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The bottom line — What results do we project based on these strategies?
While any company can project strong growth numbers, our track record
over the last ten years lends credence to the growth targets we have set
for the next five. In addition, despite the strong performance over the
past three years, IndyMac's market share remains below 1% in a strong
and growing industry. So we clearly have a substantial opportunity to
grow. As seen in the table at the right, we have achieved outstanding
growth in all key financial measures and we believe we will continue to
have strong results as we execute on our strategic plan over the next
five years.
Outlook for 2003
Our current outlook for 2003 contemplates that the mortgage industry
volumes will decline during the year. We have planned for it and believe
we
are well positioned for another strong year of earnings. If mortgage
volumes decline, as the industry currently predicts, by approximately
20%, stronger results in our mortgage servicing portfolio, improved net
interest margin on loans we hold for investment and continued cost
management are expected
to offset any decline in earnings from our mortgage banking activities.
Our current EPS projections for the coming year range from equal to our
2002 results to an increase of 15%.
Our confidence that we can outperform our competitors and achieve our
goals as the market transitions to more normal levels is based on
measurable evidence that shows that our business model works:
- We nearly doubled our market share from 1999 to 2000, a period in
which the market contracted 20%.
- We have expanded our sales force and active customer base by 24% and
19%, respectively, on a compounded annual basis since 1999.
- Our experience shows that as we open regional centers in geographic
areas where we have not had a physical presence (recent expansion
includes Kansas City, Missouri in 2002 and Atlanta, Georgia and
Sacramento, California in 2001), we gain additional business from our
existing customers in those areas and also add a substantial number of
new customers while reducing our operating costs.
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In the 18 months after opening our Atlanta regional office, our
pre-existing 190 customers in this geographic region increased their
business with us by 150%. In addition, we added 303 new customers that
generated $709 million of mortgage loans, $181 million, or 26%, of which
was generated in the most recent quarter alone.
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These new regional centers have allowed us to add capacity in
lower cost regions outside of our historic base in Southern California,
further enhancing our cost structure. In addition, our effective tax
rate declined due in part to our geographic expansion in states with
lower tax rates than California. |
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We plan to open a regional center in Dallas, Texas in the first
half of 2003 and are considering two additional locations later in the
year. Beyond 2003, we plan further expansion of our regional centers to
reach a total of 15 to 20 locations over the next five years from the
five centers we operate today. |
We also plan to increase our customer base and geographic penetration by
means of our newest mortgage channels, B2R and the Homebuilder Division.
These channels, which focus on the home purchase market, have
demonstrated strong growth over the last year.
Fair Lending
IndyMac is committed to the American dream of home ownership and fair
treatment of all customers. Our automated risk-based pricing system,
e-MITS, objectively measures each and every customer's risk profile
individually and provides them with the best product and price available
at IndyMac across
the spectrum of mortgage products that we provide. Our "one door"
approach — one underwriting system, one set of rules, one national
license through our thrift charter — is the fairest system and is the
model we believe other lenders will eventually adopt.
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| Compounded Annual Growth Rates | |
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| 1993 to 2002 | | 1999 to 2002* | |
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Revenue | 53% | 29% |
Earnings | 40% | 28% |
EPS | 28% | 41% |
Loan Production | NM | 44% |
Assets | 30% | 33% |
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| | 2002 |
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ROE | | 17% |
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* 1999 marks the introduction of e-MITS to smaller customers and the transition to the depository structure.
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