimated premiums of policies in effect but not yet processed.
$9 million increase to $76 million in fourth-quarter 2010 new business premiums, returning to approximately the fourth-quarter average of $78 million for 2005 through 2008.
$2 million full-year fee revenues, primarily from premium installment fees collected. Similar fees apply to personal lines. Fee revenues are included in underwriting profit or loss but are not included in the combined ratio.
10.2 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2010 combined ratio improvement primarily due to a greater amount of favorable loss reserve development for prior accident years. Loss reserving practices remain consistent with the past.
2.2 percentage-point full-year 2010 combined ratio improvement primarily due to a greater amount of favorable loss reserve development for prior accident years. The combined ratio was below 100 percent despite 4.1 percentage points in catastrophe losses that were 1.4 percentage points higher than the average for the previous 10 years.
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
2010
2009
Change %
2010
2009
Change %
Agency renewal written premiums
$
166
$
153
8
$
685
$
642
7
Agency new business written premiums
23
20
15
90
75
20
Other written premiums
(6)
(6)
0
(25)
(26)
4
Net written premiums
183
167
10
750
691
9
Unearned premium change
3
5
(40)
(29)
(6)
(383)
Earned premiums
186
172
8
721
685
5
Fee revenues
1
-
nm
2
1
100
Total premiums and fee revenues
187
172
9
723
686
5
Loss and loss expenses
130
102
27
537
551
(3)
Underwriting expenses
60
54
11
240
215
12
Underwriting (loss) profit
$
(3)
$
16
(119)
$
(54)
$
(80)
33
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
Pt. Change
Pt. Change
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
77.2%
69.6%
7.6
70.4%
70.9%
(0.5)
Current accident year catastrophe losses
0.5
(1.7)
2.2
8.8
15.4
(6.6)
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
(7.0)
(9.0)
2.0
(4.1)
(6.6)
2.5
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
(0.8)
0.3
(1.1)
(0.7)
0.7
(1.4)
Total loss and loss expenses
69.9
59.2
10.7
74.4
80.4
(6.0)
Underwriting expenses
32.0
31.7
0.3
33.3
31.4
1.9
Combined ratio
101.9%
90.9%
11.0
107.7%
111.8%
(4.1)
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
(7.3)
(10.4)
3.1
4.0
9.5
(5.5)
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
109.2%
101.3%
7.9
103.7%
102.3%
1.4
10 percent and 9 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2010 personal lines net written premiums, largely driven by higher renewal and new business written premiums that reflected improved pricing.
11.0 point rise in fourth-quarter combined ratio primarily due to a higher level of large losses and weather-related losses.
4.1 percentage-point full-year combined ratio improvement driven by lower losses, primarily from weather-related catastrophes, but also other losses that included the effect of improved pricing.
Life Insurance Operations
(In millions)
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
2010
2009
Change %
2010
2009
Change %
Term life insurance
$
24
$
22
9
$
96
$
86
12
Universal life insurance
6
8
(25)
35
28
25
Other life insurance, annuity, and disability income products
8
9
(11)
27
29
(7)
Earned premiums
38
39
(3)
158
143
10
Investment income, net of expenses
32
32
0
129
122
6
Other income
nm
1
nm
Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses
70
71
(1)
288
265
9
Contract holders benefits
41
42
(2)
170
160
6
Underwriting expenses
10
15
(33)
61
50
22
Total benefits and expenses
51
57
(11)
231
210
10
Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses
19
14
36
57
55
4
Income tax
7
5
40
20
19
5
Net income before realized investment gains and losses
$
12
$
9
33
$
37
$
36
3
$15 million or 10 percent growth in full-year 2010 earned premiums, including 12 percent for term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line. 6 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $74.124 billion at December 31, 2010, from $69.815 billion at year-end 2009.
$20 million or 11 percent growth to $201 million in full-year 2010 fixed annuity deposits received. Cincinnati Life does not offer variable or indexed products.
$82 million or 12 percent full-year 2010 growth to $748 million in GAAP shareholders’ equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company.
