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Expanding and enhancing our established mortgage bank franchise.
We plan to grow our mortgage loan production volumes over the next five
years and steadily increase our market share. We are confident in our
ability to achieve this plan as our business model has strong
fundamentals and provides competitive advantages. These include:
- Leadership in technology to interface with our customers, with the
ability
to leverage that technology across multiple products and customer
channels to generate efficiencies and reduce costs.
- Targeted regional office expansion that allows us to combine our
technology with a local sales effort and enhanced customer service to
grow our customer base.
- Efficient use of capital through improved inventory turn times for our
mortgage loans held for sale. The faster the turn time, the stronger the
return on equity in our mortgage banking businesses as we are able to
improve our capital efficiency. In 2002, we "turned" our mortgage loans
held for sale 8.3 times a year, an improvement from 6.1 times a year in
2001. Our goal over the next five years is to further improve our turn
to 13 times a year.
The mortgage industry requires intense focus and commitment. As we look
out on the competitive landscape, we see expanding opportunities for
IndyMac to gain market share through solid execution, focus and
unwavering commitment to the industry. As the requirements for scale,
enhanced technology, strong risk management and the need for robust
financing and investor distribution channels have elevated the barriers
to entry in the mortgage market, we do not believe there will be many
successful new entrants to this business and we expect to see other
entities, that do not have the same focus and commitment to the industry
as IndyMac, exit.
Diversify our revenue stream.
Our core mortgage banking activities generated 83% of our earnings in
2002 (mortgage banking activities consist of the Mortgage Bank and the
B2C channel of the Consumer Bank), while earnings from our investing
activities were 17% (investing activities consist of the Investment
Portfolio Group and the Consumer Bank's HELOC Division and Retail Bank).
Mortgage banking is a high return on equity business due to our ability
to
use capital efficiently, but can be cyclical based on changes in
interest rates. Investing activities, while generating lower returns on
equity, have the advantage of providing more stable, predictable
earnings streams. As we turn our mortgage loans held for sale more
quickly, we will be able to utilize more of our balance sheet capacity
and capital to grow our investing activities. We expect to increase our
mortgage loans held for investment, mortgage securities, and mortgage
loan servicing over the next five years to generate a greater portion of
our earnings in the form of core net interest and fee income.
In addition, our new HELOC Division is expected to increase production
as
we expand our direct marketing efforts to homeowners nationwide. Our
outstanding HELOCs have grown 267%, from $85 million at December 31,
2001 to $312 million at December 31, 2002. We intend to hold our HELOCs
for investment, as our HELOC is a prime-based, adjustable-rate high
quality product. At December 31, 2002, the average FICO score of this
portfolio was 711, with an average combined loan to value of 78% and
delinquencies of 0.54%. The HELOC product also tends to be somewhat
counter-cyclical to the mortgage industry. As interest rates rise,
consumers who want to tap the equity in their home for various financial
reasons are more inclined to utilize a HELOC product than a cash-out
refinance of their existing low rate mortgage loan. By 2007, we expect
to see IndyMac Mortgage Bank generating approximately 50% of our
earnings, with the Consumer Bank contributing approximately 20% (about
half through its B2C channel and half through its HELOC and Retail Bank
divisions) and the Investment Portfolio Group contributing approximately
30%.
Strong execution of our revenue diversification strategy will help to
soften fluctuation in earnings caused by mortgage cycles and thus will
provide
more predictability and stability to our results. The equity markets
tend to reward companies that have more stable, predictable earnings
with higher price/earnings multiples.
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