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
Investment Operations
(In millions)
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
2010
2009
Change %
2010
2009
Change %
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
$
130
$
131
(1)
$
518
$
501
3
Investment interest credited to contract holders
(19)
(18)
(5)
(79)
(69)
(13)
Realized investment gains and losses summary:
Realized investment gains and losses, net
15
261
(94)
185
440
(58)
Change in fair value of securities with embedded
derivatives
4
4
0
10
27
(63)
Other-than-temporary impairment charges
-
(18)
nm
(36)
(131)
264
Total realized investment gains and losses, net
19
247
(92)
159
336
(53)
Investment operations income
$
130
$
360
(64)
$
598
$
768
(22)
(In millions)
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
2010
2009
Change %
2010
2009
Change %
Investment income:
Interest
$
105
$
105
0
$
423
$
402
5
Dividends
26
27
(4)
99
100
(1)
Other
1
1
0
4
7
(43)
Investment expenses
(2)
(2)
0
(8)
(8)
0
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
130
131
(1)
518
501
3
Income taxes
(32)
(32)
0
(126)
(118)
(6)
Total investment income, net of expenses, after-tax
$
98
$
99
(1)
$
392
$
383
2
Effective tax rate
24.2%
24.1%
24.4%
23.6%
Average yield pre-tax
4.4%
4.7%
4.5%
4.7%
Average yield after-tax
3.3%
3.6%
3.4%
3.6%
1 percent fourth-quarter 2010 decline in pre-tax investment income lagged 3 percent growth for the full year. A year-over-year decline in bond yields drove the current quarter decline while relatively higher growth in average invested assets offset lower bond yields for the full-year period.
$224 million or 22 percent full-year 2010 increase in pre-tax unrealized investment portfolio gains, including $70 million for the equity portfolio. $185 million of realized gains were harvested from the investment portfolio during 2010, including $174 from the equity portfolio.
(Dollars in millions except share data)
At December 31,
At December 31,
2010
2009
Balance sheet data
Invested assets
$
11,508
$
10,643
Total assets
15,095
14,440
Short-term debt
49
49
Long-term debt
790
790
Shareholders equity
5,032
4,760
Book value per share
30.91
29.25
Debt-to-total-capital ratio
14.3%
15.0%
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
2010
2009
2010
2009
Performance measure
Value creation ratio
1.7%
4.2%
11.1%
19.7%
$11.893 billion in cash and invested assets at December 31, 2010, up 6 percent from $11.200 billion at December 31, 2009.
$8.383 billion bond portfolio at December 31, 2010, with an average rating of A2/A. 7 percent full-year 2010 growth in fair value.
$3.041 billion equity portfolio was 26.4 percent of invested assets, including $755 million in pre-tax net unrealized gains at December 31, 2010. 13 percent full-year 2010 growth in fair value.
$3.777 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at December 31, 2010, up 4 percent from $3.648 billion a year ago despite returning $210 million or 6 percent through dividends to the parent company. Ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended December 31, 2010, of 0.8-to-1, unchanged from the 12 months ended December 31, 2009.
Value creation ratio of 11.1 percent for the year 2010 is the sum of 5.4 percent from shareholder dividends plus 5.7 percent from growth in book value per share.
Fixed
maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2010$7,888;
2009$7,514)
$
8,383
$
7,855
Equity
securities, at fair value (cost: 2010$2,286; 2009$2,016)
3,041
2,701
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2010$0;
2009$6)
-
6
Other invested assets
84
81
Total investments
11,508
10,643
Cash and cash equivalents
385
557
Investment income receivable
119
118
Finance receivable
73
75
Premiums receivable
1,015
995
Reinsurance receivable
572
675
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
18
15
Deferred policy acquisition costs
488
481
Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation: 2010$352; 2009$335)
229
251
Other assets
67
45
Separate accounts
621
585
Total assets
$
15,095
$
14,440
LIABILITIES
Insurance reserves
Loss and loss expense reserves
$
4,200
$
4,142
Life policy reserves
2,034
1,783
Unearned premiums
1,553
1,509
Other liabilities
556
670
Deferred income tax
260
152
Note payable
49
49
Long-term debt
790
790
Separate accounts
621
585
Total liabilities
10,063
9,680
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
Common stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2010—500 million shares, 2009500 million shares; issued: 2010196 million shares, 2009196 million shares)
393
393
Paid-in capital
1,091
1,081
Retained earnings
3,980
3,862
Accumulated other comprehensive income
769
624
Treasury stock at cost (201034 million shares, 200934 million shares)
(1,201)
(1,200)
Total shareholders equity
5,032
4,760
Total liabilities and shareholders equity
$
15,095
$
14,440
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)
(In millions except per share data)
Three months ended December 31,
Twelve months ended December 31,
2010
2009
2010
2009
REVENUES
Earned premiums
$
783
$
752
$
3,082
$
3,054
Investment income, net of expenses
130
131
518
501
Realized investment gains and losses
19
247
159
336
Fee revenues
1
1
4
3
Other revenues
3
2
9
9
Total revenues
936
1,133
3,772
3,903
BENEFITS AND EXPENSES
Insurance losses and policyholder benefits
494
505
2,180
2,242
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
249
254
1,021
1,004
Other operating expenses
5
6
16
20
Interest expense
14
13
54
55
Total benefits and expenses
762
778
3,271
3,321
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES
174
355
501
582
PROVISION FOR INCOME TAXES
Current
10
73
94
79
Deferred
38
37
30
71
Total provision for income taxes
48
110
124
150
NET INCOME
$
126
$
245
$
377
$
432
PER COMMON SHARE
Net incomebasic
$
0.78
$
1.50
$
2.32
$
2.66
Net incomediluted
$
0.77
$
1.50
$
2.31
$
2.65
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
(See attached tables for 2010 reconciliations; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
Contribution to value creation ratio from change in book value*
0.4%
2.8%
5.7%
13.6%
Contribution to value creation ratio from dividends declared to shareholders**
1.3
1.4
5.4
6.1
Value creation ratio
1.7%
4.2%
11.1%
19.7%
* Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value
** Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Net Income Reconciliation
Three months ended
Twelve months ended
(In millions except per share data)
December 31,
December 31,
2010
2010
Net income
$
126
$
377
Net realized investment gains and losses
13
103
Operating income
113
274
Less catastrophe losses
(3)
(96)
Operating income before catastrophe losses
$
116
$
370
Diluted per share data:
Net income
$
0.77
$
2.31
Net realized investment gains and losses
0.07
0.63
Operating income
0.70
1.68
Less catastrophe losses
(0.02)
(0.59)
Operating income before catastrophe losses
$
0.72
$
2.27
Property Casualty Reconciliation
Three months ended December 31,2010
Consolidated*
Commercial
Personal
Statutory ratio:
Statutory combined ratio
94.2
%
91.9
%
102.5
%
Contribution from catastrophe losses
0.7
1.0
(0.3)
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
93.5
%
90.9
%
102.8
%
Comission expense ratio
19.9
%
19.0
%
21.7
%
Other expense ratio
13.4
14.4
10.9
Statutory expense ratio
33.3
%
33.4
%
32.6
%
GAAP ratio:
GAAP combined ratio
93.1
%
90.6
%
101.9
%
Contribution from catastrophe losses
0.7
1.0
(0.3)
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
(17.4)
(21.0)
(7.0)
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
109.8
%
110.6
%
109.2
%
Twelve months ended December 31,2010
Consolidated*
Commercial
Personal
Statutory ratio:
Statutory combined ratio
101.8
%
99.6
%
107.1
%
Contribution from catastrophe losses
5.1
4.1
8.1
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
96.7
%
95.5
%
99.0
%
Comission expense ratio
18.7
%
18.1
%
19.6
%
Other expense ratio
14.2
14.8
13.1
Statutory expense ratio
32.9
%
32.9
%
32.7
%
GAAP ratio:
GAAP combined ratio
101.7
%
99.4
%
107.7
%
Contribution from catastrophe losses
5.1
4.1
8.1
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
(9.8)
(11.9)
(4.1)
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
106.4
%
107.2
%
103.7
%
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Consolidated property casualty data include results from our excess and surplus line of business.
This report contains forward-looking statements that involve potential risks and uncertainties. For factors that
could cause results to differ materially from those discussed, please see the most recent edition of our safe
harbor statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. To view or print the edition in
effect as of this report's initial publication date, please view this document as a printable PDF.